|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 14, 2021 8:17:56 GMT -6
I was hoping for more pro input before my foot became permanently lodged in mouth.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 8:18:35 GMT -6
12z NAM is a dude  |
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Feb 14, 2021 8:18:56 GMT -6
No pun intented but good god 1 foot on the nam tonight.
|
|
|
|
Post by dschreib on Feb 14, 2021 8:19:58 GMT -6
Murray, KY, sounding when things really get cranking. That's a fine line. If it was here, I'd end up calling for a monster sleet storm. We all know the capability of the WAM.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 14, 2021 8:20:15 GMT -6
What a huge change in the trends from 2/12 at 18z. I love Pivotal Weather.
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 14, 2021 8:23:36 GMT -6
Everybody.... take a deep breathe...
I thought I felt the earth rumble... that maybe Friv went KABOOM! Lets analyze before jumping aboard. But... could we remember thisbas the "Valentine's/President's Day Storm of 2021?"
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 14, 2021 8:24:33 GMT -6
Wow, I still hadn't looked at a precip outlook yet. It is awesome being able to get excited over a 500mb map, in my case. I found a 'new' high.
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 8:26:11 GMT -6
THE 12Z NAM IS INSANE.
YES
YES
YES
KABOOM
12-15" FOR BELLEVILLE
0.75" QPF
2014 REDUX
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 8:26:32 GMT -6
12z Hi res NAM is also a dude. I think we need some winter storm warnings  |
|
|
|
Post by dschreib on Feb 14, 2021 8:27:13 GMT -6
No pun intented but good god 1 foot on the nam tonight. Not just tonight--through Monday night into Tuesday. Don't tell people to expect a foot of snow tomorrow morning when they wake up. |
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 14, 2021 8:28:20 GMT -6
THE 12Z NAM IS INSANE. YES YES YES KABOOM 12-15" FOR BELLEVILLE 0.75" QPF 2014 REDUX “Oh babyyy” *Ken Wilson voice* |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 14, 2021 8:28:43 GMT -6
The PV has really moved east with the subsequent NAM runs. "Deep breath...." I can't stop hyper-ventilating.  |
|
|
|
Post by toddatfarmington on Feb 14, 2021 8:30:09 GMT -6
THE 12Z NAM IS INSANE. YES YES YES KABOOM 12-15" FOR BELLEVILLE 0.75" QPF 2014 REDUX It’s been a long time since “Kaboom” 😁 |
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 8:31:58 GMT -6
The VORTICITY EVOLUTION IS PERFECT. I LOOKED AT H5 FIRST. AND MY JAW DROPPED. MY GIRLFRIEND IS LIKE WHAT??? I SAID WE ARE GETTING OVER A FOOT OF SNOW. OK DEEP BREATH... Hires man kuchera  |
|
|
|
Post by pbc12871 on Feb 14, 2021 8:32:12 GMT -6
We got a Frivs KABOOM? It's on now folks!!
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 8:33:38 GMT -6
The deformation zone on the nam would be like 1-2" per hour for 5-6 hours.
The models are in consensus for this evolution...
The 12Z hrrr has 9-11" its not as developed.
Amazing
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 14, 2021 8:36:15 GMT -6
Awesome trends!
Models look great across the board
|
|
|
|
Post by mosue56 on Feb 14, 2021 8:37:28 GMT -6
We have sunshine in Festus!
|
|
|
|
Post by scmhack on Feb 14, 2021 8:37:30 GMT -6
since when do we trend to more snow?
|
|
|
|
Post by dschreib on Feb 14, 2021 8:37:34 GMT -6
FWIW, the Davis on the swingset got to -1.3* at 5:00a before the battery died. Came back to life at 7:45a with -0.4*...so chances are we were somewhere in the -1.5* range.
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 14, 2021 8:38:21 GMT -6
Like I said yesterday...never, ever discount the last second NW shift with the deformation zone. My goodness.
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 8:41:07 GMT -6
REJOICE MY FRIENDS...
WHERE IS SNOWMAN99
COME OUT BIG FELLA...
IS YOUR TIME TO SHINE!!!!
YOU PROVED TO THE WEATHER GOD'S THAT WE ARE WORTHY.
WE DESERVE THIS. THE NEXT 5-6 DAYS COULD BE TRULY HISTORICAL WITH MULTIPLE FEET OF SNOW.
|
|
gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
|
Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Feb 14, 2021 8:42:51 GMT -6
Snowing lightly in WashMO. This is like the previews before the feature presentation.
|
|
sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
|
Post by sullivanjohn on Feb 14, 2021 8:43:09 GMT -6
THE 12Z NAM IS INSANE. YES YES YES KABOOM 12-15" FOR BELLEVILLE 0.75" QPF 2014 REDUX And suddenly all was right in The Corner, if only for a little while... 😁 |
|
|
|
Post by pbc12871 on Feb 14, 2021 8:43:14 GMT -6
Anytime Frivs types in all caps, I know we are on to something!
|
|
|
|
Post by weatherj on Feb 14, 2021 8:43:24 GMT -6
Like I said yesterday...never, ever discount the last second NW shift with the deformation zone. My goodness. You're right...it takes the heaviest totals/axis from SE IL-SW IN/ W KY and pushes it back NW to E Central-SE MO and S Central/S IL. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 8:44:22 GMT -6
NAM has wind gust tomorrow in the 25-30 mph range
Definitely near blizzard conditions
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 8:48:19 GMT -6
The thing is almost the entire column can support ice Crystal growth.
Expect a mix of dendrites, smaller flakes, some cotton balls..
All falling in a blinding sheet of snow
|
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Feb 14, 2021 8:52:35 GMT -6
Wonder when they will pop the warning for the southeat 2/3 rds of the area
|
|
|
|
Post by jeepers on Feb 14, 2021 8:53:50 GMT -6
Break out the Friv-o-meter, it’s possible that we’re going to have a party.
|
|
