|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 15, 2020 17:48:24 GMT -6
BRTN - for those of us that just lurk and love what you guys say, (I love your comments and insight BTW), can you tell me how the winters of 94/95 and 06/07 were here in STL? EDIT: I forgot about the ice storm right after Thanksgiving...just don't recall how the rest of that winter was. Thanks, man! I believe there was another significant icing event along I44 thru SGF January of 2007 as well.. That was a major winter for ice storms. |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 15, 2020 10:37:07 GMT -6
Looks like some pretty dang efficient mixing of the boundary layer PM Saturday... nearly aligned barbs. Wouldn't be surprised to see some 40+mph gusts. (central mo looks like the prime target atm)
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 15, 2020 10:18:38 GMT -6
NOAA winter forecast all in for la nina.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 14, 2020 15:48:56 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 14, 2020 13:58:05 GMT -6
Friday will be the coldest air I've felt since last winter/spring. Was in Colorado when we had the frost last week. Never got much out of the 50s for lows when I was up there.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 13, 2020 23:10:48 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 13, 2020 22:33:48 GMT -6
I have to say- no one has any idea what you’re saying I'm more of a milder than warm kinda guy. |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 13, 2020 14:14:06 GMT -6
fire wx watch hoisted.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 12, 2020 22:21:02 GMT -6
GFS convinced of snow before november.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 12, 2020 14:20:33 GMT -6
12z euro is disinterested with any real cold shot. Typical I'd rather not end October with dew points in the mid 60s. Jesus. |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 12, 2020 8:21:14 GMT -6
Yep. That's a fall fropa
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 9, 2020 16:45:27 GMT -6
Gonna be interesting to see how the globals consolidate all this energy around the 19th... looks like a stiff baroclinic zone with plenty of potential for cyclogenesis. Bit of a disorganized mid-to-upper level structure tho.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 9, 2020 13:52:36 GMT -6
1034 high at the end of the euro run.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 9, 2020 13:03:34 GMT -6
that 65 Td is painful.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 8, 2020 22:47:38 GMT -6
00z GFS still aggressive with the cold snap.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 22:51:58 GMT -6
00z gfs is aggressive in that time period. Looks like a legit cold shot. Major amplification across the CPAC.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 17:42:28 GMT -6
Most globals seem to want to point to a pretty potent arctic intrusion around the 3rd week of October. Will be interesting to watch this one potentially unfold.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 13:44:42 GMT -6
that 240 hour euro on the other hand...
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 12:36:17 GMT -6
pretty sure that site is getting thrashed.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 12:35:43 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 10:21:20 GMT -6
CFS 768hr would be nuts if what it shows happens October 23rd to 26th or Hr 372-420. Decent snow possibly accumulating at that time. I'll take "will never happen but it's fun to look at" for $1,000 i.imgur.com/as2pGMQ.png |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 10:13:39 GMT -6
Delta is struggling big time this morning with winds down to 105. Obviously to be expected with the center now being over land, but it was having lots of trouble on approach as well. I still think there will be rapid intensification once again in the Gulf. When a hurricane has an eye that is only 4-5NM across that's not much more than a super-sized wedge tornado when you think about it. They are prone to sudden collapse when they are that size. My thought is that it will emerge in the GOM with a larger center and actually be in a better position to intensify in a more stable way with a larger eye and larger wind field... due largely to the impacts of the interaction with land. It will be interesting to see if my hypothesis plays out! That is to say intensification wouldn't be as rapid, no? Forward speed could then play a key role in how strong the storm eventually gets, if that's the case. |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 6, 2020 14:13:25 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 3, 2020 13:56:48 GMT -6
Do I spy some bright banding on LSX? getting closer...
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Oct 2, 2020 13:46:54 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Sept 28, 2020 12:07:46 GMT -6
Your time machine post of the day...
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Sept 28, 2020 4:06:08 GMT -6
Averaged 0.65-0.85" in mid-Missouri.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Sept 25, 2020 14:57:46 GMT -6
Oof. That 12z EURO H5 chart would be a brutal pattern in January. Vort after vort... screaming NW flow.
|
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Sept 25, 2020 7:32:09 GMT -6
Is that yet another storm hitting Louisiana at the end of the gfs run? It's been in & out each run |
|
|
|
Post by unclesam6 on Sept 24, 2020 16:38:25 GMT -6
12z EURO a little more broken and disjointed with the upper-level pattern... another one where it cuts off too early and it all comes down in a jumbled mess. This may be the actual winter preview... real talk! Really hope the jet takes time to slow down and let something dig... |
|
