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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 14, 2022 17:34:49 GMT -6
Can/should we 'bank' on the convective showers/storms in AR to continue NE into our southern areas or is our air too dry to support them? That will tend to loose a bit of steam as it approaches but the upstream radar is encouraging so far, IMO. |
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 18:34:59 GMT -6
Can/should we 'bank' on the convective showers/storms in AR to continue NE into our southern areas or is our air too dry to support them? That will tend to loose a bit of steam as it approaches but the upstream radar is encouraging so far, IMO. There is a lot more dark blue and greens in the radar than I was expecting. I'm sitting at 38* (7 miles west of De Soto) so I guess that could be raindrop signatures. Edit:Rant...I am in the 'No Man's Land' between 6-10pm where if you have done the unthinkable and used up all your way too expensive 'alotment' of GB's and everything just buffers and buffers. I hope no winter storms come through during this time period this winter. Let me rephrase that....Of ALL the SNOW storms that will come through this winter, I hope none occur between 6-10pm.  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 14, 2022 20:25:34 GMT -6
Wow the 00Z NAM is WAY BETTER. like what the heck??? Is it smoking the silly sauce or what??? Has a nice 0.25 qpf blob right on top of STL. This is a 3 hour precip panel covering midnight to 3AM.  The 0.25" blob is for the entire event. Not the panel above. The panel above in the darker green over STL its 0.15"+ qpf for midnight to 3AM. |
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Post by bororug on Nov 14, 2022 21:21:25 GMT -6
Light rain & 38 degrees in Festus
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2022 21:22:21 GMT -6
Heavy snow being reported at Rolla and Lake of the Ozarks
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 14, 2022 21:35:24 GMT -6
Here to report rain. Blah.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 21:49:19 GMT -6
I'm down to 36* and see a few flakes mixing in 7 miles west of De Soto. I second the "Blah"
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 14, 2022 22:02:47 GMT -6
i would say mod-hvy snow here, after an hour+ of light rain
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Post by Jeffmw on Nov 14, 2022 22:17:57 GMT -6
Does anyone else we may get a little surprise with this snow.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 14, 2022 22:22:07 GMT -6
Nothing here, just yet.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 14, 2022 22:23:04 GMT -6
HRRR has really beefed up snow totals just south of downtown…. Showing a couple of inches …. The plot thickens lol
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Post by weatherman222 on Nov 14, 2022 22:23:28 GMT -6
Rain/snow mix is starting to favor more snow in Fredericktown. Some sloppy flakes though.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 14, 2022 22:24:40 GMT -6
HRRR has really beefed up snow totals just south of downtown…. Showing a couple of inches …. The plot thickens lol lol...I do agree. I'm not holding my breath, but a couple inches even in the S and E could be doable with latest trends. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 14, 2022 22:25:30 GMT -6
Short term models definitely aren't as aggressive with the amounts. Probably taking into account the slow change over for some and dry air.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 14, 2022 22:30:21 GMT -6
Rap shows a jackpot spot just west of STL on top of snowman
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 22:31:12 GMT -6
The band that is setting up in central-northern JeffCo looks good. A tad too far north of me though. Light rain/snow mix temp down to 35* 7 miles west of De Soto.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 22:34:02 GMT -6
Rap shows a jackpot spot just west of STL on top of snowman The Rap must be looking at radar observations.........or, they have direct input to Snowman's obs reports.  |
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 14, 2022 22:42:24 GMT -6
Soil temps are around 39*. Road temps are close to that I imagine. Temps will drop into the 32-35* when the heavier snow moves through. This is mainly a grass and elevated surface event for most of the immediate metro as we've all been saying for awhile now. Bowling Green to the NNW a different story generally.
That healthy mesoscale band is in Eureka now about to move through central STL county. Rain mixed in at the start.
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Post by eurekakim on Nov 14, 2022 22:54:38 GMT -6
Giant wet sloppy flakes mixing in heartily with now light rain here in Eureka.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2022 23:01:11 GMT -6
Got some big ol flakes mixing in here in Arnold.
Its trying to kick over to all snow
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 14, 2022 23:07:44 GMT -6
A good deal of rain first. Changed to snow in Northern Wildwood. Coming down nicely! Grass is starting to get covered.
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Post by weatherman222 on Nov 14, 2022 23:18:17 GMT -6
Went from sloppy wet snow to healthy flakes over the last hour. We now have a dusting in Fredmo. Crazy having snow on snow in the first half of November.
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on Nov 14, 2022 23:18:54 GMT -6
Moderate rain snow mix in Ballwin
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 23:25:37 GMT -6
Moderate- snow falling now. All is grass is covered in white. Down to 34* 7 miles west of De Soto.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 14, 2022 23:26:44 GMT -6
On radar it looks like Snowman is getting smoked.
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Post by RyanD on Nov 14, 2022 23:45:43 GMT -6
Flat out ripping in Waterloo. SN+
This is crazy
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2022 23:52:10 GMT -6
All elevated and grass surfaces have a decent coating of snow on them now.
Can’t beat two accumulating snow events by mid November
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 14, 2022 23:58:09 GMT -6
Although not measurable. First official snowfall of 2022/2023 season in Troy, Mo.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 15, 2022 0:11:18 GMT -6
All elevated and grass surfaces have a decent coating of snow on them now. Can’t beat two accumulating snow events by mid November That is very true. I don't believe November of 2018 or 2019 had two accumulating events. I believe you have to go back to November of 2014 for that. |
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Post by TK on Nov 15, 2022 0:17:59 GMT -6
Lt Snow in OFallon, Mo - grass is covered roads are wet
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