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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 16, 2020 11:53:20 GMT -6
That HP does seem unusually strong. I would think it would come in weaker the next few days. But that’s probably just me wishcasting
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 16, 2020 11:56:45 GMT -6
This week is nothing. However late next week could a large storm around. Likely rain here of course. Maybe a severe maker down south.
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Post by perryville on Feb 16, 2020 14:44:36 GMT -6
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 16, 2020 15:12:08 GMT -6
There is a crash in AO coming up but it's more like a crash from off-the-charts (literally) to less positive. And not even a single member is less than 6 on the 21st? Wow.  |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 16, 2020 16:12:57 GMT -6
There is a crash in AO coming up but it's more like a crash from off-the-charts (literally) to less positive. And not even a single member is less than 6 on the 21st? Wow. Be interesting to see what Judah Cohen has to say tomorrow |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 16, 2020 17:05:04 GMT -6
There is a crash in AO coming up but it's more like a crash from off-the-charts (literally) to less positive. And not even a single member is less than 6 on the 21st? Wow. Be interesting to see what Judah Cohen has to say tomorrow according to his tweets, he's pretty much given up |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 16, 2020 18:37:44 GMT -6
That HP does seem unusually strong. I would think it would come in weaker the next few days. But that’s probably just me wishcasting Seasonal trend says this is about the timeframe for models to start showing something |
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Post by tedrick65 on Feb 16, 2020 20:33:27 GMT -6
Glad to see my backyard mud hole will get recharged tomorrow.
Time to sound the alarm on the Blues...
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 16, 2020 20:39:20 GMT -6
Nam is close
I’m not giving up on this one
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 16, 2020 20:41:26 GMT -6
Nam is close I’m not giving up on this one I mean it does have snow falling in central and southern MO Thursday morning. Too bad it’s on its own. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 16, 2020 20:42:07 GMT -6
Blues will be fine. We went a year straight without any rough streak honestly. We were due for this. Glad it’s happening now and not in a month. They outplayed Nashville today.
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Post by landscaper on Feb 16, 2020 20:44:02 GMT -6
Unfortunately, it literally makes no sense what so ever, it has a 1056 HP with precipitation right underneath it with out a low pressure anywhere around. It has 0 model support at this time. It’s actually quite. Comical.
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 16, 2020 21:11:02 GMT -6
Unfortunately, it literally makes no sense what so ever, it has a 1056 HP with precipitation right underneath it with out a low pressure anywhere around. It has 0 model support at this time. It’s actually quite. Comical. Which part. Lol. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 16, 2020 21:18:38 GMT -6
The 18z euro and its ensembles did give a nod to the NAM and its solution. Further N and E with the precep
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Post by landscaper on Feb 16, 2020 21:32:02 GMT -6
Trust me I would love to be wrong. It just doesn’t look like a good set up at all
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 16, 2020 21:34:44 GMT -6
NAM coming very close to something next Thursday but as we all know it's bound to change.
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 16, 2020 21:53:42 GMT -6
UKMET just announced they will invest $1.5 billion on a new supercomputer that will be the most powerful in the world.
NOAA's new supercomputer cost $50 million and it required a $70 billion disaster to get it funded.
Think about that for a moment.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 16, 2020 22:45:08 GMT -6
Gfs is still squash city. Gem brings snow into western mo (similar to nam) which is the best it has looked. Unfortunately it then gets squashed like a bug.
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Post by jeepers on Feb 17, 2020 10:05:05 GMT -6
Blues are in trouble. We left the game after the first period on Saturday. This is more than a slump. The whole formula with everyone shooting and everyone committed to defense has broken down. Our D used to be a wall, now it’s a sieve. Anyway blah blah, it’s hard to watch right now.
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Post by mchafin on Feb 17, 2020 11:36:30 GMT -6
now we enter the period of time on the board when posts are infrequent beccause it's pretty much spring.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 17, 2020 11:42:43 GMT -6
now we enter the period of time on the board when posts are infrequent beccause it's pretty much spring. Yep, the lull in between "this winter sucked" and severe weather season is upon us. Almost comical how this winter has managed to screw us with a HP that is TOO strong here at the end. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2020 12:01:37 GMT -6
Rain this weekend...
Then around midweek next week is when we would expect our next potential storm.
Tons of variability within and between models/model runs.
Storm likely puts STL on the warm side at this juncture, but plenty of ensemble runs have shown huge snow totals because moisture will be abundant.
Looks like a prime second development setup, so I think that will be something that we can at least track by late this week
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2020 12:25:10 GMT -6
Euro brings some snow to the western counties Wednesday night
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2020 12:52:24 GMT -6
12z euro tries to change the rain to snow this weekend with the cutoff low, but temps just look too marginal to care.
Then it breaks out the phase to our west for midweek next week.
Need that to happen further east or for a secondary low to form
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 17, 2020 13:04:57 GMT -6
Amazing how close the GEM and Euro (and NAM) are to bringing a batch of snow to the area Wednesday night. They inch closer and closer with each run but the end result is the same with the HP doing the hulk smash. Tough one to take.
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Post by dschreib on Feb 17, 2020 13:42:52 GMT -6
Blues are in trouble. We left the game after the first period on Saturday. This is more than a slump. The whole formula with everyone shooting and everyone committed to defense has broken down. Our D used to be a wall, now it’s a sieve. Anyway blah blah, it’s hard to watch right now. That’s fixable, though, and I thought we played much better in front of Binnington on Sunday. We still have those brain farts at the most inopportune times, though. We had two chances to clear the puck late. The first one went up the middle—bad choice. The second one was fed to a guy along the boards with one of theirs pinching. Flip the puck out and live to fight another shift. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 17, 2020 14:45:09 GMT -6
18z Nam takes another step north and east. This is still a longshot but it is tough to ignore the trends, especially with the Euro and the seasonal trend in general.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 17, 2020 15:26:26 GMT -6
Not sure if it was already mentioned but it looks like the 18z euro is now on pivotal
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2020 16:14:35 GMT -6
Japanese Seasonal models going with a wet cool spring, quite cool in fact for much of the midwest and Ohio Valley area. Summer looking seasonable temp wise but continued wet with next Autumn showing warmer and once again much wetter conditions. Could be setting up for a significant flooding event this year yer again. On the up side it would once again keep temps down during the Summer, but the humidity would be killer.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 17, 2020 17:18:31 GMT -6
Japanese Seasonal models going with a wet cool spring, quite cool in fact for much of the midwest and Ohio Valley area. Summer looking seasonable temp wise but continued wet with next Autumn showing warmer and once again much wetter conditions. Could be setting up for a significant flooding event this year yer again. On the up side it would once again keep temps down during the Summer, but the humidity would be killer. No thanks. 🚫🌧🌧🌧🌧🌊 |
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