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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 13, 2021 16:23:54 GMT -6
So you're saying there's a chance...
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Post by amstilost on Oct 13, 2021 23:38:09 GMT -6
The rain has been a miss for me so far.....hope the snow this winter doesn't do the same thing. :-O
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 14, 2021 0:33:41 GMT -6
The rain has been a miss for me so far.....hope the snow this winter doesn't do the same thing. :-O It will... |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 14, 2021 2:52:43 GMT -6
Rain has been west all night it looks like. Nothing. Sad.
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Post by amstilost on Oct 14, 2021 6:39:30 GMT -6
Rain has been west all night it looks like. Nothing. Sad. Same here, looks dry as it did yesterday evening. While looking just a little ways to the west, a general 1-2" of good soaking rains from all day yesterday and last night. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 14, 2021 8:05:34 GMT -6
Well look what is showing up on the Euro ensemble... well... one of the members anyway. It's not much... but it is a sign of the times...and NO... I don't think it will snow lol.  But it’s starting to show up in the models. That’s good. |
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Post by dschreib on Oct 14, 2021 9:05:19 GMT -6
I'm good with no rain for the rest of the week. It's been relatively dry down my way for about a month, and this is the week when I have a contractor driving all over the yard, tearing out asphalt, laying rebar and forms, and (hopefully) pouring concrete on Saturday. Naturally, this would be the week that it rains 3-4 days...
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 14, 2021 9:58:29 GMT -6
Rain has been west all night it looks like. Nothing. Sad. Same here, looks dry as it did yesterday evening. While looking just a little ways to the west, a general 1-2" of good soaking rains from all day yesterday and last night. Is good soaker under way in the metro right now. Looking at some of the latest data I'm starting to get a little more interested in areas near/southeast of Kaskaskia River for some strong storms late today. SPC upgraded that area to MARGINAL. |
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Post by REB on Oct 14, 2021 13:19:42 GMT -6
Cardinals fired Shildt. Wow!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 14, 2021 13:19:59 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 14, 2021 13:37:09 GMT -6
pretty crazy about Shildt..did not see that coming.
And Lol 920, that's funny.
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Post by REB on Oct 14, 2021 17:47:00 GMT -6
Raining at a pretty good clip. .84” so far
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Oct 14, 2021 18:05:25 GMT -6
It's nasty out. Was pouring for an hour.
Almost an inch of rain so far.
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Post by REB on Oct 14, 2021 18:23:58 GMT -6
1.36” and starting up again.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 14, 2021 19:23:33 GMT -6
Did I hear 30s next weekend of the KTVI forecast?
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 14, 2021 19:49:24 GMT -6
it's ripping out there. Heavy rain
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 14, 2021 19:49:39 GMT -6
As of today... this the warmest start to October on record for STL per the Midwest Climate Center.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 14, 2021 20:32:39 GMT -6
I’m going to assume it’s the most humid start to an October as well. The warmth is one thing, but the high dew points have made it miserable at times
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Post by tedrick65 on Oct 14, 2021 20:45:47 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 14, 2021 21:15:45 GMT -6
pretty crazy about Shildt..did not see that coming. And Lol 920, that's funny. I’m happy they could see beyond the winning streak and hopefully make a hire that leads to implementation of data and analytics at the field level. When you intentionally walk everyone and consistently let your pitcher bat only to pull them in the next inning, you probably don’t deserve 1 of 30 jobs in the world. I’ll give him that his “soft” skills seemed to be good. The team didn’t collapse when they could have, but his tactical skills were nonexistent. |
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 14, 2021 22:07:52 GMT -6
1.51 total today in south st.perers. 3.01 inches for the week as were under several strong thunderstorms on Monday. Definitely made major headway from the dry weather, should see some beautiful fall color, likely peaking fast in the next week to 10 days
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Post by ComoEsJn on Oct 15, 2021 7:10:45 GMT -6
1.51 total today in south st.perers. 3.01 inches for the week as were under several strong thunderstorms on Monday. Definitely made major headway from the dry weather, should see some beautiful fall color, likely peaking fast in the next week to 10 days We definitely kept sitting right under "bubbles" for the past 2 days in St. Chuck County, I have some decent standing water in my back yard as of this morning. Now I need to "backyardism" and have someone reassure me that our elementary school's Trunk R Treat isn't going to be washed out tonight. Bring on the chilly & dry! |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 15, 2021 8:40:53 GMT -6
