|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 30, 2020 9:31:07 GMT -6
7.0 earthquake has hit Greece and Turkey... at least 20 buildings have collapsed
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 30, 2020 14:07:52 GMT -6
Still looking like a pretty beefy trough comes crashing in around the 10th.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 30, 2020 16:32:51 GMT -6
new standard deviation products on the COD model page for the GFS UA charts.
|
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Oct 30, 2020 20:40:13 GMT -6
I think the moderate drought is over with now 😊. I'm excited for these sunny dry days ahead! Whatever fall color is left we will get to enjoy more with the sunlight hitting the trees.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 30, 2020 22:30:23 GMT -6
FL might need to watch out. GFS seems intent on taking a major hurricane there around Nov 6th-10th range. Same hurricane should it develop will strengthen the ridge here allowing a stent of 80s for potentially several days. Indian Summer at it's finest if you were.
|
|
|
|
Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 31, 2020 7:44:40 GMT -6
Heavy frost at the new house this morning.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 31, 2020 10:13:38 GMT -6
RIP Sean Connery. 😭
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 31, 2020 11:56:45 GMT -6
Gfs keeps showing one more big tropical system. Canadian has it now too.
|
|
weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436 
|
Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Oct 31, 2020 12:20:04 GMT -6
Looks like Tropical Tidbits did some updating on their site where now it tells you the forecast time above the 6 hour increments. Now would those forecast times be in Eastern time?
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 31, 2020 13:21:50 GMT -6
Gfs keeps showing one more big tropical system. Canadian has it now too. Yea the GFS is persistent at bringing that thing right up the west coast and then turning into a massive east coast storm |
|
|
|
Post by Jeffmw on Oct 31, 2020 13:33:40 GMT -6
Figures the one day it’s supposed to be grey and all that it’s sunny clear skies.
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Oct 31, 2020 15:00:02 GMT -6
This is the quitest weather radar wise I have ever scene across the country
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Oct 31, 2020 15:54:25 GMT -6
Looks like Super Typhoon Goni made a landfall in the Philippines with 195mph winds and 876 mb pressure. Yikes.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 31, 2020 16:10:21 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 31, 2020 17:09:30 GMT -6
End of the 18Z GFS shows a 'Perfect Storm' off of New England with a massive blizzard and a 922MB Low. Good Grief. It's not till the end of the fantasy range in the hr 312-384 range, but still.
|
|
weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
|
Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Oct 31, 2020 17:45:14 GMT -6
End of the 18Z GFS shows a 'Perfect Storm' off of New England with a massive blizzard and a 922MB Low. Good Grief. It's not till the end of the fantasy range in the hr 312-384 range, but still. Looks like the weather will pick back up in about a week or so, could pick up in a big way with the models consistently showing some type of impactful tropical system. |
|
|
|
Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 1, 2020 9:01:45 GMT -6
If it weren't so windy, today would qualify as one of the most beautiful fall days I've seen in a while. Welcome to November fellow cornerers!
|
|
|
|
Post by Jeffmw on Nov 1, 2020 9:03:11 GMT -6
So can we talk Christmas now? haha.
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 1, 2020 10:29:39 GMT -6
12z gfs with a beautiful winter storm across the region in the 7-10 day range.
Also, so much better now that the models are out an hour earlier
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Nov 1, 2020 10:53:17 GMT -6
seems like the GFS and GEM are both transitioning from a sheared, frontal event to a stronger, closed low scenario. when you compare 12z yesterday to 12z today. will be an interesting interaction with Eta it seems too.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 1, 2020 12:03:48 GMT -6
12z gfs with a beautiful winter storm across the region in the 7-10 day range. Also, so much better now that the models are out an hour earlier Consensus of a strong storm system on or around Veterans Day is quite strong on most global models. Could be very interesting depending on cold air penetration, dynamics, timing, etc... |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 1, 2020 13:12:46 GMT -6
12z euro is far less interesting so that is less fun
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Nov 1, 2020 19:05:31 GMT -6
12z euro is far less interesting so that is less fun I don't expect we'll see anymore runs like that 12z GFS for this particular event. 3 of the 20 GEFS members resemble something like it. but everything else is no where near the track or intensity. |
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Nov 1, 2020 19:10:42 GMT -6
12z euro is far less interesting so that is less fun I don't expect we'll see anymore runs like that 12z GFS for this particular event. 3 of the 20 GEFS members resemble something like it. but everything else is no where near the track or intensity. Yeah that's a textbook pipe dream scenario to file away haha! |
|
|
|
Post by ndolan387 on Nov 1, 2020 19:24:47 GMT -6
I'm tried of seeing cutter storms where we are SE of the low pressure on the models. I'm ready for some clippers too!
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 1, 2020 22:50:30 GMT -6
A tornado outbreak like 2013 is more in line of what the most extreme scenario would yield on Veterans Day. Temps could hit 80s and dewpoints in the mid 60s with a developing surface low in Missouri tracking northeast with a negative tilting trough smells of severe weather outbreak. Any snow will probably wait until December for us.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Nov 1, 2020 22:54:46 GMT -6
It is nice to see a GFS 0z run out to 240 hours at 10:30pm. I don't like the "cutter" aspect of it, but, the fact that 3 separate waves getting their act together, each a little south of the previous appears to be, could be, hopefully is a "trend" for the winter. Of course, to comment that this is a good sign still, "kind of", is taking the GFS at it's word that this is what will actually happen. OT: My wife and I had the opportunity to take our granddaughter (11) hunting for the second day of youth season. The first day of youth season was trumped by trick-or-treating. Priorities, you know.  We had seen some great buck pics (10 and 11 pointers) on the 28th, 29th, and 30th on game cams in the early morning hours. Unfortunately, on 11/1 I think the wind was against us. No sightings  . We were in the blind until 2pm. We thought she did great considering we only seen squirrels. After she asked, I told her she didn't have a tag for a squirrel. She also caught a glimpse of an eagle. It really was a wonderful day, talking, munching, and napping, all 3 of us at different times.  |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 1, 2020 22:58:16 GMT -6
November 17th, 2013 Illinois Tornado Outbreak... www.weather.gov/ilx/17nov13- I suspect that this time it could be farther west a bit and south, which would put us squarely into the bear cage so to speak. Lots of time to watch unfold. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 2, 2020 0:36:08 GMT -6
Going to be pretty tough to get any winter weather with a setup like this. I agree with BWG on severe weather potential. This setup in spring would be nasty  |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 2, 2020 6:45:31 GMT -6
The 00z euro has a CAT 5 hurricane entering the GOM at the end of its run.
The 6z gfs also has a Major hurricane around the same time.
Things are going to pick up again soon.
|
|
We had seen some great buck pics (10 and 11 pointers) on the 28th, 29th, and 30th on game cams in the early morning hours. Unfortunately, on 11/1 I think the wind was against us. No sightings 
. We were in the blind until 2pm. We thought she did great considering we only seen squirrels. After she asked, I told her she didn't have a tag for a squirrel. 
