|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2022 13:05:05 GMT -6
Just dropped down to 32* 7 miles west of De Soto. All snow here very light and small flakes. Looking at radar echoes about to exit the area, love it when a plan comes together. Has anyone looked over the dry slot? What can we expect from that? It's starting to backbuild and fill in with low grade echoes so my guess is precip won't completely shutdown, but reduce to a freezing drizzle/small grauple type mess for a couple hours then kick over to snow as the deformation zone from western Missouri works through. south of the metro especially the southern most counties might actually see a full pause to precipitation then might see a brief period of flurries or snow showers with no accumulations. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2022 13:07:27 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 17, 2022 13:12:54 GMT -6
Very light snow, 32*. Low clouds are screaming out of the north. Some building of 'streamers' on composite radar.
Erdit: On closer look of composite it looks like pssibly a/the defo band starting to form just west of Jeff City to the northeast.
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 17, 2022 13:16:47 GMT -6
Dry slot is trying to fill in.
|
|
|
|
Post by WEAXWATCHER on Feb 17, 2022 13:22:54 GMT -6
35* sleet and flurries.
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 17, 2022 13:26:57 GMT -6
35?? Not saying you are wrong. I am at 30. |
|
|
|
Post by WEAXWATCHER on Feb 17, 2022 13:30:52 GMT -6
35?? Not saying you are wrong. I am at 30. My weather station could be malfunctioning again. |
|
|
|
Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2022 13:33:35 GMT -6
Definitely going to underperform IMO , this dry slot wasn’t modeled very well. 1/4”-1/2” of sleet and 1/2”-1” of (maybe) of it holds together, isn’t what the models showed last night. It should be ripping precipitation right now.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2022 13:40:38 GMT -6
Definitely going to underperform IMO , this dry slot wasn’t modeled very well. 1/4”-1/2” of sleet and 1/2”-1” of (maybe) of it holds together, isn’t what the models showed last night. It should be ripping precipitation right now. Models aren’t very good forecasters. That’s why we need folks like Chris to decipher what the models are really saying. |
|
|
|
Post by ajd446 on Feb 17, 2022 13:41:18 GMT -6
Honestly the sleet has never stopped here, we still have sand falling essentially in st.peters
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 17, 2022 13:42:15 GMT -6
Very light snow and down to 31*. I like the looks of what appears to be initial lift being seen on the composite radar. Anyone seeing anything falling at/near the radar site in Weldon Springs yet?
Edit" Ermrgrd rnrther erdit.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2022 13:43:50 GMT -6
M0.5" of sleet/snow in Brighton. Just finished shoveling this heavy ish off and laying down ice melt. Trying to prevent it from freezing solid to the pavement!
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 17, 2022 13:44:10 GMT -6
Definitely going to underperform IMO , this dry slot wasn’t modeled very well. 1/4”-1/2” of sleet and 1/2”-1” of (maybe) of it holds together, isn’t what the models showed last night. It should be ripping precipitation right now. Honestly, I thought the placement of everything was just fine. We knew it was going to be a sharp cutoff and that the dry slot would punch in quickly due to a fast moving system. |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2022 13:47:55 GMT -6
Guys, the defo band is still out in "no mans land" on radar. The beam is overshooting a lot of the precipitation. Patience.
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 17, 2022 13:47:58 GMT -6
Temp down to 32 here …. Of course the precipitation has moved out without a ping of sleet or a flake …. But we did get a billion inches of rain …….
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2022 13:50:54 GMT -6
Temp down to 32 here …. Of course the precipitation has moved out without a ping of sleet or a flake …. But we did get a billion inches of rain ……. Hopefully your Ark is in order... lol. Had to say it. Sorry.  |
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 17, 2022 13:54:58 GMT -6
I didn't get the rain gauge out until the bulk of the training rain last night and I still received 2.25" of rain with some sleet floating on top. I had figured I missed close to .75" but still just a guess.
|
|
|
|
Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 17, 2022 13:55:11 GMT -6
Temp down to 32 here …. Of course the precipitation has moved out without a ping of sleet or a flake …. But we did get a billion inches of rain ……. Hopefully your Ark is in order... lol. Had to say it. Sorry. I drove home from Waterloo and it was amazing how much standing water there is |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2022 13:57:31 GMT -6
Short range models swing the strongest lift through from 4-6PM or so. ~30dbz returns all the way out to KC/Sedalia supports that nicely. This will be all snow for the Metro...still thinking another 1-3" total.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Feb 17, 2022 14:00:54 GMT -6
i want 2 more inches. Do it
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
You can see the squall coming out of Jefferson City. It's coming and at a good time too as the sun starts setting allowing it to stick quicker and with some sleet already on the ground for the metro and snow north, it shouldn't be wasted too much.
|
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2022 14:03:01 GMT -6
i want 2 more inches. Do it I think you'll get your wish. Rest of the metro around the 370/255 loop should also get an inch to 2" out of this and perhaps an inch or so in Belleville. |
|
|
|
Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 17, 2022 14:04:46 GMT -6
Springfield, MO radar even suggests that the southerners could get in on the action as well. But likely only a dusting to half inch or so.
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 17, 2022 14:04:47 GMT -6
May have a little sleet at first with the defo band but that warm wedge dissipates fast.
|
|
|
|
Post by amstilost on Feb 17, 2022 14:24:58 GMT -6
I was surprised this morning when I seen flood warnings to the SW of me and flood warnings to the NE of me but Jeffco was left unwarned. The dreaded 'Arch Effect' strikes again. But it was good in this case.
Can I ask for and get some money back from Gov/NWS for the crap radar products, then I would use that money to 'purchase' private stuff. Why do I have to spend my money twice for the same &%&%% thing?
|
|
|
|
Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2022 14:31:57 GMT -6
i want 2 more inches. Do it So does she. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2022 14:41:12 GMT -6
Freezing drizzle falling in Arnold currently
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Feb 17, 2022 14:41:12 GMT -6
Radar looks really good for next few hours.
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Feb 17, 2022 14:53:13 GMT -6
Vichy down to 3/4 mile
|
|
bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150 
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
|
Post by bfsmith81 on Feb 17, 2022 14:54:39 GMT -6
Radar looks really good for next few hours. What radar are you looking at? Looks to me like we're pretty much done and this backside deformation band turns into a nothingburger... MAYBE 0.5" dusting. |
|
