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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 19:58:47 GMT -6
Had a couple pieces in my yard that were tea cup size today. What a wild day. I would say the slight risk could of easily been enhanced in the metro The SPC made a couple questionable calls today. First, not extending the enhanced risk further NE into our area for the hail risk. Second, not upgrading the Indiana and Ohio areas for the tornado risk. Ohio in particular has had potentially numerous strong tornadoes touch down.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 16:31:22 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 16:08:12 GMT -6
That’s a mean bow echo headed for the southern half of the area
Part of it is warned for 80 mph wind
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 14:59:25 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 13:24:53 GMT -6
Getting very unstable out there
Latest SPC meso analysis has SCBAPE approaching 3500 j/kg
Shear is high as well with 0-6km values around 60 kts
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 12:44:43 GMT -6
Here are the probabilities on the tornado watch
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 14, 2024 7:53:37 GMT -6
Looks like the boundary may retreat back to the metro this afternoon. Could be initiation zone close to the metro The atmosphere should recover rapidly this afternoon behind this line of storms. The HRRR has numerous supercells across the area this afternoon and early evening.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 19:12:07 GMT -6
That Kansas tornadic storm had an incredible radar presentation
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 16:34:53 GMT -6
Some of the CAMs are awfully feisty around here tomorrow afternoon. The RRFS has discrete supercells erupting across the area. Its not alone in showing that solution
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 16:18:28 GMT -6
That cell just south of Cedar Hill is looking a little suspicious
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 14:03:06 GMT -6
Severe watch possible soon
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 11:54:00 GMT -6
Day 2 was just updated to include most of the area in a 5% tornado and 15% hatched hail
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 13, 2024 11:29:40 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 12, 2024 19:43:35 GMT -6
I had a few neighbors mow this past weekend.
Im trying to hold off, but the lawn is getting ragged looking in spots.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 12, 2024 11:13:37 GMT -6
A couple of the CAMs even have supercells in central MO Wednesday evening. The 3km NAM has supercells breaking out in central MO at the end of its run. The environment looked heavily capped, but has a classic loaded gun sounding.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 12, 2024 8:48:16 GMT -6
And then the NAM this morning rolls in with a high risk type outbreak across the area Thursday lol
That would be something
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 12, 2024 8:25:33 GMT -6
Mwh. It'll be north and south. Per usual. The SPC is already showing a bi modal risk with the area stuck in the middle What else is new
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 11, 2024 9:12:15 GMT -6
Thursday afternoon/evening continues to look interesting for severe weather in the Midwest. The NAM shows a good environment around here Thursday
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 9, 2024 20:55:11 GMT -6
Something something drought feeds drought
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 9, 2024 13:06:31 GMT -6
Will have to keep an eye on mid/late next week for possible severe around here
We just need rain at this point in anyway we can get it
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 8, 2024 14:34:55 GMT -6
Ended up with a half inch of rain in Arnold
Not bad, but still a long way to go to mitigate any drought conditions
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2024 21:19:26 GMT -6
Pivotal just got a few NSSL models added to it
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 3, 2024 15:03:54 GMT -6
Just two more weeks…
Sorry I had to
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 1, 2024 9:20:20 GMT -6
No surprise this winter was very warm. Top 5 warmest around here and the warmest across most of the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 1, 2024 9:15:11 GMT -6
Happy first day of meteorological spring
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 28, 2024 10:27:51 GMT -6
Not looking promising for any kind of return to winter in March. CFS has been consistent about a blowtorch east of the Rockies and most of Canada.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 27, 2024 23:45:31 GMT -6
Meanwhile in the TX panhandle.
Scary stuff
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 27, 2024 17:57:29 GMT -6
Some mean looking supercells headed towards Chicago
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 27, 2024 17:17:20 GMT -6
When I was hoping for a record breaking February, breaking the all time high temp record wasn’t in mind
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 27, 2024 10:49:46 GMT -6
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