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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2023 12:46:12 GMT -6
2-3 rows of counties highlighted to the north beyond the polygon...kinda weird but obviously the focus looks to be south of the Metro. SPC shifted the hatched wind region well SE and added a 5% TOR outlook near the outflow across S IL I noticed that. What's the watch, the box or the counties? Technically the counties...I can't remember if the local NWO can add counties to the watch or not...assume that's where the discrepancy comes from |
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jul 1, 2023 12:50:41 GMT -6
Power just came back on, so about 18 hours. Meat still frozen solid in deep freeze!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 1, 2023 13:19:49 GMT -6
Mesoscale Discussion 1374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 PM CDT Sat Jul 01 2023
Areas affected...southeast MO into southern IL
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 427...
Valid 011915Z - 012045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 427
continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential may be increasing across parts of
southeast Missouri into southern Illinois over the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms from Phelps to Oregon Counties in
southeast MO is showing signs of intensification and better
organization over the past 30 minutes or so. Radar velocity
signatures have increased and reports of wind damage and hail have
been noted with this activity. While some semi-discrete cells
continue, the cluster over Texas County has shown better
organization and an increase in forward propagation. Very steep
lapse rates and DCAPE values exceeding 1000 J/kg indicate potential
for strong downbursts. If continued organization into a bowing
cluster continues, an attendant increase in a swath of damaging
winds is expected downstream across parts of east-central/southeast
MO and southern IL.
..Leitman.. 07/01/2023
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 1, 2023 14:16:14 GMT -6
torrential downpours and extensive lightning in O'Fallon, MO near rt K and N
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Post by msnotos on Jul 1, 2023 14:30:13 GMT -6
Heavy rain and wind with excessive thunder/lightning, started about 15 mins ago in St Charles just south of i-70 |
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Post by amstilost on Jul 1, 2023 14:37:11 GMT -6
Gust front just came through 7 miles west of De Soto. Distant thunder, a few drops of rain so far, under a Severe Warning and the cluster has weakened dramatically in the last 15 minutes or so.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jul 1, 2023 14:40:29 GMT -6
This is both awesome nap weather and one wicked storm coming through Hazelwood right now. Just got VERY dark.
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 1, 2023 14:45:06 GMT -6
The gust front that came thru Bonne Terre/Desloge was wild and now we are getting much needed rain. Thanks be to God! What a drop in temp!
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Post by jeepers on Jul 1, 2023 14:58:07 GMT -6
Glorious rain!
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Post by amstilost on Jul 1, 2023 15:01:12 GMT -6
Well what do you know.... concrete still has dry spots and my 'Rain Can" is bone dry. WTH  Looks like some backbuilding just to my west might help some in the next 10 minutes or so. Don't want severe weather but rain is needed, badly. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 1, 2023 15:02:03 GMT -6
Glorious downpour and thunder here. Kinda hopping it knocks out internet so I don't have to work
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 1, 2023 15:07:47 GMT -6
Sirens went off here, I guess due to the TS warning
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 1, 2023 15:08:20 GMT -6
2.29 in st.peters. big ol storms. Honestly we had 4.88 in juner, and now up to 2.77 for july from last night and today. Locally we are doing well compared to many. I hope all get rain tonight
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 1, 2023 15:28:40 GMT -6
When it comes down as quickly as it did it doesn't get a chance to do any good for the parched ground. Doesn't matter how much comes down.
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Post by dschreib on Jul 1, 2023 15:39:08 GMT -6
When it comes down as quickly as it did it doesn't get a chance to do any good for the parched ground. Doesn't matter how much comes down. I don’t know. The 1/2-3/4 inch cracks in the ground do a pretty good job of soaking up that water. |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jul 1, 2023 15:40:00 GMT -6
Looks like rain will stick around for a little bit after the main downpours move through
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2023 15:45:09 GMT -6
When it comes down as quickly as it did it doesn't get a chance to do any good for the parched ground. Doesn't matter how much comes down. The other issue is the lack of deep ground moisture doesn't provide backpressure so what does manage to soak in goes down deep and the topsoil dries out quickly. The areas that have recieved multiple rounds will have much better soil moisture that's deeper and "locked in". Looks like we've got about an inch storm total IMBY between last night and today and it's still raining |
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Post by dschreib on Jul 1, 2023 15:55:42 GMT -6
Starting to look a little “notchy” over on this side of the river.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 1, 2023 15:59:33 GMT -6
Rotation around Nashville
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Post by dschreib on Jul 1, 2023 16:00:18 GMT -6
Rotation around Nashville That part of Washington County is a tornado magnet. Always blows up just east of us. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jul 1, 2023 16:06:54 GMT -6
Metro area done now I’m guessing?
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Post by amstilost on Jul 1, 2023 16:09:23 GMT -6
Well, we got lucky that a little back building happened. We had a good shower and some close lightning strikes. Just checked the 'Can'. Not enough water in it to harm the ant that is walking in circles. Possibly .032" and that is being liberal.
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Post by ajd446 on Jul 1, 2023 16:20:43 GMT -6
Incredible rain. Flood advisory st.charles county 1 to 4 inches. Big drought dent. I always feel lucky on the st.charles side of the river when it comes to snow and rain.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 1, 2023 16:27:11 GMT -6
lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jul 1, 2023 16:48:21 GMT -6
Really nice soaker on the backside of this up here in Brighton...1.2" storm total so far
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Post by Jeffmw on Jul 1, 2023 17:00:17 GMT -6
Power went out 3 times but stayed on.
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Post by jeepers on Jul 1, 2023 17:10:43 GMT -6
0.67 in yesterday, 1.13 in today. Had power notably flicker enough this am to reboot all of my electronics, but it didn't go out. My lines are buried to the pole, so it was something in the system after that. Grateful for a good rain. Hopefully this puts a dent in the drought, at least in some areas.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jul 1, 2023 17:15:33 GMT -6
Only had 4 tenths out here at the lake but 2 miles away in town we got 7 tenths
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 1, 2023 17:19:36 GMT -6
anybody in wright city know if it rained out there? Next county over from St. Charles? I'm debating driving out there to mow a lawn.
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Post by REB on Jul 1, 2023 17:23:33 GMT -6
.36”. That gives me a grand total of .41”. Disappointed.
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