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Post by landscaper on Feb 17, 2023 11:53:38 GMT -6
Oh Brtn don’t get sucked into all the nonsense trends, SSW /MJO/AO/PNA all those things are not working out this year. Knowing our luck it will get nasty mid March when everything starts to leaf out and green up. We will get some ridiculous cold and snowy pattern that develops in the beginning of spring when we all want nice warm and sunny weather.
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Post by bear1 on Feb 17, 2023 12:00:45 GMT -6
Oh Brtn don’t get sucked into all the nonsense trends, SSW /MJO/AO/PNA all those things are not working out this year. Knowing our luck it will get nasty mid March when everything starts to leaf out and green up. We will get some ridiculous cold and snowy pattern that develops in the beginning of spring when we all want nice warm and sunny weather. Yep, That's my gut feeling too.. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2023 12:45:09 GMT -6
This would pose a severe threat if the euro is right   |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2023 12:57:15 GMT -6
Hell of an ice storm for southern Wisconsin on that run too.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 13:27:22 GMT -6
We did it again. We 2-weeks'd ourselves right into Spring. This started near the end of the calendar year. Smart ppl said the arctic is drained and its going to take a long time to reload. Optimistic ppl said,, "wait, theres a ssw coming".
Weve heard neg ao, waning la nina, mjo is entering phase 8, blah blah blah, wherefore and which to, etc etc.
Well this reminds me of some advice my grandfather shared with me at my uncles wedding while we were sitting close to each other next to the Music Band. The music was so loud I couldn't hear what he said.
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Post by jmg378s on Feb 17, 2023 13:30:06 GMT -6
Yeah that Euro run is amped up with the surface low, moisture return, and shear but also tamped down with clouds and poor lapse rates.
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 17, 2023 13:38:28 GMT -6
I asked OpenAI's ChatGPT "How do I deal with the disappointment of not getting snow?". It gave me a wordy answer that boiled down to me needing to do these 5 things 1) Reframe my perspective. 2) Practice self-care. 3) Connect with others. 4) Plan for the future. and 5) Take action. And by "Take action" it meant that I should pursue a new hobby. Whatever ChatGPT. You can take your suggestions especially #5 and shove it up the unmentionable parts of your neural-network.
I was in the waitlist to talk with Bing (aka Sydney). I had a lot of fun weather related talking points and ideas I wanted to discuss with it and was looking forward to the more free-spirited and open nature of its responses and interactions. I'm fairly certain I could have taught it to love snow and be empathetic regarding the lack of it. And I really wanted it to give tomorrow's weather forecast in pirate lingo. But before I got my turn Microsoft reportedly lobotomized it last night. Based on the conservations I saw posted on the internet it was inevitable if not understandable, but was disappointing nonetheless.
I cannot wait for the days when a snarky chatbot is giving the daily weather forecast for St. Louis.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2023 14:09:34 GMT -6
We did it again. We 2-weeks'd ourselves right into Spring. This started near the end of the calendar year. Smart ppl said the arctic is drained and its going to take a long time to reload. Optimistic ppl said,, "wait, theres a ssw coming". Weve heard neg ao, waning la nina, mjo is entering phase 8, blah blah blah, wherefore and which to, etc etc. Well this reminds me of some advice my grandfather shared with me at my uncles wedding while we were sitting close to each other next to the Music Band. The music was so loud I couldn't hear what he said. The arctic is definitely not drained...nearly all of Canada is basking in sub-zero temps into next week. It just isn't able to penetrate southward. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2023 14:10:16 GMT -6
Oh Brtn don’t get sucked into all the nonsense trends, SSW /MJO/AO/PNA all those things are not working out this year. Knowing our luck it will get nasty mid March when everything starts to leaf out and green up. We will get some ridiculous cold and snowy pattern that develops in the beginning of spring when we all want nice warm and sunny weather. That sounds about right... |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 17, 2023 14:15:59 GMT -6
We did it again. We 2-weeks'd ourselves right into Spring. This started near the end of the calendar year. Smart ppl said the arctic is drained and its going to take a long time to reload. Optimistic ppl said,, "wait, theres a ssw coming". Weve heard neg ao, waning la nina, mjo is entering phase 8, blah blah blah, wherefore and which to, etc etc. Well this reminds me of some advice my grandfather shared with me at my uncles wedding while we were sitting close to each other next to the Music Band. The music was so loud I couldn't hear what he said. The arctic is definitely not drained...nearly all of Canada is basking in sub-zero temps into next week. It just isn't able to penetrate southward. There is also another SSW coming at the end of the month (a rare double dip). I’m called for a snowy Opening Day around MLB and a snowy Easter. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2023 14:19:29 GMT -6
You can almost guarantee a cold early spring with how this is shaping up
Winter will make its comeback when we least want it
Looking forward to it 🤮
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 17, 2023 14:34:53 GMT -6
Now the PV club is saying March before the effects are realized. We shall see. March snow can stick around for a bit, but not like January or February snow.
