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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 19, 2024 13:11:02 GMT -6
After extensive testing and observation I have come to a conclusion.
It is hot outside.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 17, 2024 14:57:21 GMT -6
Massive raindrops with this cell in Arnold, maybe melted hail stones. Impressive amount of moisture the atmosphere is holding lately. At 7.25" for the month at the start of the day. Ended up with 0.89" in the rain gauge That storm just parked itself overhead for awhile
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 16, 2024 21:20:47 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 16, 2024 19:25:32 GMT -6
That was a mean MCS that moved through there. Radar had winds of almost 130 mph just 2k feet off the ground. Currently there are over 1 million customers in Houston without power.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 14, 2024 18:59:58 GMT -6
So while we were all watching the Northern Lights did it come to anyone’s minds we dodged a bullet too. If this flare was directly at us. Might be a different story this week. Yeah, I've been reading about the Carrington event. Insane what that did to telegraph systems, even burning down shacks and shocking operators. You could read by Northern light in New England. It would be very disruptive if such an event took aim at us again. I could be imagining things, but my GPS struggled with city directions over the weekend and my uncle got lost trying to navigate as well. Using carbon-14 data, there is evidence of an event 10x the strength of the Carrington event in the year 775. Imagine what an event of that magnitude would do to our infrastructure today.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 14, 2024 17:03:18 GMT -6
Thursday is worth keeping an eye on.
Remnant MCV moving into the area and just enough shear to make things interesting
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 11, 2024 12:14:18 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 11, 2024 7:32:24 GMT -6
Looks like we may run it back again tonight
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 10, 2024 20:18:38 GMT -6
iPhone 3 second exposure looking northward in Arnold
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 10, 2024 20:08:38 GMT -6
I have aurora clearly visible to the naked eye here in Arnold
It’s insane
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 10, 2024 17:48:45 GMT -6
NOAA just confirmed we have reached a G5 (extreme) solar storm which is the highest level. First G5 since 2003
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 9, 2024 19:33:20 GMT -6
The space weather prediction agency has issued a severe geomagnetic storm watch
That’s the first one in 20 years
Current prediction is for a KP8+ solar storm
KP8 we can see aurora on the horizon around here
KP9 aurora can be overhead
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 9, 2024 11:40:30 GMT -6
Ya I’m not sure how I feel about this upcoming Twisters movie
It might be one of those movies that’s so bad it’s good
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 9, 2024 9:03:09 GMT -6
That is some clean verification yesterday by the SPC
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 15:57:21 GMT -6
Looks like this is evolving into a heavy rain and hail threat in the metro
Southern parts of the area still like ripe for significant severe including tornadoes
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 15:45:24 GMT -6
Big debris ball on radar in SW MO near Aurora
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 13:57:54 GMT -6
Sun is out here and it feels warm and muggy
Those are some mean beans in SW MO
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 12:48:15 GMT -6
NWS posted this a few minutes ago
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 12:17:10 GMT -6
Looks like round 2 is firing out around Joplin
The warm front is trying to surge north behind this first MCS
Something to watch
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 11:53:53 GMT -6
That Jeffco cell has observed baseball sized hail
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 10:35:59 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 10:21:12 GMT -6
I can’t figure out how to post the screenshot of radar but I’m noticing something I’ve not seen before and wondering what is the cause of it… on radar ahead of that lead storm there is a bowed line of lightning marching along way out ahead of all of the precipitation by like 20 miles+… What causes that? You see that sometimes with intense storms. The lightning will occur far away from the core of the storm in the anvil.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 10:13:24 GMT -6
That supercell is a monster
It caught up to the warm front and went crazy
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 9:40:30 GMT -6
Looks like the southward movement of the MCS has halted and it’s moving much more easterly
Might be starting to feed off the instability gradient and higher dews to its east
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 8:33:41 GMT -6
This is going to be a close call for the immediate metro
Atmosphere ahead of the MCS is rapidly destabilizing, but the storms may bend further south towards the higher instability
Either way, don’t let your guard down yet
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 7:04:22 GMT -6
HRRR looks like it’s out to lunch right now
It is way to far south with convection to our west compared to real world obs
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 8, 2024 0:09:47 GMT -6
There she blows. Hail and wind driven MDT
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 22:36:49 GMT -6
Ya, I bet we see a Moderate issued for SE MO at 1am
HREF really likes that area for maximized severe probabilities
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 20:12:28 GMT -6
NAM continues to show the warm front draping itself over 70 tomorrow and storms riding along the boundary
That would be about the worst case scenario
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 19:25:52 GMT -6
Hello, do we have an updated timeline out yet for the Metro area. Deciding on weather to start work at the office and then WFH before it gets bad? Is this a 2 wave event? Here is the latest information package from the NWS that includes timing info www.weather.gov/media/lsx/DssPacket.pdf
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