pretty crazy about Shildt..did not see that coming. And Lol 920, that's funny. I’m happy they could see beyond the winning streak and hopefully make a hire that leads to implementation of data and analytics at the field level. When you intentionally walk everyone and consistently let your pitcher bat only to pull them in the next inning, you probably don’t deserve 1 of 30 jobs in the world. I’ll give him that his “soft” skills seemed to be good. The team didn’t collapse when they could have, but his tactical skills were nonexistent. I respectfully disagree. While I think analytics are useful in some respects, the human element and common sense aspect of the game are still what is going to win you more games than what the computer tells you. All I know is that when Shildt said during that post game conference in early September something to the effect of "we are going to go back to the basics offensively," things started turning around. At the time I took that as a shot against Jeff Albert and the overanalyzing strategy that has failed us for several years now. I think that even more so now given how Danny Mac was talking on the radio this morning. This is Mo wanting to have total control of everything that goes on in the office and on the field. He will find another first time manager (likely Skip or Stubby) who will say yes sir, get his coffee for him for a couple years, and do whatever he says until he gets tired of it and tries to do his own thing like Mike did. Mo is quickly becoming the Jerry Jones of baseball. Actually, he may be worse - at least Jerry is more upfront with his intentions. Mo is a politician with every single answer he ever gives to a question. I haven't agreed with every Shildt decision (i.e. Reyes in the wild card game), but I think he was generally a good guy and decent manager learning the ropes, and someone to be respected for the way he worked himself up through the system. I think he will be hired elsewhere pretty quickly. |
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Post by dschreib on Oct 15, 2021 10:05:50 GMT -6
I’m happy they could see beyond the winning streak and hopefully make a hire that leads to implementation of data and analytics at the field level. When you intentionally walk everyone and consistently let your pitcher bat only to pull them in the next inning, you probably don’t deserve 1 of 30 jobs in the world. I’ll give him that his “soft” skills seemed to be good. The team didn’t collapse when they could have, but his tactical skills were nonexistent. I respectfully disagree. While I think analytics are useful in some respects, the human element and common sense aspect of the game are still what is going to win you more games than what the computer tells you. All I know is that when Shildt said during that post game conference in early September something to the effect of "we are going to go back to the basics offensively," things started turning around. At the time I took that as a shot against Jeff Albert and the overanalyzing strategy that has failed us for several years now. I think that even more so now given how Danny Mac was talking on the radio this morning. This is Mo wanting to have total control of everything that goes on in the office and on the field. He will find another first time manager (likely Skip or Stubby) who will say yes sir, get his coffee for him for a couple years, and do whatever he says until he gets tired of it and tries to do his own thing like Mike did. Mo is quickly becoming the Jerry Jones of baseball. Actually, he may be worse - at least Jerry is more upfront with his intentions. Mo is a politician with every single answer he ever gives to a question. I haven't agreed with every Shildt decision (i.e. Reyes in the wild card game), but I think he was generally a good guy and decent manager learning the ropes, and someone to be respected for the way he worked himself up through the system. I think he will be hired elsewhere pretty quickly. I'll agree with part of this--the overalalyzing, analytic part (is that reduntant?)--but I thought Stubby was a better choice as a manager when Matheny was let go if we were to continue down the "let's hire someone with zero major league experience" path. I have, however, been firing off the #fireshildt(s) for more than a couple months now. If it isn't going to be Stubby this time around, and it likely won't be as much as I thought he should have been there in the first place, I say we go after Donny Baseball or Girardi. I have some friends in Indiana who know Don, and he'll likely jump at the chance to get out of Miami. I'm also willing to make myself available to join his coaching staff, for the right price...so there's that.
Oh, and I'm pretty sure Girsch is in charge of bringing Mo his coffee. I can't see anything else that he's done. He sure doesn't hold press conferences or do any of the hiring/firing. You'd think an actual GM would be more involved with things like that.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 15, 2021 11:36:52 GMT -6
I respectfully disagree. While I think analytics are useful in some respects, the human element and common sense aspect of the game are still what is going to win you more games than what the computer tells you. All I know is that when Shildt said during that post game conference in early September something to the effect of "we are going to go back to the basics offensively," things started turning around. At the time I took that as a shot against Jeff Albert and the overanalyzing strategy that has failed us for several years now. I think that even more so now given how Danny Mac was talking on the radio this morning. This is Mo wanting to have total control of everything that goes on in the office and on the field. He will find another first time manager (likely Skip or Stubby) who will say yes sir, get his coffee for him for a couple years, and do whatever he says until he gets tired of it and tries to do his own thing like Mike did. Mo is quickly becoming the Jerry Jones of baseball. Actually, he may be worse - at least Jerry is more upfront with his intentions. Mo is a politician with every single answer he ever gives to a question. I haven't agreed with every Shildt decision (i.e. Reyes in the wild card game), but I think he was generally a good guy and decent manager learning the ropes, and someone to be respected for the way he worked himself up through the system. I think he will be hired elsewhere pretty quickly. I'll agree with part of this--the overalalyzing, analytic part (is that reduntant?)--but I thought Stubby was a better choice as a manager when Matheny was let go if we were to continue down the "let's hire someone with zero major league experience" path. I have, however, been firing off the #fireshildt(s) for more than a couple months now. If it isn't going to be Stubby this time around, and it likely won't be as much as I thought he should have been there in the first place, I say we go after Donny Baseball or Girardi. I have some friends in Indiana who know Don, and he'll likely jump at the chance to get out of Miami. I'm also willing to make myself available to join his coaching staff, for the right price...so there's that.
