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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 23:11:40 GMT -6
Still hints the PV will want to play again after a brief 5 day vacation only to return in early March. Not a direct hit, and southeast Ridge will be budging in, but enough that overrunning events and even another bout or 2 of significant winter weather might be possible first 8-10 days of the month. After that we should see a more persistent arrival of Spring. Man I hope this pattern lasts into May with a bit of a northwest shift second half of Spring. would be a wicked severe storm pattern.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 23:13:05 GMT -6
Just amusing we're so amped up about a few tenths of an inch of QPF. amazing what super high ratios can do.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 23:18:18 GMT -6
Just amusing we're so amped up about a few tenths of an inch of QPF. amazing what super high ratios can do. Have you tried measuring. I just went out and from what I can tell we got 1.5-2" from round one. The wind has really blown things around. But measuring about 20 different spots all yielded 1.5-2". |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 14, 2021 23:26:18 GMT -6
NAM maintains a coupled jet structure across the region tomorrow afternoon...deep lift and very efficient snow growth should result in lots of high ratio fluff.
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Post by cnagel3 - Festus on Feb 14, 2021 23:30:29 GMT -6
Seemed like it would be more, and wind might be an issue, but I just measured right at 1” on the unplowed street in about 10 different places just to the southeast of Festus about 5 miles.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 23:36:52 GMT -6
This sounding tomorrow should speak for itself, and a sounding like this is maintained over the area for several hours tomorrow afternoon  |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Feb 14, 2021 23:39:35 GMT -6
Just went out and measured a few spots blocked from the wind, and we have right at 1.5” in Mascoutah. You had a heavier band come through earlier, so I knew you should have a little more than us to the east of Belleville Just amusing we're so amped up about a few tenths of an inch of QPF. amazing what super high ratios can do. Have you tried measuring. I just went out and from what I can tell we got 1.5-2" from round one. The wind has really blown things around. But measuring about 20 different spots all yielded 1.5-2". |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 14, 2021 23:45:13 GMT -6
Wow, that's amazing 920...max lift square though a deep, saturated DGZ. Should be a wall of snow lifting through the entire region tomorrow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 23:58:54 GMT -6
00z Euro  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 15, 2021 0:04:03 GMT -6
Seems like model output is focusing on 8-10" in the Metro...seems doable.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 15, 2021 0:07:57 GMT -6
Pretty heavy tiny tiny flakes at the moment. About 1.5 but as everyone has said hard to measure with the wind blowing it all around. Also still have a solid layer of sleet/snow compaction under it all from before.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 15, 2021 0:17:49 GMT -6
Dry air has lost the battle here...light snow and a coating so far. Everything still looks on track. This storm is coming together nicely on satellite across the panhandle region.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 15, 2021 0:37:33 GMT -6
-21°
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 0:37:55 GMT -6
The Springfield MO radar is amazing.
The HRRR brings that blob of snow ENE/NE the next few hours while weakening it some.
However we all have seen the models always break down these little pieces of vorticity way to quickly
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 15, 2021 0:38:56 GMT -6
This sounding tomorrow should speak for itself, and a sounding like this is maintained over the area for several hours tomorrow afternoon This sounding needs to be framed and put on a damn shirt |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 0:47:36 GMT -6
The SPRINGFIELD MO RADAR IS AMAZING...
GET READY FOR ANOTHER 1-3" OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES THROUGH
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 15, 2021 0:58:55 GMT -6
This sounding tomorrow should speak for itself, and a sounding like this is maintained over the area for several hours tomorrow afternoon This sounding needs to be framed and put on a damn shirt If this pans out, I’ll have my friend (who has the software+hardware) print 20 shirts of this. It’s a beauty but only if it pans out! |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 15, 2021 1:04:00 GMT -6
This sounding needs to be framed and put on a damn shirt If this pans out, I’ll have my friend (who has the software+hardware) print 20 shirts of this. It’s a beauty but only if it pans out! 🤚 First to buy! |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 15, 2021 1:23:03 GMT -6
These gulf storms when they happen are a thing of beauty!
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Post by weatherj on Feb 15, 2021 1:31:07 GMT -6
How is the Wednesday system looking on the Euro?
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 15, 2021 1:40:09 GMT -6
How is the Wednesday system looking on the Euro? Basically a swing and a miss. Maybe an inch or so. |
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Post by weatherj on Feb 15, 2021 1:49:09 GMT -6
How is the Wednesday system looking on the Euro? Basically a swing and a miss. Maybe an inch or so. Thanks. I still think it may trend NW a bit more. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 2:27:30 GMT -6
Finally composite radar has snow moving back into the immediate metro now
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 2:59:18 GMT -6
Large flakes have decided to once again start pouring out of the sky.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 15, 2021 3:47:22 GMT -6
I'm still up with ya friv! But unfortunately I'm going to have to hit the sack soon. 2nd shift comes fast when I get up...
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Post by pbc12871 on Feb 15, 2021 4:01:24 GMT -6
Hope today pans out because last night was a whole lot of nothing in Ballwin. I just looked at radar. Nice hole right over Ballwin. This sucks.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 15, 2021 4:05:22 GMT -6
That blob out near Warrenton has to be rippin!?!
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Post by pbc12871 on Feb 15, 2021 4:20:31 GMT -6
The radar is priceless. It has snowed around me all night. That dry air has been kicking ! BACKSIDE ! since the get go. It just won't budge. So sick of waiting.
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 15, 2021 4:27:22 GMT -6
Good Morning Mr Snow Hole......(with two middle fingers).
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 15, 2021 4:29:59 GMT -6
The radar is priceless. It has snowed around me all night. That dry air has been kicking ! BACKSIDE ! since the get go. It just won't budge. So sick of waiting. Dude I understand, the heavy return over me now will probably be it for my area. I probably got about 2" on top of what fell last week. Just eyeballing from the window. Hoping you get your snow and it comes down heavy and I get hit with the heavier stuff tomorrow too |
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