bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150 
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Jan 12, 2024 13:19:22 GMT -6
Giving serious thought to having this printed on a shirt  |
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Post by dschreib on Jan 12, 2024 13:20:56 GMT -6
Just remember how close we were to losing this whole thing a year or so ago over what some would say were relatively harmless comments. Let’s not go down that road again. They weren’t harmless comments. There was a particular group of people in here that attacked a certain page. What they didn’t know is that certain page knew the real names of those people. What was said was seriously bad and was presented to Chris. Certain comments weren’t as bad as others but for that particular page there are people running it that are handicapped and was done in a very harassing way. Thankfully that page and Chris resolved things quickly and admirably. Just know the comments were a low as it gets. I didn’t see them all, so I can’t comment on that. My point is not everyone will interpret comments the same way, so the best thing to do, in my very humble opinion, is to maybe just scroll past it. Most of us have been around here long enough to know each other’s tendencies, but we still act surprised. |
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 12, 2024 13:23:32 GMT -6
They weren’t harmless comments. There was a particular group of people in here that attacked a certain page. What they didn’t know is that certain page knew the real names of those people. What was said was seriously bad and was presented to Chris. Certain comments weren’t as bad as others but for that particular page there are people running it that are handicapped and was done in a very harassing way. Thankfully that page and Chris resolved things quickly and admirably. Just know the comments were a low as it gets. I didn’t see them all, so I can’t comment on that. My point is not everyone will interpret comments the same way, so the best thing to do, in my very humble opinion, is to maybe just scroll past it. Most of us have been around here long enough to know each other’s tendencies, but we still act surprised. SELECTIVE OUTRAGE AND LOUD NOISES!!! |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2024 13:25:03 GMT -6
I Love Lamp! That is all.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 12, 2024 13:25:18 GMT -6
They weren’t harmless comments. There was a particular group of people in here that attacked a certain page. What they didn’t know is that certain page knew the real names of those people. What was said was seriously bad and was presented to Chris. Certain comments weren’t as bad as others but for that particular page there are people running it that are handicapped and was done in a very harassing way. Thankfully that page and Chris resolved things quickly and admirably. Just know the comments were a low as it gets. I didn’t see them all, so I can’t comment on that. My point is not everyone will interpret comments the same way, so the best thing to do, in my very humble opinion, is to maybe just scroll past it. Most of us have been around here long enough to know each other’s tendencies, but we still act surprised. Totally agree. Peaceful scrolling on and simply looking past the obvious expectations from certain individuals is the way to go. Most everyone does great in here an I wish you all a big time snow! |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 12, 2024 13:36:13 GMT -6
I was hoping 5 miles west would be enough, maybe we will get some lake effect later this winter to makeup for it. At least everything is covered. Just don’t want grass and -10F   What a difference 6 hours makes. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2024 13:36:29 GMT -6
light fine snow here. Radar coming alive with squalls, showers, streamers, whatever. 26.4
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 12, 2024 13:37:47 GMT -6
Well, things look to relax for the last half of January.
The GFS would look to support a return to the December pattern.
However, it is out on its own as the GEFS and EPS lend absolutely no support to it.
Also, I’m having a tough time buying the long range of the GEFS or EPS as both are calling for a persistent ridge in AK, which would argue downstream troughing. However, they are showing that the ridge is going to get undercut and therefore, we go zonal.
I completely see a relaxation of next week, but full on return to December I think is out of the question.
EDIT: Well, after looking at forecasted teleconnections, things look to get absolutely screwed for the last half of January. MJO going to warm phases, AO trending back positive, PNA trending back positive. This all sucks.
