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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 15, 2024 13:01:12 GMT -6
Bummer was hoping we could get a 2021 event in mid February đ. Yes, 2014..it was just after the SuperBowl..I had too endure countless posts from.friends, etc from the Boston area posting feet..and feet of Snow shots on FB..they got buried..I think it was 3 monster Noreasters...those are pretty intense having lived through many of them back in the 70's and 80's.. Right now I'm living life vicariously through my family out in the foothills of Mt.Hood. Saturday blizzard with 60mph plus winds and 8 inches of snow/sleet..they have had no power for 3 days..but they go throught it alot so several generators..and a pellet stove that cranks the heat..that puppy will drive you out of the family room it's so đ„ đ„”. Dr. Cohen said PV split today and there is a good chance the winds reverse so it would count as the real thing unlike the one a couple weeks ago. So, would imagine that would setup something at the end of the month through the first 3 weeks of February. Still think the daughter vortex will setup to the east, so more of a technicality than a change in impacts I expect. Someone should have a fun February. Thank you for the update. I have not had a chance to read the blog yet. I appreciate your insights..and always your positive attitude towards Snow and its potential! Even from a far.. I do the same for my family and a blog I follow out in the PNW. Keep the dream alive for us Snow lovers!!
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 15, 2024 13:02:35 GMT -6
There are also a fair number of 1/4 and 1/2 mile visibility reports with S. I don't actually see any S+ although quarter mile vis implies S+ with rather weak winds. Bring us the positive Chris!! Keep the good updates coming!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2024 13:22:50 GMT -6
Radar does look decent west of here
Getting an inch or two of snow would be very nice
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Post by grizzlebeard on Jan 15, 2024 13:35:31 GMT -6
Potential for a relatively rare "snow-on-snow" event after the craptastic events over the last week to 10 days or so.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 15, 2024 14:20:09 GMT -6
Oh..it'll still be craptaatic
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Post by stegenwx on Jan 15, 2024 14:26:05 GMT -6
This dry air is comical. None to be found anywhere else itâs trying to snow (joking, sorta). Hoping we can squeeze out another dusting but have my doubts this far south.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 15, 2024 14:28:19 GMT -6
Every single model has the most snow right along and north of i70. Even the hurricane ad rap. As noted radar is a bit south. So...lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2024 14:30:40 GMT -6
Some 30dbz banding in western MO
Models sure didnât show that
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2024 14:32:47 GMT -6
This dry air is comical. None to be found anywhere else itâs trying to snow (joking, sorta). Hoping we can squeeze out another dusting but have my doubts this far south. Good news is it dosent take much moisture to saturate very cold air like this. Once the better lift moves in the dry air should collapse pretty quickly.
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2024 14:48:27 GMT -6
I had a low of -1* this morn. Up to 11* now 7 miles west of De Soto. That is a very healthy looking band of snow on the radar at KC. Even some 'green streamers' on the STL radar S-SW of me. That's in Base Mode too.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 15, 2024 14:59:16 GMT -6
I was just delivering to one of my stores and I saw a car with Tennessee plates on it⊠An older couple got out and I said you guys are missing the snow back home⊠And they responded thatâs why we came up here to visit our daughter to miss the snowâŠâŠâŠ OK thatâs the final punch to the stomach lol
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 15, 2024 15:09:38 GMT -6
Rolla reporting light snow. Snowman the snow is getting closer to Union.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 15, 2024 15:15:11 GMT -6
Some 30dbz banding in western MO Models sure didnât show that Yeah I'm watching that one band S of I-70. It's ripping in Windsor, MO.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 15, 2024 15:16:13 GMT -6
Every single model has the most snow right along and north of i70. Even the hurricane ad rap. As noted radar is a bit south. So...lol Yeah the models have been struggling with this shortwave of energy.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2024 15:22:50 GMT -6
Every single model has the most snow right along and north of i70. Even the hurricane ad rap. As noted radar is a bit south. So...lol Yeah the models have been struggling with this shortwave of energy. HRRR is completely out to lunch on this event. Truly a nowcast situation
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 15, 2024 15:29:30 GMT -6
Yeah the models have been struggling with this shortwave of energy. HRRR is completely out to lunch on this event. Truly a nowcast situation I couldn't agree more. Look at observations and radar.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 15, 2024 15:34:08 GMT -6
I thought ânowcastâ was a banned word. Along with t-o-w-e-l?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 15, 2024 15:37:45 GMT -6
A few flakes breaking through in Arnold
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 15, 2024 15:38:14 GMT -6
I thought ânowcastâ was a banned word. Along with t-o-w-e-l? ContextâŠlol. For example, when the models moved the track 200 miles north, you canât use NOWCAST. But, when none of the models line up with observationsâŠthen ya can. Now, as far as the drying cloth is concerned, that can be thrown in for this winter. Itâs done. Itâs over before it even began.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 15, 2024 15:38:48 GMT -6
I was just delivering to one of my stores and I saw a car with Tennessee plates on it⊠An older couple got out and I said you guys are missing the snow back home⊠And they responded thatâs why we came up here to visit our daughter to miss the snowâŠâŠâŠ OK thatâs the final punch to the stomach lol Saint Louis is the new Florida...lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 15, 2024 15:41:12 GMT -6
KEAX radar looking pretty beefy S of 70.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 15, 2024 15:45:32 GMT -6
KEAX radar looking pretty beefy S of 70. Yeah as Chris and Snowstorm have mentioned. This system has something up its sleeve and the radar is continuing to show that now. Hopefully your not too far north.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 15, 2024 15:52:49 GMT -6
Fox2 weather appâs radar has the precipitation kind of falling apart and weakening as it traverses the state. Accurate?
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Post by Steven Penrod- HLEW on Jan 15, 2024 15:58:54 GMT -6
Fox2 weather appâs radar has the precipitation kind of falling apart and weakening as it traverses the state. Accurate? Itâs a model. Models have not been great with this so far.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 15, 2024 16:00:20 GMT -6
Fox2 weather appâs radar has the precipitation kind of falling apart and weakening as it traverses the state. Accurate? Itâs a model. Models have not been great with this so far. I was curious where it got itâs extrapolation fromâŠ
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Post by amstilost on Jan 15, 2024 16:00:20 GMT -6
A pretty heavy flurry/light snow 7 miles west of De Soto under very weak radar returns, hopefully a very good sign. Temp down to 10*.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 15, 2024 16:03:14 GMT -6
Got all the way to 7.9 today, now 7.2 hopefully evaporative cooling beginning
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Post by chowderhead54 on Jan 15, 2024 16:05:37 GMT -6
A pretty heavy flurry/light snow 7 miles west of De Soto under very weak radar returns, hopefully a very good sign. Temp down to 10*. A couple lonely flakes starting to break through in Waterloo..
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Post by Steven Penrod- HLEW on Jan 15, 2024 16:05:57 GMT -6
Itâs a model. Models have not been great with this so far. I was curious where it got itâs extrapolation from⊠Itâs accurate in a sense thatâs what most models are showing but the models arenât showing whatâs happening right now. Wasnât sure if your asking if thatâs accurate to what the models show or accurate on whatâs going to happen. Two different things, possibly. Lol
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 15, 2024 16:09:45 GMT -6
Itâs a model. Models have not been great with this so far. I was curious where it got itâs extrapolation from⊠Math lol
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