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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 3, 2020 14:04:51 GMT -6
EURO still looks like it could pack a punch with what little data is provided on pivotal
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 3, 2020 10:22:21 GMT -6
GFS has now reverted back to a more sheared out system *for early next week. Anemic compared to the last several days of data.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 20:55:25 GMT -6
First pass-- ~927mb, 150-160mph winds.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 18:06:22 GMT -6
150 mph as of 7pm adv.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 14:06:06 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 13:34:46 GMT -6
Eta has that Wilma look to it with the small, sharp eye.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 10:35:36 GMT -6
HBD Higgins!
12z GFS continues the trend of a pretty potent severe weather potential around the 10th
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 2, 2020 8:38:38 GMT -6
looks like eta is exploding.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 1, 2020 19:05:31 GMT -6
12z euro is far less interesting so that is less fun I don't expect we'll see anymore runs like that 12z GFS for this particular event. 3 of the 20 GEFS members resemble something like it. but everything else is no where near the track or intensity. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 1, 2020 10:53:17 GMT -6
seems like the GFS and GEM are both transitioning from a sheared, frontal event to a stronger, closed low scenario. when you compare 12z yesterday to 12z today. will be an interesting interaction with Eta it seems too.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 30, 2020 16:32:51 GMT -6
new standard deviation products on the COD model page for the GFS UA charts.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 30, 2020 14:07:52 GMT -6
Still looking like a pretty beefy trough comes crashing in around the 10th.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 29, 2020 16:27:09 GMT -6
Has anyone gone leaf-watching at Taum Sauk before? I have to imagine it would probably worth the trip one year.
EDIT: Considering we have Ironton folks on this forum, that's pretty much your backyard.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 28, 2020 20:04:34 GMT -6
I was in Japan 95-96. I was deployed to the Arabian Sea during most of 95. I have no ideas what the weather was like here. I do remember Japan being cold when we returned in Jan 96, I specifically remember being near the Korean peninsula and getting snowed on while ot tonsea. Enough to have to preak out the fire hoses and hose it off the ship. Talk of Japan always brings me back to this phenomenal video of sea effect snow in Tōkamachi located in the Niigata Prefecture. One of my YouTube favorites. They average 460" of snow annually. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 28, 2020 14:14:08 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 28, 2020 13:07:44 GMT -6
At least this boring stretch next week seems to have some limited staying power. All globals pointing to a quick return of big time upper-level amplification around D10.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 28, 2020 10:07:06 GMT -6
Heading to Biloxi Mississippi to pick up shrimp for my store. Sure did pick a good weekend to have my seafood sale 🤦 Going to be a rough one for them. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 27, 2020 22:56:43 GMT -6
12z/00z gfs both showing overrunning precip/building arctic cold around the 10th.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 27, 2020 8:45:39 GMT -6
looks like quite a bit of ZR fell last night. At least 0.1" an inch. Roofs across the area have that ZR on top of snow glimmer to them.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 18:06:27 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 12:38:48 GMT -6
Yeah that's gunna be nasty.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 12:20:55 GMT -6
Going off mping, looks like snow has made its way into the NW counties CC is doing a great job delineating that division. i.imgur.com/svjX0FI.png |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 10:36:41 GMT -6
Going to be a long 48 hours in OKC.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 10:35:52 GMT -6
Closing in on moderate snow. Pea to dime sized flakes.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 10:20:55 GMT -6
S- in Columbia. A few rain drops/sleet pellets. But mostly snow. They are icy flakes too. Prob partially melted flake thru the warm layer before refreezing.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 10:15:43 GMT -6
Well defined "Cryo-boundary" on CC approaching Columbia.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 7:07:54 GMT -6
Seems like any of the heavier cores are producing enough evap cooling for sleet. Everything else is light rain
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 26, 2020 6:21:39 GMT -6
The ol' iron skillet in Columbia. Moderate sleet.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 25, 2020 21:22:42 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 24, 2020 0:15:15 GMT -6
EURO folds south.
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