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Jan 12, 2024 13:58:13 GMT -6
Well, things look to relax for the last half of January. The GFS would look to support a return to the December pattern. However, it is out on its own as the GEFS and EPS lend absolutely no support to it. Also, I’m having a tough time buying the long range of the GEFS or EPS as both are calling for a persistent ridge in AK, which would argue downstream troughing. However, they are showing that the ridge is going to get undercut and therefore, we go zonal. I completely see a relaxation of next week, but full on return to December I think is out of the question. EDIT: Well, after looking at forecasted teleconnections, things look to get absolutely screwed for the last half of January. MJO going to warm phases, AO trending back positive, PNA trending back positive. This all sucks. If it's not going to snow, it might as well warm up...I hate to say it, but it is what it is. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 12, 2024 13:58:55 GMT -6
East to West mini snow squalls is the dessert for this you know what sandwich of a storm.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 12, 2024 14:00:06 GMT -6
Well, things look to relax for the last half of January. The GFS would look to support a return to the December pattern. However, it is out on its own as the GEFS and EPS lend absolutely no support to it. Also, I’m having a tough time buying the long range of the GEFS or EPS as both are calling for a persistent ridge in AK, which would argue downstream troughing. However, they are showing that the ridge is going to get undercut and therefore, we go zonal. I completely see a relaxation of next week, but full on return to December I think is out of the question. EDIT: Well, after looking at forecasted teleconnections, things look to get absolutely screwed for the last half of January. MJO going to warm phases, AO trending back positive, PNA trending back positive. This all sucks. If it's not going to snow, it might as well warm up...I hate to say it, but it is what it is. Well, though I don’t disagree with you 100%, some of our snows have been missed because we started too warm. So, kinda need it seasonally cold. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 12, 2024 14:11:47 GMT -6
My point forecast has been showing anywhere from 2 -3 inches of snow for down here for the last couple of days for Sunday and Sunday night ….. now it’s .4 ….. yet another gut punch
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 12, 2024 14:18:13 GMT -6
I think i mentioned before...but in recent years, our biggest snow of the season seems to come just before the cold recedes in a major pattern change. That could mean we might see something in the third week. I also notice in recent years that big time cold like we will see is often followed by weeks of mild temps. So conceptually, i think we have one more shot of big snow in january, then late february early march we might be looking at some concrete. Would be interesting if feb is cold like dm suggests.
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Jan 12, 2024 14:18:26 GMT -6
29, windy, and very fine snow flakes falling in Wentzville.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2024 14:19:15 GMT -6
Fine light now has started falling here
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2024 14:22:30 GMT -6
Very strong windchill advisory for the metro with 25 below forecast. I thought 25 below was warning criteria. Maybe I am wrong.
Warren county says 25 below as well and they are under a warning. Im confused.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2024 14:32:26 GMT -6
18z NAM throwing us a bone Sunday night
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2024 14:36:46 GMT -6
I noticed the ECMWF is now onboard with the winter storm on Sunday/Monday...for southern Arkansas.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2024 14:38:44 GMT -6
18z NAM throwing us a bone Sunday night i was going to say this...hi res is better |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 12, 2024 14:40:13 GMT -6
hi-res is a bit nicer too
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Post by dschreib on Jan 12, 2024 14:41:17 GMT -6
At least it's going to rain along the E coast with this one. But don't worry...Boston will get their 40" of snow at some point.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 12, 2024 14:46:29 GMT -6
Almost all models are starting to show signs of hope for Sunday night actually.
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 12, 2024 14:51:45 GMT -6
I think i mentioned before...but in recent years, our biggest snow of the season seems to come just before the cold recedes in a major pattern change. That could mean we might see something in the third week. I also notice in recent years that big time cold like we will see is often followed by weeks of mild temps. So conceptually, i think we have one more shot of big snow in january, then late february early march we might be looking at some concrete. Would be interesting if feb is cold like dm suggests. He seems pretty adamant about a January repeat in February. Hopefully one of the storms will land. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 12, 2024 15:25:19 GMT -6
The lack of precip within the cold sector of this storm is pretty remarkable.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 12, 2024 15:25:25 GMT -6
We do also need some of our northern (and northwestern) friends to fill our rivers. That was one of my "trying to make a silk purse out of a sow's ear" thoughts. All that Iowa snow will help both of our big rivers. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 12, 2024 15:30:05 GMT -6
This map is WRONG! There's no hole in the colors over St. Louis. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 12, 2024 15:32:17 GMT -6
This map is WRONG! There's no hole in the colors over St. Louis. Each crayon stroke is a low pressure track. The least dense part of the map is our wheelhouse and these lows are going straight over our heads |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 12, 2024 16:01:37 GMT -6
Nam would cover the ground for all of us ….. this evenings GFS is disgustingly awful
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steve
Wishcaster
Wentzville, Mo
Posts: 228
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Post by steve on Jan 12, 2024 16:09:02 GMT -6
Nam would cover the ground for all of us ….. this evenings GFS is disgustingly awful The NAM has picked up on the northern track really well the last two events |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 12, 2024 16:13:07 GMT -6
This map is WRONG! There's no hole in the colors over St. Louis. Each crayon stroke is a low pressure track. The least dense part of the map is our wheelhouse and these lows are going straight over our heads Then there should be no crayon marks on the bootheel. ;-) |
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