I’m just glad my livelihood and the livelihood of just about everyone in the area isn’t reliant on snow, or keeping snow. The businesses up north are not happy about these warmups as they are destroying the trails and causing people who spend a crap ton of money each week and weekend up there to cancel their trips.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 14:40:41 GMT -6
Colleagues in MN have their kids on ski teams. They are pretty happy this winter except for a bit of ice abt a week ago. Btw, what the heck ever happened at hidden vally? I know they were late in making snow (toward end of our 5 day cold blast). Did they close early this season?
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 14:43:30 GMT -6
We did it again. We 2-weeks'd ourselves right into Spring. This started near the end of the calendar year. Smart ppl said the arctic is drained and its going to take a long time to reload. Optimistic ppl said,, "wait, theres a ssw coming". Weve heard neg ao, waning la nina, mjo is entering phase 8, blah blah blah, wherefore and which to, etc etc. Well this reminds me of some advice my grandfather shared with me at my uncles wedding while we were sitting close to each other next to the Music Band. The music was so loud I couldn't hear what he said. The arctic is definitely not drained...nearly all of Canada is basking in sub-zero temps into next week. It just isn't able to penetrate southward. Maybe not now, but thats what the smart ppl said in early jan. Maybe we cant get enough buildup for a strong enough high pressure to overcome that ridge, and it just keeps bleeding out faster than it can build. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 14:44:59 GMT -6
Im calling for hail.
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 17, 2023 14:46:46 GMT -6
if only there was a way to find answers to questions
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jipper
Weather Weenie
Wentzville
Posts: 12 
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Post by jipper on Feb 17, 2023 15:37:48 GMT -6
You can almost guarantee a cold early spring with how this is shaping up Winter will make its comeback when we least want it Looking forward to it 🤮 I would agree... It seems to be the trend around here the last few years... especially April. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2023 15:43:34 GMT -6
Colleagues in MN have their kids on ski teams. They are pretty happy this winter except for a bit of ice abt a week ago. Btw, what the heck ever happened at hidden vally? I know they were late in making snow (toward end of our 5 day cold blast). Did they close early this season? I honestly can't believe they are still in business...how many other ski slopes are there at our latitude below 3-5kft? I'd venture a guess and say none. |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 17, 2023 16:03:07 GMT -6
Colleagues in MN have their kids on ski teams. They are pretty happy this winter except for a bit of ice abt a week ago. Btw, what the heck ever happened at hidden vally? I know they were late in making snow (toward end of our 5 day cold blast). Did they close early this season? I honestly can't believe they are still in business...how many other ski slopes are there at our latitude below 3-5kft? I'd venture a guess and say none. It’s gotta be a money laundering front. There’s no way you can sustain something like that here. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 16:04:47 GMT -6
Colleagues in MN have their kids on ski teams. They are pretty happy this winter except for a bit of ice abt a week ago. Btw, what the heck ever happened at hidden vally? I know they were late in making snow (toward end of our 5 day cold blast). Did they close early this season? I honestly can't believe they are still in business...how many other ski slopes are there at our latitude below 3-5kft? I'd venture a guess and say none. Hopefully their ziplining business has helped them stay afloat. I know there are ppl that skied there regularly. I think ive only been there 2 or 3 times when the kids were in scouts...20 plus years ago. |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 17, 2023 16:06:09 GMT -6
Also, I’d say Chris’ lack of posting (always lurking) is enough to tell us there is little threat of winter or severe weather, or any weather that is impactful to the masses.
Or he’s just busy making sure Scott’s weather balloons aren’t shot down.
Not that it’s a bad thing. He probably needs a break!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 16:11:40 GMT -6
Ya, im starting to think that he will post again when hes taking the storm pilot to perryville to chase storms on a spring like day.
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Post by chowderhead54 on Feb 17, 2023 16:56:17 GMT -6
Also, I’d say Chris’ lack of posting (always lurking) is enough to tell us there is little threat of winter or severe weather, or any weather that is impactful to the masses. Or he’s just busy making sure Scott’s weather balloons aren’t shot down. Not that it’s a bad thing. He probably needs a break! |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Feb 17, 2023 16:57:40 GMT -6
You know it's been a terrible winter when the goofs drunk uncle can't even deliver any digital Snow to make you feel intrigued 🤔
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 17, 2023 16:57:51 GMT -6
Actually fun to read the christmas edition and see the anticipation of a full out blizzard.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 17, 2023 17:05:34 GMT -6
Actually fun to read the christmas edition and see the anticipation of a full out blizzard. About the time where it all started to go wrong... |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 17, 2023 17:14:22 GMT -6
The Winter of 2022-2023
"Those two GFS runs in December were pretty cool"
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 17, 2023 17:37:53 GMT -6
I honestly can't believe they are still in business...how many other ski slopes are there at our latitude below 3-5kft? I'd venture a guess and say none. It’s gotta be a money laundering front. There’s no way you can sustain something like that here. Especially on that prime real estate. It's not ideal, but some developer probably wants to put mcmansions on that land |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Feb 17, 2023 18:50:31 GMT -6
I pulled into the farm yesterday down here in Vienna Illinois, and the tulips and daffodils are popping out of the ground already, some are even flowered. There was a inch of frozen sleet and ice here two weeks ago, so bad the schools were closed for almost a week.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 18, 2023 10:14:26 GMT -6
Lots of geese flying north on radar
I even spotted a couple flocks when taking the dog for a walk
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