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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jul 15, 2021 11:34:55 GMT -6
A small Slight Risk issued in the latest outlook north of I-70, mainly in Illinois.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 15, 2021 11:47:31 GMT -6
It seems like a very conditional threat, but some CAMs have been showing extreme helicity values in a small area near the surface low Friday. The SPC has no risk area defined tomorrow so it seems like a nothing burger but it does catch your attention.   Sounds like another good setup for landspouts. There were several sighted in IL the other day. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jul 15, 2021 13:37:04 GMT -6
US Drought Monitor update came out today. Now the largest coverage of extreme drought ever for that product going back 20+ years at 24.17%. Just edging the previous max back in 2012.
Edit: Probably worth noting that just considering the Western region the extreme and exceptional coverage has been at records for weeks now.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 15, 2021 17:47:27 GMT -6
5 years ago today was a fairly significant severe storm according to my FB memories. 21 years ago today (July 15), my son, then 12, became a lightning strike survivor after he and 3 other boys from a boyscout troop were struck by lightning on Taum Sauk Mtn. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 15, 2021 18:52:11 GMT -6
I love watching gust fronts come through. Hope we get some rain tonight.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 15, 2021 19:15:43 GMT -6
Cool looking storms coming in. Everyone should get a good soaking.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jul 15, 2021 19:32:01 GMT -6
Just west of Belleville looks interesting.
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Post by REB on Jul 16, 2021 6:08:57 GMT -6
1.97” since it started last night.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 16, 2021 6:47:23 GMT -6
wow, my click point has 10 consecutive forecast periods with no mention of rain beginning saturday night...and not hot. cool. we need the break.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 16, 2021 8:20:46 GMT -6
about 1.25" overnight here
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 16, 2021 8:52:32 GMT -6
Right at 2 inches last night …. Crazy part is that we missed the first line that dropped a couple of inches ….. 7.4 for the month…. Crazy pattern
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jul 16, 2021 9:33:04 GMT -6
Right at an inch.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 16, 2021 12:23:27 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jul 16, 2021 13:24:48 GMT -6
It has been nice to see mother nature redistribute the wealth over the last couple of days. We've had some solid rains down this way.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Jul 16, 2021 14:27:14 GMT -6
1.3" according to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete. Sun is popping out now.
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Post by amstilost on Jul 16, 2021 19:46:11 GMT -6
I love it....a forecast for AC to be turned off and attic fan on in the evenings until mid day Wednesday. Really looks like a pretty nice stretch of weather.
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57 
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Post by seyahmit on Jul 16, 2021 20:59:26 GMT -6
1.27" for me overnight and this morning.
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Post by cozpregon on Jul 17, 2021 0:49:10 GMT -6
After a quiet week- looking like we will be in a good spot for MCSs
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Post by REB on Jul 17, 2021 11:28:55 GMT -6
Weeding one of my flower beds. Done. The rest will wait for a better day.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 17, 2021 11:37:48 GMT -6
After a quiet week- looking like we will be in a good spot for MCSs Looks like a pretty classic ring of fire setup towards the end of the week. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jul 18, 2021 12:45:16 GMT -6
12Z GFS and the 600DM Ridge right overhead at the end of the month.  |
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395
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Post by twocat on Jul 18, 2021 16:47:45 GMT -6
12Z GFS and the 600DM Ridge right overhead at the end of the month. Would you please explain what that means weather-wise? In layman's terms? Thanks! |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jul 18, 2021 18:21:39 GMT -6
12Z GFS and the 600DM Ridge right overhead at the end of the month. Means if it verifies and it's still a long ways off but the GFS has been more or less persistent that a prolonged period of very hot and dry weather is in store. In other words the 'Dog Days of Summer'.
-Also almost all of North America is smothered in smoke from the Pacific northwest and California fires as well as those in Canada. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 18, 2021 18:58:37 GMT -6
Has anyone noticed it’s starting to get darker sooner.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jul 18, 2021 20:03:48 GMT -6
12Z GFS and the 600DM Ridge right overhead at the end of the month. Would you please explain what that means weather-wise? In layman's terms? Thanks! As with everything in science, consider the source. It could just as easily be 75 and raining |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 18, 2021 21:33:55 GMT -6
Has anyone noticed it’s starting to get darker sooner. Yes, and daybreak is coming later in the morning. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jul 19, 2021 6:11:48 GMT -6
Has anyone noticed it’s starting to get darker sooner. Yes, and daybreak is coming later in the morning. Sadly yes. I like the long days. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 19, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -6
I have a sinking feeling that our chances for snow are pretty low for a while. Winter is over folks.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 19, 2021 18:22:08 GMT -6
You can really notice the wildfire smoke out there this evening
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 20, 2021 13:20:38 GMT -6
There is still a bit of blue of in the sky today if you look hard. HRRR says smoke densities will continue to increase in our area tomorrow. Most of this is elevated so the biggest effect will be washed out skies and perhaps a degree or so knocked off our highs. The HRRR is showing some of the smoke dropping down to surface, but I'm not sure it'll even be enough smell or cause problems for those with sensitive respiratory systems.
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