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Post by ElburnDave on Apr 9, 2020 12:59:05 GMT -6
Interesting HWO for my area this afternoon. Developing thunderstorms with heavy snow, hail and winds to 55mph. *Please let this happen! I would be jealous... But I'm rooting for you all the same! It will be interesting. It's currently sunny and 48.
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 9, 2020 12:59:07 GMT -6
Interesting HWO for my area this afternoon. Developing thunderstorms with heavy snow, hail and winds to 55mph. *Please let this happen! Well isn't that special. Good luck.
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 9, 2020 13:25:27 GMT -6
My HWO says, you live in Union..there are no hazards...ever. How about a nce game of chess?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 9, 2020 13:36:03 GMT -6
12z euro has 1-2 inches of snow on Wednesday around St. Louis
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 9, 2020 13:41:44 GMT -6
Where's the red flag warnings?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 9, 2020 13:47:51 GMT -6
12z euro has 1-2 inches of snow on Wednesday around St. Louis Really a few different chances for flakes during the week...where were these clippers during the winter?
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 9, 2020 13:49:18 GMT -6
freeze warning tonight expanded to included Franklin county on west and from Lincoln co on north and east
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 9, 2020 13:50:31 GMT -6
12z euro has 1-2 inches of snow on Wednesday around St. Louis Really a few different chances for flakes during the week... where were these clippers during the winter?Not here.. Or it rained because it wasn't cold.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Apr 9, 2020 15:34:35 GMT -6
Where's the red flag warnings? No joke it’s crazy windy here. Lost some big branches too
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Post by maddogchief on Apr 9, 2020 15:46:52 GMT -6
That’s a January wind out there.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 10, 2020 0:45:43 GMT -6
Euro drops several inches of snow across the area late next week. That’d be wild
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Post by Tilawn on Apr 10, 2020 5:20:02 GMT -6
30° IMBY
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 10, 2020 6:32:07 GMT -6
Day 3 moderate risk by the SPC is quite uncommon and that is a very large area delineated across LA/MS/AL. Modeling still looking vicious on Easter down there.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 10, 2020 6:41:07 GMT -6
Day 3 moderate risk by the SPC is quite uncommon and that is a very large area delineated across LA/MS/AL. Modeling still looking vicious on Easter down there. The diffluent flow overspreading the 60kt+ LLJ looks like a classic setup for long-track supercells and strong/violent tornadoes. Hopefully morning convective debris can muck things up, because otherwise it's looking like a major outbreak for sure.
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Post by amstilost on Apr 10, 2020 6:58:59 GMT -6
I was at 32* at 5am and after just looking at thermo we had a low of 31* happening between 5am and sunrise 7 miles west of De Soto.
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Post by ajd446 on Apr 10, 2020 7:14:34 GMT -6
Touched 32 for 10 min yet some of my plants dont look the greatest. Inguess just because they are so tender this early
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Post by REB on Apr 10, 2020 7:32:38 GMT -6
33.5* at 5 a.m. Furnace back on. I'll probably build a fire too.
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Post by bororug on Apr 10, 2020 7:50:07 GMT -6
33 was the low for us 5 Miles SW of Desoto
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 10, 2020 7:53:55 GMT -6
My guess is 36* Friday AM at STL Good call at 35*. 32* for the low in Brighton. Looks like we could go lower next week.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 10, 2020 8:21:05 GMT -6
Good luck to anybody who’s going to chase those storms on Sunday. Storm motion is going to be 60-80 knots
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 10, 2020 8:30:38 GMT -6
4/27/2011 is the #2 CIPS analog for Easter Sunday model forecasts at this point. Several high end events in the set but there's also some duds in there too.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 10, 2020 9:20:50 GMT -6
4/27/2011 is the #2 CIPS analog for Easter Sunday model forecasts at this point. Several high end events in the set but there's also some duds in there too. This definitely has the potential to become one of the more notorious outbreaks...hopefully that's not the case.
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Post by cozpregon on Apr 10, 2020 9:38:53 GMT -6
4/27/2011 is the #2 CIPS analog for Easter Sunday model forecasts at this point. Several high end events in the set but there's also some duds in there too. This definitely has the potential to become one of the more notorious outbreaks...hopefully that's not the case. Nam 3k has wet bulbs zero near 800mb. Could be some very big hail
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 10, 2020 9:54:05 GMT -6
Hi res NAM would suggest a linear storm mode which would really lessen the tornado threat, atleast strong long track tornadoes.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 10, 2020 10:06:00 GMT -6
Hi res NAM would suggest a linear storm mode which would really lessen the tornado threat, atleast strong long track tornadoes. Some of the models have shown more of a meridian flow in the mid-levels which would put the shear vector more parallel to the dryline/front. But any discrete/semi-discrete, right turning supercells would still pose a risk for strong tornadoes.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 10, 2020 10:51:01 GMT -6
You guys aren't talking storms here locally on Sunday? This is for the south right?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 10, 2020 10:53:13 GMT -6
You guys aren't talking storms here locally on Sunday? This is for the south right? Correct the threat locally Sunday is minimal. Maybe some garden variety, non severe storms
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 10, 2020 11:17:27 GMT -6
12z models shifting the snow threat into Central and Northern Illinois late next week, which makes more sense
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Post by landscaper on Apr 10, 2020 12:16:21 GMT -6
It’s tough to excited for snow in St Louis in mid April, it usually takes a miracle set up to get any meaningful snow in April
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 10, 2020 12:48:20 GMT -6
It’s tough to excited for snow in St Louis in mid April, it usually takes a miracle set up to get any meaningful snow in April Never say never...it snowed and accumulated twice last year...at least in Brighton. And one of those events had thunder. But climo definitely favors further N.
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