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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jan 25, 2021 15:19:14 GMT -6
I had to do round one on the driveway and sidewalk. The deck was shoveled off, this was taken an hour later.   |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 15:24:35 GMT -6
One thing I noticed, they sure put more emphasis and reference the ensembles way more than in years past. I guess a lot of the old timers are gone it definitely seems different at times in there forecasts and discussions
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 25, 2021 15:35:17 GMT -6
18z RGEM looks similar to the 18z HRRR Wednesday
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 25, 2021 15:37:56 GMT -6
What's that white stuff labrat?
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Post by bear1 on Jan 25, 2021 15:45:29 GMT -6
Yeah, what's the white stuff that falls from the sky.. It's been so long since I've seen it, I can't remember what it was called???  anyone remember what it was?? |
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cowboy
Wishcaster
10 miles west of rolla
Posts: 197 
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Post by cowboy on Jan 25, 2021 15:56:15 GMT -6
Poor guy. Didn’t get lucky like us and dodge the bullet.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 25, 2021 16:00:15 GMT -6
This disco is lol worthy. Which part is 'lol worthy'? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 25, 2021 16:03:56 GMT -6
Noticed that the current storm has a 40*+ temperature gradient between the Bi-state and Dixieland...something we haven't seen a lot of this season. Too bad that gradient wasn't about 150mi further south...
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 25, 2021 16:05:55 GMT -6
We will need to watch that snow pack for spring flooding. They say this every year and “we are going to have record flooding” every year and more often then not it’s normal spring time low area flooding and nothing more. People (farmers) in my area laugh at these type warnings anymore. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 25, 2021 16:06:56 GMT -6
This disco is lol worthy. Which part is 'lol worthy'? The whole thing |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 25, 2021 16:16:31 GMT -6
BTW...that cyclone I mentioned at D10 on the EPS is after the one at D6 which also has an unfavorable track. It's like mother nature is dual weilding the middle finger now. And we still have the Wednesday thing that has potential to disappoint as well.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 25, 2021 16:21:26 GMT -6
We will need to watch that snow pack for spring flooding. They say this every year and “we are going to have record flooding” every year and more often then not it’s normal spring time low area flooding and nothing more. People (farmers) in my area laugh at these type warnings anymore. i think how things transpire in the next 2 months will determine flood potential. i wasnt too concerned most of this winter until i started seeing an emerging pattern of above normal rainfall in the mid ms valley and above normal snow in the upper midwest, but i wldnt say record flooding, just minor attm. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 25, 2021 16:24:40 GMT -6
BTW...that cyclone I mentioned at D10 on the EPS is after the one at D6 which also has an unfavorable track. It's like mother nature is dual weilding the middle finger now. And we still have the Wednesday thing that has potential to disappoint as well. that d10 cyclone is what i was referring to as cutting into the cold air |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jan 25, 2021 16:25:48 GMT -6
Poor lady, not guy!!! Lol! I'd rather y'all get this, I hate driving in it. My dog loves it, she would rather be outside right now barking at people.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 25, 2021 16:26:28 GMT -6
Extended rap looks great for 1 to 3 inches
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 25, 2021 16:31:12 GMT -6
Extended rap looks great for 1 to 3 inches Nice little petite beef steak on the 21z run. The mesoscale models seem more bullish on this than the global. Let’s hope they are seeing something that actually comes true |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 25, 2021 16:45:54 GMT -6
Extended rap looks great for 1 to 3 inches Nice little petite beef steak on the 21z run. The mesoscale models seem more bullish on this than the global. Let’s hope they are seeing something that actually comes true How many times have we seen this crap. Tomorrow by this time it'll show very little of anything or 35 with snow, which amounts to the same thing, nothing. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 25, 2021 16:46:29 GMT -6
We will need to watch that snow pack for spring flooding. They say this every year and “we are going to have record flooding” every year and more often then not it’s normal spring time low area flooding and nothing more. People (farmers) in my area laugh at these type warnings anymore. They don't around here... |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 16:47:28 GMT -6
One good thing , we’re inside the 48 hour mark which gives us a lot of good short range data . I like rap , it’s starts precipitation before sunrise. The earlier the better .
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 20:20:19 GMT -6
NAM 12k looks much better for Wednesday
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 25, 2021 20:24:42 GMT -6
NAM 12k looks much better for Wednesday 12km and 3km NAM switched places on the 00z run. The 12km looks good while the 3km is very meh |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 20:27:24 GMT -6
That figures the , 0z HRRR looks good for southern areas not the metro area .
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 25, 2021 20:27:56 GMT -6
The 8* lapse rates thru the dgz on the NAM is interesting
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 25, 2021 20:30:22 GMT -6
Forcing north and south. Models trying to decide where is more dominant. Probably both with us getting zero point Zero.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 20:31:01 GMT -6
Coz, what does that mean
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 25, 2021 20:33:24 GMT -6
The lift with this system looks sporadic and disorganized at times as the energy moves overhead. It does have moisture to work with so wherever the best forcing sets up could see a nice little event
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 25, 2021 20:34:50 GMT -6
Once you start getting lapse rates in the upper 6s and 7s thru the snow growth- flakeage gets very good. 8* rates are very strong/ unstable
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 25, 2021 20:36:18 GMT -6
Be interesting to see the bufkit
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Post by landscaper on Jan 25, 2021 20:46:04 GMT -6
Thanks that would be nice to see
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 25, 2021 20:49:13 GMT -6
Yep- just an observation. Hope later runs keep this going
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anyone remember what it was??
