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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Feb 14, 2021 10:28:13 GMT -6
Was -1 for the overnight low. Is 10 now. Think the forecast high is 16 today for Mascoutah/KBLV. Anyway you look at it... its friggin cold. Given the past 14 years I've been here, I've never seen it snow during these kind of Temps. If it has, I do not recall.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 10:33:01 GMT -6
Ggem is epic  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 10:35:26 GMT -6
Happy Anniversary to my one true love. She doesn't come by often but when she does it's pleasant and calming. She can cruel and divisive, but fair and true. I love you snow.  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 10:35:44 GMT -6
Ggem mid week is huge. Combined totals. This is only the next 4 days. Unreal  |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Feb 14, 2021 10:39:44 GMT -6
I'm so happy for you guys. Lol. Supposed to get down to -20 for a low up here, not looking forward to that. Gross.
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 14, 2021 10:44:41 GMT -6
The NWS St. Louis still has Ferguson with 2-4 inches possible
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 10:48:57 GMT -6
The NWS St. Louis still has Ferguson with 2-4 inches possible That's very likely to change with the afternoon update |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 10:48:58 GMT -6
15Z rap is a little sloppy getting the storm together. But produces:  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 10:51:50 GMT -6
UKIE has almost doubled QPF from last night
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 10:52:19 GMT -6
Ukmet showing 0.4-0.5 QPF across the area
Very supportive of warning levels of snowfall
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 14, 2021 10:53:52 GMT -6
If this isn’t weather porn, I don’t know what is.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Feb 14, 2021 10:55:51 GMT -6
This year I am one of the Mascoutah high school assistant bowling coaches. We are supposed to bowl against Highland at SAFB. I'd imagine that isn't going to happen.
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Post by jeepers on Feb 14, 2021 10:58:31 GMT -6
...Boom from Friv, and Snowman waxing romantic poetic!
This is a week that will not be forgotten!
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 11:00:02 GMT -6
All but 5 counties in TX under a wsw. Obscene
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Post by toddatfarmington on Feb 14, 2021 11:01:32 GMT -6
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 11:02:09 GMT -6
We will get a winter storm warning if the European is close to the nam and gfsV16...
Also my PIPES MUST BE FROZEN.
I AM AT THE TOP(3RD LEVEL) IN AN RELATIVELY OLD BRICK BUILDING.
SUCKS
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 11:04:16 GMT -6
That looks very realistic... The NENA is crazy |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 11:04:53 GMT -6
The 06z run of the euro was pretty good
I'd imagine the 12z run here will come in hot and heavy
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 11:05:02 GMT -6
From our old friend Fish, over on twitter:
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331 
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Post by bob on Feb 14, 2021 11:09:54 GMT -6
Snowman does the deeper system mean more snow
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Post by ElburnDave on Feb 14, 2021 11:11:36 GMT -6
Bigger box alert.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 14, 2021 11:11:50 GMT -6
From our old friend Fish, over on twitter: This is like the opposite version of the singing in the rain gif. |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 14, 2021 11:14:04 GMT -6
From our old friend Fish, over on twitter: It doesn’t get better than this! That’s being a true weather man old school style! Does he still reside in STL? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 14, 2021 11:17:20 GMT -6
Higher than forecast heights over the lakes and lower across the SW is a good thing...that should encourage more backing of the mid-level flow downstream of the trof which means greater lift and potential for a further NW track of the mid-level shortwave/low. This is why models are more amped with the 12z runs...and supports warning criteria snowfall across the region.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 14, 2021 11:25:45 GMT -6
12z ukmet is suppressed with the midweek storm.
Maybe a quick 1-3 before it collapses south.
Don’t need the midweek storm if this one produces though!
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Post by landscaper on Feb 14, 2021 11:28:37 GMT -6
What is the Ukmet showing for Wednesday
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Feb 14, 2021 11:30:05 GMT -6
The NWS will take a credibility hit and this is why. Guidance has suggested for multiple days that an event at least of 3-5 and more likely 3-6 with significantly more directly to our SE. - they didn’t pull the trigger and they were wrong and many of us suggested they would be. Right off the bat the temperatures are dangerous and having your vehicle disabled in a ditch with “only” 3-5 becomes life and death if you don’t get help or you aren’t found. That’s why - in my opinion- it really wasn’t a borderline decision. Multiple inches of snow was going to fall in extremely cold temperatures - it wasn’t going to deal with warm surface temps ect ect - the potential for dangerous - not hazardous- dangerous conditions was significant. Now they will issue a warning approx an hour before the event begins which negates the original purpose of the warning to begin with - to get the message out so folks don’t go out if they don’t have to.
Just my .02
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 14, 2021 11:31:10 GMT -6
Looking at the 12z 500mb chart, the -20*C isotherm bisects the region...that's a great sign. I've noticed over the years that snowstorms love to follow that...this one seems no different.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 14, 2021 11:32:08 GMT -6
I don’t get the warning stuff.
It’s 0 degrees out and accumulating snow is being called for.
Do you really need somebody to tell you to be careful with that? Seems silly
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 14, 2021 11:33:36 GMT -6
12z ukmet is suppressed with the midweek storm. Maybe a quick 1-3 before it collapses south. Don’t need the midweek storm if this one produces though! id say the old rule of 1 storm at a time is of utmost importance to adhere to in case as we dont know for sure how things will play out in 24 hrs, especially not 72 by the side effects of the next 24 |
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