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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 24, 2020 7:23:10 GMT -6
This board's way too quiet, I guess it's because it's the weekend.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 24, 2020 8:55:19 GMT -6
Quiet Weather. Quiet Board.
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 24, 2020 8:56:00 GMT -6
Monday won't be quiet weather haha
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Post by landscaper on Oct 24, 2020 9:17:38 GMT -6
Most likely as Cold rain for St. Louis area light snow north and west of town . If things shifted another 60-100 miles we would be in good shape. Even if we some some mood flakes mixed in that would be pretty cool for October.
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 24, 2020 9:51:17 GMT -6
Very interesting simulation by the 0Z ECMWF. Northern MO gets a solid shot at frozen precip. Then a tropical storm (possibly Zeta) phases with the cutoff low. Moisture is flung all the way up into northern MO. By hour 144 I-70 has 3-4" of QPF.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2020 9:59:54 GMT -6
Football game in Denver tomorrow should be cool to watch. Temps will be falling through the teens with a few inches of snow possible
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 24, 2020 11:24:16 GMT -6
Very interesting simulation by the 0Z ECMWF. Northern MO gets a solid shot at frozen precip. Then a tropical storm (possibly Zeta) phases with the cutoff low. Moisture is flung all the way up into northern MO. By hour 144 I-70 has 3-4" of QPF. Not seeing any frozen/freezing precip but the tropical/cut-off low merger will be impressive to see should it verify. Someone as in quite a few of someone could get a huge soaking of several inches of rain out of this and even some wind action depending on how dynamic things get. |
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 24, 2020 13:28:11 GMT -6
Very interesting simulation by the 0Z ECMWF. Northern MO gets a solid shot at frozen precip. Then a tropical storm (possibly Zeta) phases with the cutoff low. Moisture is flung all the way up into northern MO. By hour 144 I-70 has 3-4" of QPF. Not seeing any frozen/freezing precip but the tropical/cut-off low merger will be impressive to see should it verify. Someone as in quite a few of someone could get a huge soaking of several inches of rain out of this and even some wind action depending on how dynamic things get. Hmm...I'm seeing widespread 0.3"+ of liquid equivalent of frozen precipitation north of I-70 on the Euro prior to the arrival of the cutoff low. I mean verbatim this looks like a solid advisory level snow event with a stripe of 6" from KC to Hannibal using the Cobb method. Both the GFS and pGFS suggest an advisory level event is possible though not as far east. But yeah...you can see the tropical disturbance priming the atmosphere over the GOM and the cutoff low pulling that moist airmass up to at least I-70 in MO. This would augment the rain amounts giving everyone a good soaking by next Friday. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2020 19:19:22 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 24, 2020 20:05:22 GMT -6
This has gotta be the most accurate St. Louis meme I've ever seen... |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 25, 2020 0:46:46 GMT -6
NWS - Kansas City has this graphic out. Hopefully I'm not violating any rules ny posting it.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 25, 2020 8:27:48 GMT -6
doesn't even look to get to 32 this week at lambert lol
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 25, 2020 8:38:47 GMT -6
doesn't even look to get to 32 this week at lambert lol Ya, like no cold air at all now! Just a cold bleep rain! |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 25, 2020 9:28:39 GMT -6
Its a little early for snow and it is cold in my opinion stuck in the 40s in october is cold in my books
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 25, 2020 9:35:17 GMT -6
Good setup for a soaker later this upcoming week. Jet support look good with moisture from Zeta also in play  |
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Post by jmg378s on Oct 25, 2020 10:07:11 GMT -6
That run of the Euro last night was spitting out a general 2-5" of rain for the southern half of MO with a zone of enhanced totals around I-70.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 25, 2020 10:36:07 GMT -6
Surprised no one on here mentioned last nights ukie run. It showed accumulating snow up 44 before going mostly rain near 99s house
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 25, 2020 11:49:21 GMT -6
Parallel Gfs has Zeta getting pretty strong.
Also has shown some interest in phasing and getting some heavy snow going in the upper Ohio valley.
Sadly, looks like a couple weeks of waiting for anything interesting again after this week.
We are getting close now though. The wait is almost over
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 25, 2020 12:15:44 GMT -6
Surprised no one on here mentioned last nights ukie run. It showed accumulating snow up 44 before going mostly rain near 99s house It's certainly not out of the question that we at least see flakes break through...but the mid-level WAA might be a bit too strong this far S. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 25, 2020 13:09:23 GMT -6
November is looking like a blast furnace-fest... It's also looking to be drier than a bone. Possible less than an inch for the entire month. Break out the shades!
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Oct 25, 2020 13:40:50 GMT -6
Missoula MT airport had the biggest OCT snow in over 100 years... 13.8" fell two days ago.
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 25, 2020 13:49:17 GMT -6
12Z Euro brings Zeta's remnants well into MO. Almost the entire state gets 2"+ of rain in the next 5 days.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 25, 2020 14:26:52 GMT -6
November is looking like a blast furnace-fest... It's also looking to be drier than a bone. Possible less than an inch for the entire month. Break out the shades! Should have plenty of rain after next week. I’ve been steady in saying this year December is a real hardcore winter month. Right now, early November looks boring, which I think helps my thoughts heading into December |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 25, 2020 14:53:52 GMT -6
Winter storm watches for OK City for ZR, winter weather advisories for KC for a couple inches of snow. We get more rain. If this is the pattern through the winter It's gonna suck.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 25, 2020 15:11:43 GMT -6
I think synoptically, the pattern is pretty favorable for winter. I don't mind a cold rain in October, as long as it isn't too much. I'd be encouraged with a dry, mild November too. Weather has to reload. I'm actually a little concerned that the storm track this winter may set up too far south. with a La Nina, we need to expect long periods of tranquility alternating with with periods of cold, active weather. If November brings us those long periods of tranquility, then that would make it seem like things can get interesting when we want it to. Cold air is alot harder to bump out of the region in December, and if we can get cold air building in our source region in November Let's see how this plays out. Steady as she goes. I want to see the drought ease up alot over the southern plains, and I'm starting to see that trend.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 25, 2020 15:23:23 GMT -6
If you don’t like this sounding you don’t like STL winters  |
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 25, 2020 15:23:48 GMT -6
It’s snowing thankfully in Colorado! Put out those fires and give the firefighters a break!
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 25, 2020 15:33:01 GMT -6
I bet flakes will mix in tomorrow inetro area and points north. And yes this pattern in a month or so would be ice storm. Honestly i have never seen a sounding thay close to st.Louis this early in The season
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 25, 2020 16:10:40 GMT -6
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 25, 2020 16:13:52 GMT -6
21z rap shows lots of sleet in northwest metro tomorrow with temps 33 to 36
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