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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 22, 2020 13:23:31 GMT -6
It’s to hot today lol. There I said it snowman. I agree with you. Trying to do yard work and I’m drenched in sweat.
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436 
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Oct 22, 2020 14:14:38 GMT -6
The #EastTroublesomeFire has jumped the Continental Divide and is now burning thru Rocky Mountain National Park with evacuations now extending into Estes Park! Can 2020 be over already?
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Oct 22, 2020 14:39:54 GMT -6
My supervisor came back last weekend from 2 weeks camping off of 125 in the middle of what is now the East Troublesome fire. He said there was one night he thought it was the lights of Denver, the fire glow was that bright. He is lucky he didn't leave a week later, or else he would have had to evacuate or worse. He said he would now have to find somewhere else to camp and hunt.
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 22, 2020 14:58:51 GMT -6
Obviously named due to vicinity near Troublesome Creek, but such a fitting name...for many fires.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 22, 2020 16:41:12 GMT -6
wow... that 18z gfs is so fantastically freakin' close to a monster groundhog-day-esque event. If that polar jet just slowed down and dug JUST a bit more...
That upper level setup is something.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 22, 2020 17:04:28 GMT -6
CFS shows a flame thrower for November now. We had the convo abt cfs a couple years ago. Stawp. |
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Post by mchafin on Oct 22, 2020 19:53:27 GMT -6
  The fog made it to Chicago I used to stay at that W hotel in 2009. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 22, 2020 20:34:48 GMT -6
The fog made it to Chicago I used to stay at that W hotel in 2009. I like the W hotel because if it wasn’t partially obstructing my view I couldn’t afford to live here lol. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 22, 2020 20:42:31 GMT -6
If next week’s setup is any indication of the winter to come it’s going to be a headache.
I know we talked about it last year that a significant ice storm was due.
This piecemeal approach of kicking out waves along a fairly stable boundary is getting me on high alert.
I’m on record as saying the northern Midwest is in for a big snowfall year. I think the STL region gets a significant ice storm in the next 3 months.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 22, 2020 21:07:35 GMT -6
Would tend to agree, WSC...we're about a decade overdue.
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Post by jeepers on Oct 22, 2020 21:52:27 GMT -6
Swear to God, put a fork in 2020. Ending it with an ice storm would be terribly perfect.
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 23, 2020 7:56:03 GMT -6
The clouds are dark to the west of Festus! The fronts getting closer!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 23, 2020 9:09:56 GMT -6
If next week’s setup is any indication of the winter to come it’s going to be a headache. I know we talked about it last year that a significant ice storm was due. This piecemeal approach of kicking out waves along a fairly stable boundary is getting me on high alert. I’m on record as saying the northern Midwest is in for a big snowfall year. I think the STL region gets a significant ice storm in the next 3 months. Agree. Confidence is high that upper midwest is in line for a banner year wintrywise. This is a good setup for ice here in the lower midwest. La nina also supports winter tornadoes. Arkansas mets are already talking that up and if we get some amplitude in a western trough, that cld on one or two occasions draw some severe storms up to the lower mo valley. Thus winter will be exciting, i think. I know others on here are cancelling winter because of the ever dependable cfs, but i think this will be a busy one. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 23, 2020 9:35:54 GMT -6
Tied the record high yesterday at 86*F at Lambert Airport. This ties the record set in 1946.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 23, 2020 10:01:53 GMT -6
It wont happen but gfs brings snow to the missouri river from st.charles westward next week. Seems to be nudging south each run
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 23, 2020 10:14:12 GMT -6
12Z is such a tease... ICON looks interesting with a hurricane in the gulf combining with the upper level low/surface low creating a wound up system.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 23, 2020 10:29:24 GMT -6
I've got thunder but so far not a lot of rain.
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Post by bear1 on Oct 23, 2020 10:40:01 GMT -6
Temps are dropping fast here in Bourbon, woke up at 9:15 a.m to 57°... now it's down to 46°
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 23, 2020 10:51:52 GMT -6
Avoided turning on the ac yesterday. Temp in house got to 76 and was 67 day before. I try not to turn on heat until thanksgiving.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 23, 2020 11:02:07 GMT -6
Already down to 46* at Lambert.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 23, 2020 11:30:35 GMT -6
dang, that's a pretty huge shift in the GEFS SE'ward compared to 12z yesterday.
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 23, 2020 11:55:59 GMT -6
Good trends indeed unclesam, I hope it's legit.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 23, 2020 12:17:42 GMT -6
If I were in Columbia points N and W I would be paying attention for sure, at least for my first flakes of the season.
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 23, 2020 12:19:48 GMT -6
If you are st.louis north and west at this stage, will be interesting if trends continue
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 23, 2020 12:32:40 GMT -6
Euro is warmest but 3 to 4 inches of rain
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Post by birddog on Oct 23, 2020 13:05:55 GMT -6
Woke to 66 at 5:30, now 44. Got a whopping .05" rain. Almost made the grass wet!
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Post by landscaper on Oct 23, 2020 16:18:47 GMT -6
GFS and UKMET still continue to show at least a chance of light snow north Of I44 Monday and Monday night. ICON shows a similar setup. GEM is north and west a little in northwest Missouri, the EURO is the warmest with very little snow in far north west Missouri. It’s probably a cold rain but the gfs and Ukmet have been very consistent with their further south east solution and colder profile.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 23, 2020 22:02:24 GMT -6
EURO seems to be in a world of its own. Will be interesting to see if it folds 00z now that data is onshore.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 24, 2020 0:15:15 GMT -6
EURO folds south.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2020 0:33:05 GMT -6
Nice snowstorm from KC to Quincy |
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