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Post by ajd446 on Apr 2, 2018 20:05:08 GMT -6
I did not get above freezing til 5 and now 35.2. All I got to say is very impressive for April.
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Post by maddogchief on Apr 2, 2018 21:25:16 GMT -6
The frontogenesis band setup a bit further north than forecasted. Overall though I think yesterday's weather event behaved pretty well. Bullseye in BRTN's backyard [x] Snow in Mad's backyard [x] Anti-bullseye in Union [x] Map looks legit to me. I did measure here this morning and had right at an inch. I missed out on the good stuff. Only got about 2”
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Post by bear1 on Apr 2, 2018 21:25:37 GMT -6
Fog is lifting out & temps are rising rather quickly now, 40° right now.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 21:36:50 GMT -6
next wave of storms and likely the stronger ones now pushing up from the eastern Ozarks.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 2, 2018 21:43:23 GMT -6
Pretty strong storms moving right in my direction out near fredericktown at the moment. The hail can stay away.
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Post by cozpregon on Apr 2, 2018 21:50:06 GMT -6
Lapse rates are incredible ahead of the front here... but think the cap is a bit too strong for the metro. If storms can stay discrete for just an hour to two as they move into IL- watch for some big hailers
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:01:15 GMT -6
Cell in Jefferson County, MO means business. Could be some penny to nickel sized hail in there. Looks to still be strengthening and is heading right for me. Should be severe warned shortly.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:02:58 GMT -6
Another near severe storm north of Owensville, MO as well.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:04:24 GMT -6
very foggy out there with distant thunder from the Jefferson county cell. Looks like the scene from your typical horror film...
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 2, 2018 22:06:53 GMT -6
00z gfs and 00z gem look decent for Friday-Saturday.
Definitely still in play for everyone at the moment.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 2, 2018 22:15:14 GMT -6
Also, somehow it could snow Sunday...
I think after that we can officially close the books.
Saturday morning could be record cold if we get any snow.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:17:20 GMT -6
That cell is heading straight for me gonna get rough here in 15-20 mins...
Still some nickel sized hail possible in that puppy and it doesn't look like it wants to weaken.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:20:23 GMT -6
Severe Warning just raised for Monroe and St. Clair counties in IL.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 2, 2018 22:23:06 GMT -6
It just keeps on strengthening as it approaches. This looks like a dozy. Gonna have to log to make sure my PC doesn't get zapped from any power surge. I'll let you all know what happened in the morning.
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Post by bear1 on Apr 2, 2018 22:26:55 GMT -6
Starting to rain here now, looks to be intensifying on radar. temp up to 42°
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woogie
Weather Weenie
west end of Belleville
Posts: 40
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Post by woogie on Apr 2, 2018 22:36:08 GMT -6
pea sized hail here
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 3, 2018 1:39:13 GMT -6
Euro has snow mostly south of here Friday/Saturday,then north of here on Sun/Mon. Lol.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 3, 2018 4:59:33 GMT -6
So severe threat has shifted further southeast? Not too much here today?
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Post by ajd446 on Apr 3, 2018 6:30:31 GMT -6
Last night was one of the loudest and most electrical storms I have ever seen. Also had quarter size hail at willot and Spencer. It was intense around midnight.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 6:58:57 GMT -6
Latest SPC convective outlook shifts severe probabilities farther west with the metro east now under slight risk with marginal for most of the rest of the area. The Enhanced risk has also shifted closer to the southeastern southern edge of the area. The tornado risk was bumped up the most especially for southeastern Illinois into Indiana and western Kentucky/far southern Missouri.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Apr 3, 2018 7:02:42 GMT -6
it came down pretty good in our neck of the woods around 12:15 through 12:45am. It was enough to get the dog pretty riled up (luckily all 3 kids slept through it like champs ) I won't lie, I'm very very done with this pattern. I love winter.......during winter. The 5 year old in the house needs some outside-time that isn't muddy, with standing water all over the yard and neighborhood park, and 35, 40 degrees. We need some 55-65 temps and a LITTLE bit of sunshine. I'll take this weather again coming up next November. Sorry, I don't get excited about a dusting to a half-inch of sloppy snow/sleet on top of mud and standing puddles, nahhh.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 3, 2018 7:07:40 GMT -6
Didn't do anything in my area overnight as far as I was aware. Today looks to just miss me to the south again. Ugh!!!! Hope the better risk area gets shoved even further northwest this afternoon. But I highly doubt it...
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 7:11:49 GMT -6
Falling in line with what Chris was saying in his live feed at about midnight lastnight... if it continues to slow down the entire metro will be under the gun for some sort of severe. Obviously the further west you go the more likely to me much more severe.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Apr 3, 2018 7:20:03 GMT -6
The only way i wld appreciate severe wx...if it hails so bad that i get insurance coverage on new siding or high winds peel it off (happened to my neighbors abt 15 years ago). Otherwise enjoy your severe. Pretty crazy wx l8ly. Thinking May is going to be quite a tornado season. Heck, we could see an active season well into June. A few years ago we were sitting outside waiting for fireworks at Delmar and the tornado sirens went off. This could very well be another one of those kind of seasons.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 7:25:41 GMT -6
Falling in line with what Chris was saying in his live feed at about midnight lastnight... if it continues to slow down the entire metro will be under the gun for some sort of severe. Obviously the further west you go the more likely to me much more severe. You meant 'east' right?
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 7:27:09 GMT -6
Falling in line with what Chris was saying in his live feed at about midnight lastnight... if it continues to slow down the entire metro will be under the gun for some sort of severe. Obviously the further west you go the more likely to me much more severe. You meant 'east' right? LOL Yes East... I am updisde down this morning, wishng I was in Austrailia!
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 7:28:21 GMT -6
Areas along and east of I-55/I-44 could pop 70 degrees today per the NAM and HRRR with some peaks of sun around lunchtime. If we can get some sun and reach the upper 60s/low 70s we'll be in trouble. Love how we'll have to change hats again to a Winter forecasting one late week into the weekend. It's been a week of multiple weather themed hats, I'm running out of space on my bald head... See what I dd there?
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Apr 3, 2018 7:57:43 GMT -6
Severe Warning just raised for Monroe and St. Clair counties in IL. ? mmm... my wx radio didn’t go off. Edit: whoops, that’s because I turned it off with all the flooding warnings going off, my bad. I think I need a sign on it in red letters to turn back on!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 3, 2018 8:05:02 GMT -6
Have growing concerns about potential for significant severe for areas southeast of metro. STL. HRRR is emphatic that warm air will surge up into the southeast metro today...with simulated radar showing a broken line of super cell like storms with multiple UH tracks forming...within a shear rich environment. Sig tors ans super cell values...along with various shear parameters support severe...possibly tornadic storms...roughly near and southeast of the Kaskaskia River after 2pm.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Apr 3, 2018 8:15:15 GMT -6
Wxguy,
Did you have a storm report from last night? It woke me up but i was too lazy to go look.
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