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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Oct 24, 2021 11:07:46 GMT -6
78° here in Hillsboro
Mostly sunny 🌞
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 11:13:40 GMT -6
77 in st.peter
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Oct 24, 2021 11:21:39 GMT -6
Just got home from running around a bit... Truck says its 81, home weather station says 78 here in Mascoutah. Mostly sunny.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 24, 2021 11:29:18 GMT -6
Yep sun has broken through in Perryville as well. Yikes.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 24, 2021 11:34:43 GMT -6
Sitting out here at the lake just southeast of Marissa with full sunshine
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2021 11:43:45 GMT -6
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 12:14:46 GMT -6
81 degrees dp 67 yuck
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Post by amstilost on Oct 24, 2021 12:30:37 GMT -6
Another question regarding NWS conveyance/lack of wrt possible severe/lifethreatening weather. Again, my forecast calls for 80% chance of showers/thunderstorms. Why is there no other mention of possible severe weather in the forecast. What am I missing again?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 24, 2021 12:52:29 GMT -6
Another question regarding NWS conveyance/lack of wrt possible severe/lifethreatening weather. Again, my forecast calls for 80% chance of showers/thunderstorms. Why is there no other mention of possible severe weather in the forecast. What am I missing again? Agreed...strange, especially when the disco mentions this being the most potent setup in a while. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Oct 24, 2021 12:55:53 GMT -6
Gotta keep an eye to the sky for sure.
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Post by dschreib on Oct 24, 2021 12:56:03 GMT -6
Winds are ripping out there. Wouldn't want to be pulling a trailer or camper today.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Oct 24, 2021 12:57:37 GMT -6
Winds are ripping out there. Wouldn't want to be pulling a trailer or camper today. Just left the car wash in Mascoutah and had to wait for at least 8 trucks pulling campers and various high profiled trailers. I said the exact same thing.. I would not want to pull anything today. As it is, its blowing me all over the road in my truck. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 13:09:20 GMT -6
Tornado watch til 10
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 13:12:25 GMT -6
Darn close to pds very strongly worded watch
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 24, 2021 13:12:32 GMT -6
I've noticed the NWS doesn't mention severe in the forecast unless it's a mod or high risk. And when a watch is in effect.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 24, 2021 13:13:31 GMT -6
lol that watch is almost for all of MO
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 24, 2021 13:28:10 GMT -6
looks like after today's severe wx, Fall may finally be here to stay. Cool temps and what looks like maybe a prolonged rainy time mid-late week.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Oct 24, 2021 14:05:25 GMT -6
looks like after today's severe wx, Fall may finally be here to stay. Cool temps and what looks like maybe a prolonged rainy time mid-late week. As long as we dry out by one week from today..... |
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shoe
Weather Weenie
Edwardsville, Illinois
Posts: 43 
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Post by shoe on Oct 24, 2021 14:51:38 GMT -6
Are the storms for this area starting to blow up in southwest mo.?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 24, 2021 14:53:18 GMT -6
Are the storms for this area starting to blow up in southwest mo.? Potentially. Others will likely develop out ahead of that to the east over the next couple hours. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2021 15:04:07 GMT -6
This sounding off the 3km NAM is one of the better ones I’ve seen around these parts. That checks a lot of boxes  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 24, 2021 15:08:19 GMT -6
The main show for us should be that line of storms across western MO. That stuff in central MO looks like it’s fighting the CAP and may struggle to do much. Worth keeping an eye on though
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 15:13:51 GMT -6
Chilicothe looks like bad news right now
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Post by dschreib on Oct 24, 2021 15:20:41 GMT -6
Somebody tell Bezos and Musk to invest in a bunch of radar sites. Too many gaps.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 24, 2021 15:32:55 GMT -6
At least if this happens it’s not going to be at 2am.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 24, 2021 15:33:10 GMT -6
In Warrenton awaiting a show. The warm layer aloft is killing off the potential with the prefrontal trough. However, the main shortwave will pivot east (with the cold front) and that does appear to be the main show. Large scale lift will overcome the warm layer and let the convection go. I also expect that the western line will eventually merge with the southern end of the prefrontal line in this process. May head south on Hwy 47 after my hit at the top of the 5pm newscast...wondering if I-44 ends up being the better play now that the central MO stuff is struggling.
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Post by ndolan387 on Oct 24, 2021 15:36:40 GMT -6
In Warrenton awaiting a show. The warm layer aloft is killing off the potential with the prefrontal trough. However, the main shortwave will pivot east (with the cold front) and that does appear to be the main show. Large scale lift will overcome the warm layer and let the convection go. I also expect that the western line will eventually merge with the southern end of the prefrontal line in this process. May head south on Hwy 47 after my hit at the top of the 5pm newscast...wondering if I-44 ends up being the better play now that the central MO stuff is struggling. Severe Weather Specialist working hard! First big setup with your new role Chris! |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 24, 2021 15:45:03 GMT -6
The cap is strong
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 24, 2021 15:47:07 GMT -6
So the cap may help us for tonight in St. Louis?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 24, 2021 15:47:29 GMT -6
I'd target the 44 corridor around Rolla where the LLJ will be maximized. Terrain sucks for chasing down there but that seems to be the favored zone for tornadoes.
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