Oh, and I'm pretty sure Girsch is in charge of bringing Mo his coffee. I can't see anything else that he's done. He sure doesn't hold press conferences or do any of the hiring/firing. You'd think an actual GM would be more involved with things like that.
I’ll take what the Rays and Dodgers do over a baseball traditionalist. It’s funny too because they represent both ends of the financial spectrum but the commonality between the two organizations is a devotion to advanced statistics and the ability to translate that to on field performance. The soft skills matter, but it’s hard to argue that intuition is better than numbers at this point. |
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Post by dschreib on Oct 15, 2021 12:49:30 GMT -6
I'll agree with part of this--the overalalyzing, analytic part (is that reduntant?)--but I thought Stubby was a better choice as a manager when Matheny was let go if we were to continue down the "let's hire someone with zero major league experience" path. I have, however, been firing off the #fireshildt(s) for more than a couple months now. If it isn't going to be Stubby this time around, and it likely won't be as much as I thought he should have been there in the first place, I say we go after Donny Baseball or Girardi. I have some friends in Indiana who know Don, and he'll likely jump at the chance to get out of Miami. I'm also willing to make myself available to join his coaching staff, for the right price...so there's that.
Oh, and I'm pretty sure Girsch is in charge of bringing Mo his coffee. I can't see anything else that he's done. He sure doesn't hold press conferences or do any of the hiring/firing. You'd think an actual GM would be more involved with things like that.
I’ll take what the Rays and Dodgers do over a baseball traditionalist. It’s funny too because they represent both ends of the financial spectrum but the commonality between the two organizations is a devotion to advanced statistics and the ability to translate that to on field performance. The soft skills matter, but it’s hard to argue that intuition is better than numbers at this point. *shrugs* Waino throws in the upper 80s and pitches to contact. Goes deep into games. Sometimes tradition is good. I can't see Dusty Baker being big into analytics. Granted, he'll be watching at home...but the Rays watched the Dodgers celebrate last year (partly) because I'm sure the numbers said to take Snell out in the midst of throwing a pretty good game.
And take Carlos Martinez off of your avatar, or I'll lower the ban hammer...  .
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 15, 2021 13:51:23 GMT -6
Looks like some pockets of small hail developing
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 15, 2021 13:57:43 GMT -6
I’ll take what the Rays and Dodgers do over a baseball traditionalist. It’s funny too because they represent both ends of the financial spectrum but the commonality between the two organizations is a devotion to advanced statistics and the ability to translate that to on field performance. The soft skills matter, but it’s hard to argue that intuition is better than numbers at this point. *shrugs* Waino throws in the upper 80s and pitches to contact. Goes deep into games. Sometimes tradition is good. I can't see Dusty Baker being big into analytics. Granted, he'll be watching at home...but the Rays watched the Dodgers celebrate last year (partly) because I'm sure the numbers said to take Snell out in the midst of throwing a pretty good game.
And take Carlos Martinez off of your avatar, or I'll lower the ban hammer... .
I wouldn’t use postseason sample sizes as justification for anything. There is a reason they play 162 and it’s to try to account for the random variation inherent to baseball. I believe a standard deviation for wins in a typical season is 8 games, so that says a lot as it is. Waino pitches to contact which is great when you have the best defense in baseball behind you. That would be an analytics based-decision to run a rotation of contact/grounder oriented pitchers to maximize the value of said defense. DAK will perform a lot better on the Cardinals than he would with the Mets. If your defense sucks, you need a strikeout staff. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 15, 2021 14:02:06 GMT -6
 Little rotation showing up between Bonne Terre and Parkhills |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 15, 2021 15:28:36 GMT -6
Next shot of highs in the 80s is on Wednesday, then a shot or 2 of 80s near Halloween mainly just before it.
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