Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 29, 2021 17:07:12 GMT -6
Time for a new thread and this one is based on a good question from the last one. What kind of winters followed the top 10 driest Novembers?
Here is the composite from the NOAA compositing tool of the January to March (very handy!)
Let's look at Dec to February first The entire 3 months is colder and drier than normal... but quite a bit on both sides.
But if we extend the snow season out to March... we get a slightly different signal...especially for precip. You'll notice the bullseye of above normal precip north of the Ohio River and east of the Mississippi River.
I tried looking at the La Nina years of the top 10 driest Novembers... but the record only goes back to 1950 and in that time there was only 1... the winter of 1999 to 2000. So it's hard to draw strong conclusions from that one year. And it's probably a good thing. For laughs... here it is...
I went to edit a mistake I made with my last post.....I will forever have a mistake there....I couldn't figure out why I couldn't edit my post until I seen it was locked. OK, on to winter.....it can't be that bad!!!!
Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 30, 2021 9:41:05 GMT -6
That's a large area of mild. Although I'm calling it now: large winter storm for most of the central US, to include me and you, around and just before Jan 21st. My husband is having his retirement ceremony on the 21st, with family and friends coming from out of state.
Support bacteria, they're the only culture some people have!
This could have been mentioned before..... The 128 year database for snowfall at STL starts with 63.3" and ends with 1.5" in 1954. Heck of a spread. One observation... The difference between the #1 spot and #2 spot is a whopping 14.1" (49.2 in 1977). Second observation...the difference between the #127th and 128th spot is a meager 1" (2.5" in 2001). If you take the bottom 10 years...2001,2004, and 2012 are the most current, but the next closet year is 1959. I would have thought there would be more recent years in there. If you take the top ten years 1975,1977,1978, and 1980 (1973 is #11). One hell of a snowy decade. The most current in that bunch is 1993 at #10 with 32.3". Do you know what this means.......? it looks to me like it is our turn for a wonderfully snowy winter. That is my completely biased opinion and it will keep me thinking positive and happy thoughts.....until it doesn't.
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6