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Post by bellevillewxguy on Mar 27, 2020 11:44:07 GMT -6
1st Lawn Mow of the 2020 lawn season under my belt... Let's the late Spring and Summer begin!
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 11:53:41 GMT -6
Not much change to the SPCs day two outlook.
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 27, 2020 11:54:33 GMT -6
Storm motions tomorrow will be screaming. Possibly 60mph in the right movers and maybe even 65mph in the left movers. Think ludicrous speed!
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 27, 2020 11:58:19 GMT -6
The new D2 outlook did pull the tornado risk down closer to STL.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 11:59:20 GMT -6
It did... maybe by 50 miles.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 27, 2020 12:03:15 GMT -6
Storm motions tomorrow will be screaming. Possibly 60mph in the right movers and maybe even 65mph in the left movers. Think ludicrous speed! Going to be some dangerous chasing conditions tomorrow...currently trying to talk myself out of it, lol. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 27, 2020 12:10:39 GMT -6
Short range models are trying to get some activity going up 44 later today. The CAP looks tough though
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 27, 2020 12:11:42 GMT -6
Looks like supercells could be splitting a fair amount too. While there is plenty of SRH swept out in the hodographs, storm motions lie near the trace so suppression of the left branch of updrafts may be limited...especially early in the life cycle.
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 27, 2020 12:16:23 GMT -6
Storm motions tomorrow will be screaming. Possibly 60mph in the right movers and maybe even 65mph in the left movers. Think ludicrous speed! Going to be some dangerous chasing conditions tomorrow...currently trying to talk myself out of it, lol. Pick a storm, find an obstructed view and safe spot to park, watch the storm go by, and hope it has a tornado attached to it.  |
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 27, 2020 12:16:46 GMT -6
Short range models are trying to get some activity going up 44 later today. The CAP looks tough though HRRR seems a bit high with the Tds… not sure we get to 70* |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 27, 2020 12:22:01 GMT -6
Short range models are trying to get some activity going up 44 later today. The CAP looks tough though HRRR seems a bit high with the Tds… not sure we get to 70* That's a definite bias with that model... That said, models have been picking up on a disturbance rippling NE across S/central MO later today with subtle height falls and mid-level cooling...that may be enough trigger to break the cap...especially as the LLJ ramps up this evening and the boundary begins to lift poleward. |
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 27, 2020 12:34:16 GMT -6
I'm guessing it fires just about on top of us... then lifts north this evening. May see only an hour or two window.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 27, 2020 12:35:17 GMT -6
Clouds are also clearing to the SW across MO...destabilization underway.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 12:36:53 GMT -6
Clouds are also clearing to the SW across MO...destabilization underway. Sun is starting to be come more prevalent down this way. The cloud deck is breaking apart. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 27, 2020 12:42:30 GMT -6
Milky sunshine Chris talked about on the morning show had disappeared for most of the morning. Now it's returning
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 27, 2020 13:09:33 GMT -6
77* with a DP of 64* currently
Getting steamy out there
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 13:24:11 GMT -6
I couldn't pass up the opportunity to throw some smoke on some boneless beef ribs and a chuck roast! It's a bit warm but not too bad.  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 27, 2020 13:36:26 GMT -6
Temperatures on days like today are such a crapshoot. Will the clouds clear? How much will they clear? When will they clear? How long does it stay clear?
I tend to go low especially this early in the season... If it gets warmer then there are few people complaining (unless you are in here lol)
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 27, 2020 14:30:20 GMT -6
Some cells starting to fire in SW Mo
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Post by mosue56 on Mar 27, 2020 14:45:20 GMT -6
82 in Festus! Glad it is short lived!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 27, 2020 14:57:50 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 27, 2020 15:03:48 GMT -6
That decision didn’t take long. Watch hoisted |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 27, 2020 15:06:51 GMT -6
NWS is warning for tennis ball size hail with the cell approaching Grove, Ok. Yikes
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 27, 2020 15:10:06 GMT -6
So much for developing on top of us. I'll sit this one out and take a zero
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 15:14:28 GMT -6
Clouds are back. Ribs and chuck are braising. An hour or so they'll be done.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 27, 2020 15:25:40 GMT -6
NWS is warning for tennis ball size hail with the cell approaching Grove, Ok. Yikes That will do some damage. And cause a concussion if one falls on your head. |
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Mar 27, 2020 15:42:09 GMT -6
1st Lawn Mow of the 2020 lawn season under my belt... Let's the late Spring and Summer begin! I sink an 1/2 inch or more in most parts of my yard walking around. With more rain, I think it’ll be impossible to mow. Worked outside today cleaning up, nice to get outside. And no nasty gnats, or whatever they are... yet. |
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Mar 27, 2020 16:04:18 GMT -6
WEAX - I'll bet you're one heck of a barbequer. I'm sure you could find plenty of volunteer tasters in here if the need should ever arise.
Enjoy!
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 27, 2020 16:10:28 GMT -6
WEAX - I'll bet you're one heck of a barbequer. I'm sure you could find plenty of volunteer tasters in here if the need should ever arise. Enjoy! I appreciate the confidence... good bbq comes from experience, experience comes from bad bbq. I'd gladly share! |
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Post by mosue56 on Mar 27, 2020 16:20:55 GMT -6
We’ll be right over, Weax! 😛
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