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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 29, 2021 7:49:30 GMT -6
Ida is a hell of a storm, but I think New Orleans will be ok wind and surge wise. It jogged west a bit the last couple hours. Flash flooding in the city though I think will be a problem. Most models show that max training feeder band on the east side setting up generally over the city.
I’m afraid Grand Isle will not fare so well.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 29, 2021 8:19:56 GMT -6
Definitely a significant wobble towards the west this morning which is huge for NOLA. They are still going to get the surge and flooding rains but not the inner eyewall and core.
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 29, 2021 8:40:21 GMT -6
Looks like on the latest recon eye pass the pressure has stabilized and even risen slightly.
This little western jog could be catastrophic for some of those smaller delta communities like Galliano and Houma.
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 29, 2021 8:42:39 GMT -6
Finding a couple different sources on the Internet listing Galliano elevation at 3ft and Houma at 10ft. Together those communities have about 40k population.
Edit: I think Galliano has some protection from levees though...
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 29, 2021 8:44:17 GMT -6
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 29, 2021 8:58:48 GMT -6
I wonder if the chaser is really on Grand Isle or it's just a pre-placed camera? Reports are that 28 people decided to stay on the island...crazy. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 29, 2021 9:58:56 GMT -6
I wonder if the chaser is really on Grand Isle or it's just a pre-placed camera? Reports are that 28 people decided to stay on the island...crazy. Just a remote cam I believe. Lots of debris in the water there now. The eye wall may miss just a hair west. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 29, 2021 10:06:34 GMT -6
Holy cow who turned on the popcorn. That all popped up quick
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Post by yypc on Aug 29, 2021 10:20:03 GMT -6
Hopefully last day of 90+/70+ dewpoint for the season.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 29, 2021 10:29:20 GMT -6
That cam is about to be insane. Easter eyewall approaching Grand Isle.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 29, 2021 10:32:01 GMT -6
Hopefully last day of 90+/70+ dewpoint for the season. doubtful |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 29, 2021 10:58:48 GMT -6
Looks like we have Ida landfall as a Cat 4
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 29, 2021 11:00:14 GMT -6
Grand Isle is taking the brunt of the eye wall right now
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202 
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Post by BDS on Aug 29, 2021 11:20:01 GMT -6
I think this was one of the better forecasts the NHC has ever put out for a hurricane in a while. They got the rapid intensification correct…only off by 10 MPH, honed in on the SE Louisiana landfall 3 days out. It’s arriving maybe a tad earlier than projected a couple days ago, but all in all it’s a pretty darned impressive forecast.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 29, 2021 12:04:25 GMT -6
Ida is a beast! Wow
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 29, 2021 13:06:36 GMT -6
FYI: It’s the last weekend of Meteorological Summer.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 29, 2021 17:22:20 GMT -6
New Orleans may get that eastern eyewall yet. Moving north with some wobbles to the east.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 29, 2021 17:33:51 GMT -6
New Orleans may get that eastern eyewall yet. Moving north with some wobbles to the east. Yeah, I've noticed that too. Here in our area, storms are popping west and north of town. Wondering how the coverage will be tonight. I would assume pretty isolated. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Aug 29, 2021 19:46:55 GMT -6
Pretty remarkable how long Ida has remained a major hurricane over “land.”
New Orleans was spared the worst case scenario, but it’s still really bad.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 29, 2021 20:30:41 GMT -6
Pretty remarkable how long Ida has remained a major hurricane over “land.” New Orleans was spared the worst case scenario, but it’s still really bad. Yea, they are still having 90 mph wind gusts in New Orleans. Crazy how it has been pounding hurricane force winds and torrential rain for over 12 hours now. |
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 29, 2021 20:36:48 GMT -6
It’s relentless-
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Aug 29, 2021 21:11:41 GMT -6
Reading on Twitter that the west side of NO is in bad shape….. prayers for these people
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 29, 2021 21:15:47 GMT -6
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Post by amstilost on Aug 30, 2021 9:11:07 GMT -6
I'm in Eureka waiting for Big Boy 4014 to come through. It's kind of like the atmosphere of a rock concert. Ahh, the memories.😁
Weather is cloud covered and just a bit muggy.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Aug 30, 2021 12:08:08 GMT -6
I'm in Eureka waiting for Big Boy 4014 to come through. It's kind of like the atmosphere of a rock concert. Ahh, the memories.😁 Weather is cloud covered and just a bit muggy. Saw it twice on Saturday and on display yesterday. What an absolutely incredible machine. That steam whistle made my arm hair stand up. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 30, 2021 12:54:34 GMT -6
Looks like a flash flooding event is unfolding from roughly Belleville to Carlyle with training, slow moving storms.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 30, 2021 13:26:55 GMT -6
Somehow I have managed to avoid all rain so far today but constant thunder.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 30, 2021 13:51:31 GMT -6
I keep hearing Thunder too. I just got on the radar and man some of them places have to be in a flash flood or very close to it. they are not moving much.
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Post by pbc12871 on Aug 30, 2021 14:15:08 GMT -6
It is absolutely pouring in Ballwin right now.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 30, 2021 14:44:36 GMT -6
Just had a brief heavy downpour here but lots of thunder 7 miles west of DeSoto.
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