Chris's Corner - Welcome to the Warmest Start Ever to Feb!

I wouldn’t say that “record shattering” is the correct verbiage as well. Record breaking, sure. But, I also don’t put much stock in temp records. When some of these were “set”, we were still using leaches to treat people and you could get cocaine in your cola.

I was referring to the average. They’ve been running 2-5 degrees, on average, above normal….seemingly every year for the last 4-5 years.

But, I can remember our January “thaws” of the early 2010s. We would habitually see temps into the 70s. And then I have FB memories showing snow well into March. I’m not talking the 24 hour snow either. We maintained a pack for 4-7 days. But, I’m also 100 miles north or so. Large scale, not that far from you, but small scale like we are talking, it’s enormous!

That would be cool.

I bought a spotting scope recently.  I have been using it to observe an eagle's nest on the west end, but I'm planning on using it to look at the moon one night soon, and I'll buy a solar filter to use it on the eclipse.

I haven't decided on a destination yet, probably going to head more east than south. 

Who knows, still almost 2 months of snow season left.

Anyone know what happened to the SSW event that was supposed to happen this week?

It's in progress. Models were showing another burst of warming developing into early March which would help the vortex remain weak and stretched. Should be some cold air sloshing around next month...where it goes remains to be seen.

I’ll go out on a limb and say mid-late next week brings snow to the region.

First low is going to hit Canada and start to bring the cold air down.

Then, wave number 2 is the crucial part. Does it come out in one piece and cut hard bringing severe weather?

I say no. I think it splits in two with energy digging into the 4 corners like the 00z Icon shows.

Then, the part that doesn’t dig will shear out and occlude preventing much if any severe weather.

Instead, it will bring the cold air even closer.

Then, the energy that dug into the southwest will eject out and become the dominant low with heavy snow.

The end.

Well woke up and the last patch of snow has melted In my yard .

That is pretty awesome John!!

Very cool!
Interesting smell in the air tonight. It's smoke from wildfires in Arkansas based on satellite imagery.

Based on model performance this year, North Dakota better start preparing.

I said that exact thing this morning.  Models will miss us by 300 miles on a winter system, but they'll lock in 10 days out on severe weather and nail it.

Major winter storm during that stretch...guaranteed

Meh, first couple weeks in March is better than the the first couple weeks in May. Anyway, we can get almost anything at anytime, so it matters little.

Check out the moon this morning, wow!

Just based on the outlines of the Outlooks next week, Wednesday over the mid-south will be a big day, seems that area always gets smoked. Tuesday will probably be more conditional, just based on geography.... Of course it will do something becuase its a storm forecast and not snow.