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Post by stegenwx on Jan 12, 2024 22:03:10 GMT -6
GFS and GGEM both swings and misses for Sunday/Monday. This will be the one they get right.
NAM/ICON/FV3 support some decent light snow south of 70.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2024 22:03:11 GMT -6
Good to see the NAM and GFS are on the same page Sunday and Monday
Only a small difference between them…
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Post by jeepers on Jan 12, 2024 22:21:39 GMT -6
Few flakes, 15 degrees.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 12, 2024 22:28:56 GMT -6
Looking at the 00z Icon and 00z Ggem…
Will give it a long shot chance something spins up on Thursday/Friday with another lobe of the PV rotating in.
Probably will get torn apart, but that is probably the time period to watch before the pattern relaxes.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2024 23:19:04 GMT -6
Southern folks on the board still could squeak out an inch or so Sun.
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Post by bear1 on Jan 13, 2024 6:56:32 GMT -6
still spittin' flurries here in Bourbon @ 7: a.m. temp at 11*
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 8:22:20 GMT -6
Lots of diamond dust in the air this morning
12* in Brighton
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 13, 2024 8:24:11 GMT -6
Our 'sneaky' mini snow event today taking shape over northeastern Kansas. Models have most action north of 70, but could extend down to I-64. Might be a wind driven inch or so, perhaps 1-2 for the northern third of the area.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 13, 2024 8:53:18 GMT -6
Relatives in Nashville TN under a winter storm watch - up to 4.5” expected. I think they had an over-achieving snowstorm last year that gave them more snow than we’ve seen in a while. Our snow void is no joke.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2024 8:57:39 GMT -6
Please make sure all your animals are in tonight or have adequate shelter. This cold is near record breaking.
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Post by jeepers on Jan 13, 2024 9:24:46 GMT -6
14 degrees.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2024 9:30:18 GMT -6
HRRR looks decent with the little system this afternoon
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 13, 2024 9:36:46 GMT -6
.UPDATE...
Issued at 829 AM CST Sat Jan 13 2024
Regional reflectivity and surface observations show an area of
snow across eastern Kansas moving eastward into Missouri this
morning. Within the heaviest bands surface observation stations
have reported heavy snow. The snow is moving ahead of the
925-850mb Arctic front sinking through the area today and is on
track to move through the forecast area from late this morning
through the afternoon. Hi-res guidance has highlighted an area of
enhanced QPF associated with this system moving somewhere between
the I-70 corridor and about two counties northward a relatively
small range that will spell the difference between a few tenths of
snowfall and a few inches. The worst case scenario would result in
2-3 inches falling in a couple hours across the I-70 corridor,
while best case would entail an overall weakening of the Arctic
front, a reduction in QPF, and snow amounts generally less than 1
inch within the heaviest band.
Beyond this band of heaviest snow accumulations will be less than
an inch, even less if the front weakens through the day. Snow
will fall in just a few hours and could catch motorists off guard
as snow accumulates on roadways and reduces visibility.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 9:45:46 GMT -6
3km NAM looks good for an inch or two of fluff along/N of 70 this afternoon...hopefully that holds together.
It also gets snow into the S Metro tomorrow but the N gradient is questionable due to dry air.
Another little wave coming through on Monday could drop an inch or so.
Stay warm out there!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 13, 2024 10:10:54 GMT -6
3km NAM looks good for an inch or two of fluff along/N of 70 this afternoon...hopefully that holds together. It also gets snow into the S Metro tomorrow but the N gradient is questionable due to dry air. Another little wave coming through on Monday could drop an inch or so. Stay warm out there! l Looks like down here we will miss today just to the north and tomorrow just to the south lol I think winning the lotto would have better odds lol |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 13, 2024 10:14:01 GMT -6
12z gfs and ggem are still giving me reason to watch Thursday/Friday.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 10:21:15 GMT -6
12z gfs and ggem are still giving me reason to watch Thursday/Friday. Yeah, I've got that one on the back burner but that could come together nicely somewhere. |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 13, 2024 10:21:52 GMT -6
12z gfs and ggem are still giving me reason to watch Thursday/Friday. Yep, if she could spin up about 12 hrs sooner.... |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 13, 2024 11:01:22 GMT -6
The Rap is a little further south today and little farther north tomorrow…… it is now my favorite model lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2024 11:04:19 GMT -6
The GEFS does show some potential Thursday/Friday
Right now it favors the southern half of the area for snowfall
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 13, 2024 11:17:17 GMT -6
the ukmet is comical..north, south, north..
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 11:27:19 GMT -6
1/2sm vis reported under that band out west...looks like a nice thump of snow coming down 70
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Post by rb1108 on Jan 13, 2024 11:27:58 GMT -6
the ukmet is comical..north, south, north.. Snow, how much snow accumulation did you end up getting out there? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 11:49:23 GMT -6
Most models have Thursday's hit of WAA snow to the N of STL, but it's pretty likely they are mixing out the cA airmass too quickly and that ends up further S IMO. That could be good for several inches where it lines up.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 13, 2024 12:01:43 GMT -6
Most models have Thursday's hit of WAA snow to the N of STL, but it's pretty likely they are mixing out the cA airmass too quickly and that ends up further S IMO. That could be good for several inches where it lines up. See, I’m going the other way. I think it goes north of me to the Wisconsin state border. They get all the snow. |
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 13, 2024 12:06:05 GMT -6
Most models have Thursday's hit of WAA snow to the N of STL, but it's pretty likely they are mixing out the cA airmass too quickly and that ends up further S IMO. That could be good for several inches where it lines up. Anything would be nice at this point. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 13, 2024 12:09:20 GMT -6
the ukmet is comical..north, south, north.. Snow, how much snow accumulation did you end up getting out there? tons. about a half inch, maybe |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 13, 2024 12:14:07 GMT -6
Looks like the heaviest of this afternoon's snow will be in a band even with the Bowling Green & Louisiana areas
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2024 13:22:15 GMT -6
Looks like the heaviest of this afternoon's snow will be in a band even with the Bowling Green & Louisiana areas Band still looks decent along 70 on the COU/MZZU radar weather.missouri.edu/radar/MZZU.html |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 13, 2024 13:23:33 GMT -6
I might have seen a flake floating through the sky.
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