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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 27, 2022 17:26:56 GMT -6
There's just no replacement for coastal baroclinity...must be nice!
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 27, 2022 17:47:59 GMT -6
NBC in Chicago is already showing clown maps for next week's storm, with the caveat that they are not trying to sensationalize.   |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 27, 2022 17:50:43 GMT -6
18z GEFS looks pretty good for snow next week
10-1 mean is 2-3” across the area
There does look to be some key differences between the EPS and GEFS with the EPS hinting the shortwave may take on a negative tilt while the GEFS looks flatter
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 27, 2022 18:03:35 GMT -6
Yeah Snowman we are good at 3 to 4 inches of rain an hour lol.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 27, 2022 18:16:39 GMT -6
NBC in Chicago is already showing clown maps for next week's storm, with the caveat that they are not trying to sensationalize. Just the kind of thing that drives our credibility even further into the toilet. No wonder people have trouble trusting us. We are turning the TV broadcast into the worst of social mediaorology. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 27, 2022 18:25:32 GMT -6
NBC in Chicago is already showing clown maps for next week's storm, with the caveat that they are not trying to sensationalize. Just the kind of thing that drives our credibility even further into the toilet. No wonder people have trouble trusting us. We are turning the TV broadcast into the worst of social mediaorology. If the HRRR is right, they are going to lose a lot of credibility tomorrow morning 😂 Nothing to winter storm watch over the course of 4 hours lol. They need to institute Chris’ one storm at a time rule. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 27, 2022 18:30:57 GMT -6
They don't want to sensationalize or hype but purposely don't show the least snowy model (not that it would be much better). Got it.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 27, 2022 18:44:14 GMT -6
Wow Chris I am so thankful for you in St.Louis, you are the biggest reason st.louis credibility has such great standards, without you st.louis would be in the dumpster.
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paul52
Weather Weenie
Posts: 14
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Post by paul52 on Jan 27, 2022 19:18:33 GMT -6
My sister in Mass shared map from a top Boston met showing potential for 24 inches plus for big chunk of Eastern MA. It happens. Grew up there.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 27, 2022 19:23:59 GMT -6
Nice little blob of snow in iowa heading this way based on radar trends.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jan 27, 2022 19:31:42 GMT -6
Clown maps are being posted on Facebook already. It's still a week away. Going to be interesting to see how often those maps change from now until then.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 27, 2022 19:34:22 GMT -6
Clown maps are being posted on Facebook already. It's still a week away. Going to be interesting to see how often those maps change from now until then. 4 times a day until Sunday night or Monday… |
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 27, 2022 19:48:28 GMT -6
I think I just had a new gambling idea.
A mod posts the clown maps from each model for the storm at 5 days out. It costs 10$ to enter into the contest. Contest closes 3 days in advance of storm. Closest clown map wins. If it ends up raining, the winnings are rolled over until the next let down.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 27, 2022 19:52:10 GMT -6
A drinking game could be taking a shot each time TWC says “bomb cyclone”
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 27, 2022 19:58:44 GMT -6
A drinking game could be taking a shot each time TWC says “bomb cyclone” You'd be dead pretty quick |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 27, 2022 20:06:24 GMT -6
It looks like the COD site added the euro including the off hours runs
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Post by joshofstl on Jan 27, 2022 20:11:26 GMT -6
NBC in Chicago is already showing clown maps for next week's storm, with the caveat that they are not trying to sensationalize.  I know this map is way over the top, but it did bring back memories for me. My wife's family lives in Michigan City, Indiana, west of South Bend. The first time I visited her family back when we were dating in 2004, it snowed 26 inches of lake effect snow. So while this is not likely to come to pass, I can say I've been in that area when that much snow actually *did* come down. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 27, 2022 20:18:21 GMT -6
looks like the NAM has come west a bit for the blizzard in the northeast, putting NYC more in the heavy snow band. That's too bad.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 27, 2022 20:20:32 GMT -6
700 Fgen  |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 27, 2022 20:26:02 GMT -6
With no football Saturday... it will be fun watching the Blues and the storm. Cantore will be a bit excited.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 27, 2022 20:27:40 GMT -6
I’d say there’s a good bet Cantore can find some thunder snow in this one
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 27, 2022 20:29:37 GMT -6
There may be more than 3-4"/hour... the banding will be something
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 27, 2022 20:34:31 GMT -6
That is unreal.
The Nam kuchera snowfall maps are absolutely insane.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 27, 2022 20:36:18 GMT -6
Some really good 18z euro ensembles for STL.
Tonight should be fun.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 27, 2022 20:38:04 GMT -6
Some really good 18z euro ensembles for STL. Tonight should be fun. There is nothing better than model watching those nights 24-48 hours before getting a huge snowstorm. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 27, 2022 21:17:53 GMT -6
700 Fgen In 2013 they had a death band where uvvs were stacked from 500-800mn. Like -30: to -50. Upwards of 5.5" an hour. It was so absurd if you weren't in that band you got screwed big-time from subsidence |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 27, 2022 21:39:21 GMT -6
00z Icon is going to be an insane ice storm for the southern metro and a big hit of snow for the northern metro.
Nice start to the night there.
Wow, and it has a 3rd wave with another round of heavy snow for everyone.
Great run
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 27, 2022 21:48:27 GMT -6
ICON would be one hell of a week
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 27, 2022 21:49:41 GMT -6
00z Icon is going to be an insane ice storm for the southern metro and a big hit of snow for the northern metro. Nice start to the night there. Wow, and it has a 3rd wave with another round of heavy snow for everyone. Great run Hour 180 looks epic. What a run. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 27, 2022 21:52:06 GMT -6
00z Icon is going to be an insane ice storm for the southern metro and a big hit of snow for the northern metro. Nice start to the night there. Wow, and it has a 3rd wave with another round of heavy snow for everyone. Great run Hour 180 looks epic. What a run. What is really crazy is the chance for that thing to phase past hour 180. There is a clear northern stream vort digging in. That would lead to Boston level numbers for someone that got the waves to overlap. |
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