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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 8, 2024 8:21:53 GMT -6
Chris Higgins is sitting in traffic heading south. 55 is a mess headed south right now. Looks like one of those hurricane evacuation photos. I’ll be joining that mess soon.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 7, 2024 16:44:01 GMT -6
I'm going tonstay right here at home and be happy with 99.5% I feel like the 10 minute drive to totality is more than worth it
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 7, 2024 10:23:39 GMT -6
Latest HREF cloud forecast for tomorrow. That's a lot of high and even some mid level clouds.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 5, 2024 14:49:52 GMT -6
So it shows I’ll be under 98% of the Eclipse what would that look like? The difference between 99% totality and 100% totality is night and day, literally. At 99% you will definitely notice the sun is dimmer and not as bright, but that’s about it. 100% totality is an other worldly experience. The sun is completely blocked by the moon giving you night during the day. You will notice a 360 degree sunrise and be able to see the suns corona. You can also see stars in the sky during totality.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 2, 2024 6:36:53 GMT -6
That was one crazy night. Not because of how bad the storms were... but because I was parked in front of the QLCS with no idea what was coming at me because of the radar/data outage. That was not a feeling I care to repeat anytime soon. Agreed, that was not a comfortable feeling. The tornado warning was pointed right at Arnold when the radar outage happened.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 2, 2024 0:11:26 GMT -6
Looks like National Weather service radars have a huge power failure?? Anybody able to confirm that?? Over half the radars in the country are down right now Looks like a backend server issue NWS St Louis is letting the KC office issue warnings for them right now
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 23:17:52 GMT -6
Nasty bow echo headed up 44
NWS has tornado warned it into Franklin county
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 20:38:02 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 18:38:00 GMT -6
Cell north of Springfield MO just went warned for baseball sized hail and 70 mph winds
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 18:23:24 GMT -6
The stuff in SW MO should be the main event later this evening
It’s mean looking right now and the LLJ will be ramping up the next few hours
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 17:41:13 GMT -6
Now a confirmed tornado warning
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 17:37:29 GMT -6
Possible CC drop near Chesterfield
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 16:55:46 GMT -6
Storm currently in New Haven looks like it means business for St Charles County in the next hour Big RFD surge Tornado threat may be ramping up
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 15:50:49 GMT -6
Tornado watch up
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 15:30:07 GMT -6
We need to watch the differntial heating boundary near STL between the clouds/clearing. This may become an effective boundary to focus enough convergence to generate a storm. With the warm front moving north, Round 1 in our viewing are may be slow to ramp up. It is interesting that several CAMS are generating a supercell very near the Missouri River that passes over/near STL in a couple of hours. No signs of development yet... but we continue to watch. It’s hard to envision supercells developing with that rain shield present. Short range models missing that? I was thinking that as well. I think some of the CAMs may be too far north with this cells this evening.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 12:23:41 GMT -6
Skys are quickly clearing out here after being cloudy all morning
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 10:41:07 GMT -6
Latest SPC update added a 30% hatched wind risk to the area We are now under a hatched (significant) tornado, wind and hail
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 1, 2024 8:33:20 GMT -6
Here is the SPC discussion for the area today Giant hail and strong tornadoes mentioned
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 22:22:50 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 21:45:33 GMT -6
We’re going to have to watch tomorrow afternoon for any supercells that are able to root themselves along the warm front
Models are showing a localized environment supportive of sig tors
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 13:44:58 GMT -6
The 18z HRRR has like 5 rounds of storm for the metro tomorrow as storms just keeping riding the warm front lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 13:12:47 GMT -6
The 10% hatched was questionable to begin IMO
The main threats tomorrow will definitely be the hail transitioning to wind
Any tors will likely be tied to the warm front
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 0:16:18 GMT -6
Relevant tidbit from the discussion
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 31, 2024 0:12:29 GMT -6
Big update with the latest SPC update Enhanced risk along and south of 70 for Monday Driven by a 10%# tornado risk and 30% wind
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 30, 2024 13:58:11 GMT -6
Made it up to 80° here today
Toasty
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 29, 2024 10:22:49 GMT -6
Lift shouldn’t be in short supply around here Textbook jet coupling on the GFS
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 29, 2024 9:17:20 GMT -6
CAMs will start coming into range later today and tomorrow.
That will give us a much better look at the setup and environment for Monday.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 28, 2024 11:47:45 GMT -6
Latest CSU probability outlook showing moderate/hatched risk across much of MO for next Monday. Reed is already posting about this possibly being a tornado outbreak for the area. I haven’t really dug into this setup yet, but it has a good overall look to it.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 28, 2024 6:31:05 GMT -6
SPC has the entire area in a 15% risk for Monday
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 23, 2024 10:28:52 GMT -6
Looks like we will have a forced squall line move across the area Monday afternoon/evening.
Instability is almost non existent so the severe threat is very low.
The LLJ will be cranking so could have a few strong wing gust try to mix down
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