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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 4:28:19 GMT -6
06Z them still has 6" metro to NE.
09z rap has essentially nothing.
Don't look at it. Scary
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 4:37:50 GMT -6
NWS in disco has 2-4" NW of 70.
4-5" SE and possibly more pending how the system evolves coming out of the southern plains
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 4:40:59 GMT -6
Paragfs is perfect. Would be best week ever. First storm widespread 8-12". Second storm same. Like Feb 93   |
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Post by weatherj on Feb 13, 2021 4:50:42 GMT -6
There is no shift SE even on the drier models is there? It's just drier overall.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 4:59:02 GMT -6
There is no shift SE even on the drier models is there? It's just drier overall. No there has been a SE shift of the ejecting trough |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 5:01:18 GMT -6
The snow this morning is really low in the atmosphere.
The way the radar is picking it up shows that.
It's not often the dgz is under 5000ft
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 5:10:58 GMT -6
NWS snowfall first forecast  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 5:19:10 GMT -6
It's snowing pretty dang good now
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 5:31:12 GMT -6
Straight moderate snow with brutal winds
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 13, 2021 5:45:16 GMT -6
Ya it’s snowing really good here. Decent flake size also. Probably the quickest dusting I’ve ever picked up.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 13, 2021 5:45:28 GMT -6
There really is no reason why there is not a winter storm watch for down this way and points south ...... 6 plus inches of snow is a possibility with brutal cold...... is it not the NWS job to warn people of this possibility? It honestly makes no sense
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 13, 2021 5:49:27 GMT -6
Wouldn’t surprise me for some one to pick up a quick inch or two with this. It’s really coming down and the radar looks good in stl
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Post by pbc12871 on Feb 13, 2021 5:53:02 GMT -6
Just eyeballing things, I bet we have picked up at least a half inch in Ballwin this morning. Still light snow falling.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2021 5:59:15 GMT -6
Hey, it's snowing...again!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 6:00:19 GMT -6
Wouldn’t surprise me for some one to pick up a quick inch or two with this. It’s really coming down and the radar looks good in stl I don't know but it's pouring here |
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Feb 13, 2021 6:03:24 GMT -6
Radar showing some solid returns over the MO side this morning. we got a good dusting here in house springs still falling too!! |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 13, 2021 6:08:37 GMT -6
This morning is showing how fast snow accumulates when it’s this cold..... tomorrow night and Monday will be fun!!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2021 6:15:48 GMT -6
It's going to be a beautiful scene when the sun comes up. Snow globe snow and 2*. What an amazing stretch of weather we're witnessing!
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sals20
Wishcaster
Imperial, MO.
Posts: 92 
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Post by sals20 on Feb 13, 2021 6:21:25 GMT -6
Snowing in Imperial. Good dusting so far.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 13, 2021 6:21:34 GMT -6
We literally have a decent chance at snow every day this week(except Tuesday) until Friday....... enjoy it everyone ..... it might be awhile before we see this again!!
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Post by birddog on Feb 13, 2021 6:34:48 GMT -6
Woke to 1.4°. My point forecast overnight was for a 20% chance of light snow has been productive. Went out to fill the wood boiler, I would guess close to a 1/2".
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2021 6:44:28 GMT -6
Last night's models definitely show a SE trend with the primary wave...they are showing more focus on the digging energy coming in behind the ejecting mid-level shortwave which pulls it further S. The hit of WAA with the lead wave still looks pretty healthy Sun PM/Mon AM, but the deformation misses much of the area. The consensus has moved the 850mb low track up the Ohio River, which puts the far SE counties in a much better spot than the Metro.
Hopefully with the energy getting fully sampled with the 12/00z data today, that will get some better focus on how this plays out. I still feel good about several inches of snowfall in the Metro...but we may not see the big numbers that were being tossed around.
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Post by jeepers on Feb 13, 2021 6:53:55 GMT -6
So, Lucy arrives....
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2021 6:54:24 GMT -6
We need to be rooting for the new fangled GFS to score a coup here...it's maintained the amplified, negatively tilted shortwave with bundled vorticity and develops much better lift across the region Monday. But consensus has definitely moved away from that idea.
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Post by pbc12871 on Feb 13, 2021 7:03:54 GMT -6
I figured this was all to good to be true. If this ends with a bunch of cold and an inch of snow, it will be the biggest stretch of wasted cold in history. I used really love this time of year.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 13, 2021 7:04:06 GMT -6
.7 inches of new snow
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Post by bororug on Feb 13, 2021 7:09:11 GMT -6
Light snow currently falling. Flake size is great. Additional solid dusting on top of the “stuff” we had. Pure Winter outside. Temp:5
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Post by joshofstl on Feb 13, 2021 7:11:56 GMT -6
I'm trying to remember a time when STL got accumulating snow like this while the temperature was also in the single digits. I can't remember it happening offhand, not in recent memory at least.
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 13, 2021 7:14:29 GMT -6
Residual salt left over on parking lots of mine is taking care of it so far
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2021 7:18:23 GMT -6
So St. Peters once again recieved the most?
We received a dusting here
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