|
|
Post by amstilost on Mar 17, 2021 6:58:27 GMT -6
There is a Twitter post 6 posts down on Elizabeth Leitman's page referring to the Severe Thunderstorm warning showing a sounding overlaid over a picture of the sky at the same time. Pretty interesting.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Mar 17, 2021 7:21:49 GMT -6
There is clearly a circulation close to Jeff City on radar and I tried looking on SPC site to see it but could not. Is this a meso-low that is not picked up by surface obs??? I looked at Surface and Upper Level areas.
|
|
|
|
Post by red12 Hillsboro,mo on Mar 17, 2021 7:52:23 GMT -6
Does anyone follow Hyperlocal Extreme Weather on facebook? And what's your thoughts? He is in here as well......come out come out whomever you are. 😂😂 I didn't know lol but I do like his page 👍 |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 8:03:28 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Mar 17, 2021 8:26:31 GMT -6
That cell that just went through Northeast Franklin County about 25 mins ago had a lot of pea size hail with it.
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 17, 2021 8:38:00 GMT -6
That cell that just went through Northeast Franklin County about 25 mins ago had a lot of pea size hail with it. Yeah... just about everything seems to be capable of small hail this morning and I would expect that to be the big feature today... small hail followed by heavy rain. |
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Mar 17, 2021 8:39:52 GMT -6
He is in here as well......come out come out whomever you are. 😂😂 I didn't know lol but I do like his page 👍 There’s actually 6 of us in here on that page. We have about 10 first responders, 8 storm chasers, and several neighboring police departments that relay us a wealth of information. It never was meant to be a public page. It was private until Facebook accused us of running a business off it which we were not and we were forced to go public or be shutdown. Ironically, it sort of grew overnight with sponsorships that fund our chasing and recently we have been asked by a STL broadcasting company to do their weather on 3 different radio stations. Glad you enjoy the page! |
|
|
|
Post by Kathy Walker - Fredericktown on Mar 17, 2021 9:36:57 GMT -6
Biggest threats around here will be heavy rain and some hail. The closest tornado threat to us looks to be MAYBE southern Rynolda over to Madison County (MO)...or Fredericktown. But I really think it ends up further south towards Poplar Bluff and points south. It is REALLY hard to see anything other than hailers north of the track of the upper low which is forecast to pass well to our south. So far south... I'm beginning to look more closely at the potential for wet snow mixing with the rain tomorrow afternoon... especially in the higher terrain of the eastern Ozarks. I hope the tornadic storms don't pan out. |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Mar 17, 2021 10:10:17 GMT -6
Maybe I am missing something, but why on earth would there be weather radio test today?  ? |
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Mar 17, 2021 10:19:29 GMT -6
45% TOR issued down south. WOW
|
|
|
|
Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 17, 2021 10:19:35 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 17, 2021 10:20:12 GMT -6
45% TOR issued down south. WOW 45% Hatched is as high as I have ever seen |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 10:21:15 GMT -6
45% TOR issued down south. WOW Scary stuff |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 17, 2021 10:28:03 GMT -6
Temps already in the upper 70s near 80* across MS with upper 60/low 70* Tds. bring advected in. Classic setup for long tracked, violent tornadoes with low LCLs and strong shear/instability.
|
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Mar 17, 2021 10:29:43 GMT -6
I'm not positive, but the last 45% hatched may have been 4/27/11...no?
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 10:31:51 GMT -6
I'm not positive, but the last 45% hatched may have been 4/27/11...no? |
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Mar 17, 2021 10:33:15 GMT -6
And yes with the clouds and rain ongoing and synoptic low moving even further south than indicated yesterday I think the risk for severe weather in SE MO and S IL should be fairly limited.
|
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Mar 17, 2021 10:39:53 GMT -6
I'm not positive, but the last 45% hatched may have been 4/27/11...no? Ah yes 5/20/19....that was the "sorta" bust where the HRRR was showing a bunch discrete sups that didn't really pan out like that right? Totally forgot about the other post April 2011 events. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 10:42:53 GMT -6
95/90 tornado probabilities on that PDS watch
|
|
|
|
Post by bdgwx on Mar 17, 2021 10:58:38 GMT -6
2006-04-07 was a 60% hatched TOR area. It is the only 60% TOR risk I know of.  |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Mar 17, 2021 11:00:31 GMT -6
Heads up Birmingham... looks like that cell is about to go off.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 11:03:03 GMT -6
100kts of G2G shear on that cell E of Laurel
That didn’t take long
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Mar 17, 2021 11:16:46 GMT -6
the clustering of those cells near Birmingham may have inhibited an intensification of that main supercell. Another tight hook from Selma.
Can't imagine what meteorologists are going through down there. Must feel like your head is spinning like a top.
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Mar 17, 2021 12:25:46 GMT -6
/photo/1
|
|
|
|
Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 17, 2021 12:49:54 GMT -6
Still expecting another round of rain and storms this evening?
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 17, 2021 12:58:16 GMT -6
Still expecting another round of rain and storms this evening? Ya starting to see it come together in NE Oklahoma currently. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Mar 17, 2021 13:03:23 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 17, 2021 13:05:25 GMT -6
Tornado sirens just went off over here in Mascoutah. Not sure why.
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 17, 2021 13:14:36 GMT -6
Wonder what they'll use if we get that many storms again. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Mar 17, 2021 13:17:17 GMT -6
|
|
?
