mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 0:49:36 GMT -6
I'm cozy in my office watching my webcams from a TV. Each camera is like a flood light with a HiDef video. It feels like cheating because I don't have to put on a pair of pants and a warm coat to wait for a flake to fall in my glove lol. But it's a great security system to have. I have kids that need to be monitored on a busy village in our neighborhood. Congrats. For what? I'm actually about to put on pants and walk outside now. Looks like we're all snow buddy. |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2022 0:50:59 GMT -6
It looks like the push south to change over is occurring from northern Jeffco toward the south and west as far as rain/snow radar. I have some heavy yellow returns about to come into west central Jeffco so I'm hoping this could be my changeover coming up.....or not.
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2022 0:53:23 GMT -6
Yes sir...I've got some missles mixing in. Coming in from an easterly fetch and hitting my east facing garage door. Still at 35*.
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 15, 2022 0:53:57 GMT -6
I see the end of the shield is approaching. It still isn't all snow here and what is falling wouldn't be very impressive even if it were snow. Sigh..
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2022 0:54:25 GMT -6
I’m throwing in the dry cloth with this one
Still pretty much all rain in Arnold
Hopefully there’s something white on the ground by morning
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 15, 2022 0:58:47 GMT -6
Big sloppy flakes starting to mix in finally
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57
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Post by seyahmit on Jan 15, 2022 1:01:52 GMT -6
For what? I'm actually about to put on pants and walk outside now. Looks like we're all snow buddy. I can confirm that the precip has mostly changed to snow like my buddy. |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2022 1:02:38 GMT -6
Big sloppy flakes starting to mix in finally I sure thought it would be quicker than this but it is real close to the NWS thinking of 3 am. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 15, 2022 1:03:37 GMT -6
Still nothing but light rain and drizzle. Absolutely epic bust potentially unfolding for the Northeastern 2/3rds of the metro. Because over half the modeled QPF has already fallen. And the models have come in further West with the major lift for overnight and they shut down the chance for accumulating snow for the Northern half of the CWA by 4-5AM. The HRRR has been a complete embarrassment. That is the forecasted precip type from ONE HOUR AGO. It's been showing all snow in the immediate metro since 10-1030pm  |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 15, 2022 1:06:20 GMT -6
8 hours of rain and finally have some sloppy flakes mixed in. 97% rain though. 34°
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 1:08:03 GMT -6
For what? I'm actually about to put on pants and walk outside now. Looks like we're all snow buddy. I can confirm that the precip has mostly changed to snow like my buddy. Ok well if that's sarcasm that I'm well acquainted with (wife's 1st language), don't do that. It's childish. |
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57
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Post by seyahmit on Jan 15, 2022 1:17:45 GMT -6
I can confirm that the precip has mostly changed to snow like my buddy. Ok well if that's sarcasm that I'm well acquainted with (wife's 1st language), don't do that. It's childish. LOL, I have no idea what I have done to you. You seem to have it out to for me though. You called me buddy several times tonight, the first time I said buddy back, I'm childish. Whatever Bro. I still enjoy the hell out of this forum. My mistake was reporting real world data. I will go back to keeping to myself. |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 15, 2022 1:22:15 GMT -6
I’m still trying to figure out how the hell I got sleet. Surface temperature is 34°F. Every sounding I’ve looked at shows below freezing just above the surface with no indication of any warm pocket. It’s almost as if there’s a pocket of warner air higher up that’s not being picked up somehow. Very strange.
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 15, 2022 1:25:33 GMT -6
Apparently there is a 100% of 3-5" of snow tonight still. It better start snowing for real and pretty darn soon or that forecast is a goner. (And now it's raining again) What a joke.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 15, 2022 1:27:01 GMT -6
Almost back to a moderate rain.
It will be snowing all the way down to Farmington and Fort Lennywood while Belleville still has a warm layer
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 15, 2022 1:29:12 GMT -6
Apparently there is a 100% of 3-5" of snow tonight still. It better start snowing for real and pretty darn soon or that forecast is a goner. My updated zone forecast. Still haven't seen one flake Overnight Snow. Low around 31. East wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Saturday Snow, mainly before 10am. High near 33. Northeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 15, 2022 1:31:21 GMT -6
It is raining again here Frivs. I give up
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 15, 2022 1:32:41 GMT -6
It’s really struggling to stay snow.
Yes there are massive flakes but still raining also.
Get a little burst of snow then it switches back to more rain.
Nothing is gonna stick like this.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 15, 2022 1:48:17 GMT -6
I'm sorry everyone. This is crazy.
It's 2AM(08:00z)UTC....
The NWS forecasted an areas wide change over between 02:00-04:00z. UTC
Are we all truly just off the charts bias?
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 1:54:53 GMT -6
Ok well if that's sarcasm that I'm well acquainted with (wife's 1st language), don't do that. It's childish. LOL, I have no idea what I have done to you. You seem to have it out to for me though. You called me buddy several times tonight, the first time I said buddy back, I'm childish. Whatever Bro. I still enjoy the hell out of this forum. My mistake was reporting real world data. I will go back to keeping to myself. If I interpreted you wrong (like you might have interpreted me wrong), my apologies. It’s late and it’s probably my head not thinking straight. My bad. Don’t go back to keeping to yourself. We’re neighbors not just cause we live close but also as a community. Please accept my sincere apology |
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Jan 15, 2022 2:04:43 GMT -6
Welp this has been one of the more frustrating storms in recent memory.
Sleet now, with maybe 0.25" of wet frozen -stuff- outside. No way we're making it to 4" by morning l. If we don't have a changeover to 100% snow SOON, I doubt we exceed 1" based on radar.
31F
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 15, 2022 2:05:29 GMT -6
Back to 35° and all rain.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 2:08:11 GMT -6
Back to sleet as well. What the F! Can we catch a break this winter!?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 15, 2022 2:13:23 GMT -6
Snow is finally mixing in.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 2:28:01 GMT -6
Snow is finally mixing in. Seeing the same on our side. I mean, both our locations should be in sync by now anyway. Tiny glimpses of hope and then the sky farts on us. Who’s the patron Saint of this sh**? We need a miracle. Or…. Maybe the NWS sees something we don’t. This has the potential for inch/hr rates. |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 15, 2022 2:53:56 GMT -6
Switch over to all snow. Big wet flakes.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 3:06:26 GMT -6
Still nothing but rain here ……. This is such a kick in the nards …… I told the grandkids they would finally have snow to play in tomorrow…..I mean it was a 100 % chance …..
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sals20
Wishcaster
Imperial, MO.
Posts: 92
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Post by sals20 on Jan 15, 2022 3:07:45 GMT -6
All snow in Imperial.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 15, 2022 3:08:35 GMT -6
All snow here. Just starting to finally stick in the grassy areas. But flakes are moderate size. Nothing to crazy.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 3:12:36 GMT -6
All snow
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