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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 15:33:53 GMT -6
moderate snow from a burst and northwest puke to my southeast...looks like it formed over Marissa I saw that on radar….. it was one county south of us lol |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 15:36:56 GMT -6
Talk about a change in a forecast….. My brother in South Carolina had a forecast yesterday of 3-5 tonight and 4-8 tomorrow….. now they have an inch or less for both with .2-.4 of ice ……went from a snow storm to an ice storm in 12 hours
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 15, 2022 15:38:07 GMT -6
moderate snow from a burst and northwest puke to my southeast...looks like it formed over Marissa Yep here as well. |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2022 15:59:15 GMT -6
Talk about a change in a forecast….. My brother in South Carolina had a forecast yesterday of 3-5 tonight and 4-8 tomorrow….. now they have an inch or less for both with .2-.4 of ice ……went from a snow storm to an ice storm in 12 hours OK, so what model did good but no one 'bought it'? |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 15, 2022 16:13:44 GMT -6
For a few minutes that snow shield to the south looked like it was gonna make it back up here. Now it seems to be drying up on the northern fringe
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jan 15, 2022 16:37:44 GMT -6
 Pitiful. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 16:38:12 GMT -6
Talk about a change in a forecast….. My brother in South Carolina had a forecast yesterday of 3-5 tonight and 4-8 tomorrow….. now they have an inch or less for both with .2-.4 of ice ……went from a snow storm to an ice storm in 12 hours OK, so what model did good but no one 'bought it'? I wish I knew …. I didn’t dig into their models to much I was watching ours go all over the place lol |
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Post by RyanD on Jan 15, 2022 16:49:19 GMT -6
Pitiful. This is right next to my house. Very sad |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 17:05:07 GMT -6
Pitiful. That’s just a little proof of how snow starved we are on this side of the river lol |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 15, 2022 17:27:58 GMT -6
lambert had 2.5"
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Post by landscaper on Jan 15, 2022 17:37:32 GMT -6
Belleville I saw that little clipper tomorrow night, it looks like most models habit from the Mississippi River East . Definitely something to keep an eye on , please keep us updated on model trends
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2022 17:47:57 GMT -6
Models are showing some pretty strong lift and steep lapse rates in the DGZ with the energy flying by here tomorrow night Might see a burst of big flakes along and east of the river  |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 15, 2022 18:10:26 GMT -6
Be careful out tonight, just let the dogs out you can stand on top of the snow because there was so much water in it. It turned to a sheet of ice. And any water on your driverway or patio will be frozen
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 15, 2022 18:51:38 GMT -6
Definitely a refreeze situation this evening.
There was some blowing and drifting out here earlier...some really slick spots where the snow was blowing over the road and cars driving over it turned it into a sheet of ice.
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luvhockey
Junior Forecaster
Arnold MO 1/2 mile from the Meramec Mississippi confluence
Posts: 455 
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Post by luvhockey on Jan 15, 2022 19:04:07 GMT -6
Been looking at various stuff about the slight rise then dramatic drop in barometric pressure as the wave went thru after the Tonga volcano eruption.
Anyone see a graph for St Louis or Midwest?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 15, 2022 19:14:32 GMT -6
This system was plagued by a stubborn warm layer near the surface and continues to be. The radar out of Nashville looks very similar to STLs last night with lots of bright banding/melting and weak/shallow returns on the cold side where it's snow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2022 19:39:17 GMT -6
That’s some messy p-types for the SE tomorrow  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 15, 2022 19:41:59 GMT -6
Looks like a pretty classic cold damming setup in the Carolinas where they are expecting a half inch or more of ice.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 15, 2022 21:01:12 GMT -6
That’s some messy p-types for the SE tomorrow Just happy it's their problem now and not ours. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2022 21:07:54 GMT -6
Looks like a pretty classic cold damming setup in the Carolinas where they are expecting a half inch or more of ice. The worst part is they are expecting 20 mph winds …. With all the big pine trees that’s going to be awful |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 23:08:00 GMT -6
Sister lives in Chattanooga. Looks like they might be in line to get a dose of STL desert air. Her and her family love snow just as much as us so I hope they don’t get dry slotted and wind up with just a dusting.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Jan 15, 2022 23:10:50 GMT -6
That’s some messy p-types for the SE tomorrow Just happy it's their problem now and not ours. Growing up in Lilburn, GA, these were the 1-2x a year storms we loved to track! |
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Post by dschreib on Jan 16, 2022 7:37:00 GMT -6
I have a friend in Travelers Rest, SC. They have 4" of snow, with Timmer doing live reports.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 16, 2022 8:01:06 GMT -6
That clipper digging through this evening looks like it might bring an hour or two burst of snow after dark. It actually looks pretty healthy at 500mb with some LER jet dynamics with a band of mid-level Fgen sweeping through...unfortunately it has some dry air to overcome and it's moving through quickly so it probably won't amount to much. But I do think we'll see some snow fly sometime between 6 and 10PM.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 16, 2022 8:36:30 GMT -6
I have a friend in Travelers Rest, SC. They have 4" of snow, with Timmer doing live reports. My brother and Mom live about 30 miles from there …. My brother says he has 5 inches so far |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 16, 2022 9:26:01 GMT -6
That clipper digging through this evening looks like it might bring an hour or two burst of snow after dark. It actually looks pretty healthy at 500mb with some LER jet dynamics with a band of mid-level Fgen sweeping through...unfortunately it has some dry air to overcome and it's moving through quickly so it probably won't amount to much. But I do think we'll see some snow fly sometime between 6 and 10PM. looks like some snow/flurry snakes/streamers tomorrow AM as well on some of the higher def models. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 16, 2022 9:27:23 GMT -6
NAM also hinting even the ICON of the Wednesday system being more north and yielding an inch or 2 of snow from the metro south as well. One Run 2 models, but its something to watch in the short to mid term in case the trend continues.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 16, 2022 9:32:27 GMT -6
Nevermind on the ICON it lost it much farther south in 12Z. 6Z was the more interesting run, but technically showed rain not snow. The NAM was snow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 16, 2022 11:12:25 GMT -6
Globals are showing the clipper train might get rolling in the 7-10 day range
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 16, 2022 11:23:41 GMT -6
Globals are showing the clipper train might get rolling in the 7-10 day range Sadly that has been our best shot at snow the last few years |
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