Chris's Corner - Record for Latest First Flakes May Fall

From the afternoon AFD regarding the late week system:

“As far as precipitation type and amounts, there remains considerably
more uncertainty on that as it will depend on how the wave evolves
and how much warm/cold air gets pulled into it. At the moment it
does seem like a primarily rain or snow situation, but we can`t
quite rule out other precipitation types just yet. With our area
likely to be on the north side of this wave, we`ll be more likely to
see the wintry end of it. From the 00Z ensemble data up to 50
percent of members now show at least 1 inch of snow through the
center of our forecast area, a sign of the confidence that we`ll be
on the cold and likely snowy side of the system. On the more extreme
side, worst case scenario, this could be a substantial snowfall
event with several inches falling. There is more cold air in the
vicinity to work with than there is with the prior storm, aiding
both in maintaining snow as the precipitation type as well as
setting up potentially better frontal forcing for precipitation.
Ultimately, though, it`s still too early with too much uncertainty
to advertise this in its most extreme form. However, we will begin
messaging the potential for another wintry weather episode at the
end of this week.“