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Post by ajd446 on Aug 5, 2023 6:13:03 GMT -6
Brtnwx did you finally get something substantial in Brighton I hope.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 5, 2023 6:16:28 GMT -6
Another token tenth in the gauge this morning...less than 10% of what the NAM was showing. I'm sensing a trend here, lol.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 5, 2023 6:30:45 GMT -6
Added another 1.375" overnight. I was really surprised the lightning just kept going and going. I waited to make sure there was no severe weather with the leading edge and went to bed. The radar was not very impressive.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 5, 2023 6:56:38 GMT -6
Looks like the tropics may try to come alive towards mid-month with some waves crossing the southern Atlantic basin. Amazing how quiet this season has been so far. The large-scale amplitude of the wave pattern that models are showing later this month is impressive...the EC has a 600dm+ ridge off the BC coast towards D10
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Aug 5, 2023 7:00:14 GMT -6
Finally! The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete is happy to report 1.4" from last night.
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Post by REB on Aug 5, 2023 7:02:47 GMT -6
I'm tired of those cheering for severe weather....tonight's MCS break off should just about finish my house off. Last Saturday dropped a 46", 100' tulip into my place. I'd post a picture but the archaic 14 step process isn't worth it. It was posted on Higgins Twitter so go there if you're interested. Couldn’t find the picture. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Aug 5, 2023 7:26:40 GMT -6
1.1" from the 35 minute storm we had that started about 425 this morning.
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Post by tedrick65 on Aug 5, 2023 8:44:20 GMT -6
Was a have-not in High Ridge...only .29"
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 5, 2023 8:50:26 GMT -6
Tomorrow evening looks pretty interesting This is a wild sounding for August around here  |
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Post by amstilost on Aug 5, 2023 8:56:47 GMT -6
I'm just worried about marginally strong straight line winds because of the saturated ground. The trees won't be able to take too much.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 5, 2023 9:03:35 GMT -6
Tomorrow evening looks pretty interesting This is a wild sounding for August around here If we clear out behind that lead wave models are showing in the morning...look out |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Aug 5, 2023 9:31:45 GMT -6
Looks like the tropics may try to come alive towards mid-month with some waves crossing the southern Atlantic basin. Amazing how quiet this season has been so far. The large-scale amplitude of the wave pattern that models are showing later this month is impressive...the EC has a 600dm+ ridge off the BC coast towards D10 Oceans are going to act as rocket fuel given the record heat. I expect 2 CAT 4s to threaten US landfall |
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 5, 2023 9:42:40 GMT -6
Only thing is El Nino gaining strength usually is a negative for hurricanes with wind shear. And Sahara dust too, which hurts. But of course it's August so very possible. Even though our wx pattern is stuck in may around here.
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Post by dmbstl on Aug 5, 2023 10:31:02 GMT -6
Nearly 1.3 in the rain gauge this morning in Maplewood.
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Post by sgdragons on Aug 5, 2023 10:33:18 GMT -6
4.375” total from the storms this week. Another inch or so last night and it came in a hurry. Drive way is in need of grading for the third time in 10 days.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Aug 5, 2023 14:46:06 GMT -6
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 5, 2023 18:30:30 GMT -6
I know it’s only August 5th but does anyone else have that Summer winding down feeling.
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Post by REB on Aug 5, 2023 19:03:37 GMT -6
I know it’s only August 5th but does anyone else have that Summer winding down feeling. All of the teachers setting up their classrooms. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 5, 2023 19:56:41 GMT -6
Looks like that lead disturbance will be moving through mid-morning tomorrow which could muddle things with debris cloud and rain cooled airmass. If that clears out early enough, we should sufficiently destabilize for a severe threat with the cold front during the evening hours. Shear values are definitely impressive for August standards.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 5, 2023 22:30:53 GMT -6
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Post by jeepers on Aug 5, 2023 22:53:31 GMT -6
Sorry late in posting, traveled today. 0.84in in the Davis from last night’s storm.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 6, 2023 7:45:16 GMT -6
SPC has added a 5% TOR risk from the Metro and points E/NE...models are suggesting SRH of ~250m2/s2 with 40-50kts bulk shear which favors supercells and tornadogenesis potential. Also a 15% hatched hail risk across the N counties. NAMs have 3000j/kg+ SBCAPE this afternoon which seems a little overcooked with the cloud cover but there should be sufficient instability for development this afternoon.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 6, 2023 9:37:10 GMT -6
Raining
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Post by eurekakim on Aug 6, 2023 9:40:00 GMT -6
Just had a nice downpour here in Eureka with straggling misty rain continuing. Just when “muggy” and “gross” outside already existed, this may take it to the next level when it clears out.
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