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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 6, 2018 8:08:10 GMT -6
12z nam looks pretty darn good for the southern counties...
Its happening.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Apr 6, 2018 8:20:48 GMT -6
12z nam looks pretty darn good for the southern counties... Its happening. How far north does the snow get and how much is it showing? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 6, 2018 8:26:43 GMT -6
12z nam looks pretty darn good for the southern counties... Its happening. How far north does the snow get and how much is it showing? Up past Washington, Missouri. Perry, Cape, and St. Gen would have a decent shout at 2-3 inches. |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 6, 2018 9:00:36 GMT -6
The dry air is going to affect the stuff on the northern side. I wonder how much. This may put a test to the dry round wet ground Theory. The ground should enhance rather than impede in this situation. I would imagine either way it only affects by a few hundreds but when you're not getting much....
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Apr 6, 2018 9:10:41 GMT -6
How far north does the snow get and how much is it showing? Up past Washington, Missouri. Perry, Cape, and St. Gen would have a decent shout at 2-3 inches. Looks like I will be very close here on the St.Clair Randolph county line.... thanks for the info |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Apr 6, 2018 9:16:10 GMT -6
This is just my two cents but looking at all those meso bands in that large snowbsnd up to the northwest, although it does have a ton of dry air to fight and our RH def needs to come up, I think there could definitely be surprises yet.
There are moisture returns and some small development in northeast Kansas that looks like it might help enhance things. But there is also Snowfall being reported in areas in Iowa where it was not supposed to saturate all the columns further east than it is and was not modeled.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Apr 6, 2018 9:23:40 GMT -6
Also with an ever so slight northern increase on the 12z NAM and also being shown on the latest incoming run of the HRRR, just something to watch if this storm can hold together even somewhat. Definitely would not rule out those south of the Missouri River.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 6, 2018 9:39:26 GMT -6
Looks like I may have a chance at a little April snow down in Perryville after all. I will believe it when I see it though.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 6, 2018 9:51:22 GMT -6
It will be interesting to see how this plays out...models still show a good mid-level frontogenetic response over spreading the region this evening with a fairly weak but present vort max digging SE across MO. While the deeper moisture well to our S gets swept away to the E there may be enough lift to overcome the DAM influence up to about I-70 or so...at least briefly. One thing is for sure...convection is affecting the model mass fields...at H15 on the NAM the 850mb height field looks like a bowl of spaghetti across Dixie.
It's crazy to see a 250-300mi shift in the low track within a 24-36hr period in the modeling at this range. Maybe this system will throw another curve ball at them in the last inning...but the feed of dry air is definitely going to make it tough.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 6, 2018 9:53:08 GMT -6
Looks like I may have a chance at a little April snow down in Perryville after all. I will believe it when I see it though. I think you'll get the ground whitened up at least. Find any morels yet? |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 6, 2018 9:58:27 GMT -6
Looks like I may have a chance at a little April snow down in Perryville after all. I will believe it when I see it though. I think you'll get the ground whitened up at least. Find any morels yet? Yea I would take a measly half inch or an inch at this point just because its April and likely even that won't happen for a while. No, I checked my earliest spot the other day and nothing. Some folks found a few scattered blacks and little greys last week when we had those couple warm rainy nights. I don't think we have had a long enough stretch of warmth to get many of them to fruit for this cold snap to screw them up. With the warm trend mid and late next week, I expect things to get going. Could be a great year! |
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Post by maddogchief on Apr 6, 2018 10:26:53 GMT -6
Just think, it could always be worse. N WI closed trails 15 March. Now they have the best base they’ve had all season.
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Post by maddogchief on Apr 6, 2018 10:27:22 GMT -6
Plus, morels are creeping north despite the weather.
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on Apr 6, 2018 11:26:03 GMT -6
Sitting at 61* here...almost 15 higher than forecast
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Post by birddog on Apr 6, 2018 12:15:29 GMT -6
42 here. Stiff breeze out of the NW. 15 MPH.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 6, 2018 12:31:45 GMT -6
I'm still at 52. Screen grab from a guy streaming his drive on I-70 going west in Colorado today Attachment Deleted |
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Post by jeepers on Apr 6, 2018 13:08:49 GMT -6
Ready to channel my inner Snowman. 48 degrees and 98% sure that this is no bueno.
Editing to add, the Cards lost, the Blues are making me crazy and we're playing the hawks again tonight. I'm a glutton for punishment. I'm sure that there is a pony in here somewhere. Somewhere.
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Post by mosue56 on Apr 6, 2018 13:16:34 GMT -6
55 now 54 and slowly dropping, never got real warm today as the clouds came.....Wonder what will happen tonight?
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 6, 2018 13:51:34 GMT -6
The WPC has taken an organized low out of the equation and now has the tiniest little spot in Northern Arkansas as the only place with a slight chance of 4 in of snow. Radar trends are lousy also. I believe it is time to stick a fork in this one.
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 6, 2018 14:05:33 GMT -6
Keep an eye on next weekend. It's that time of year...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 6, 2018 15:41:47 GMT -6
Keep an eye on next weekend. It's that time of year... Im ready for some warmer weather and severe weather. Even though I want to put this winter behind us, I still have some interest in Sunday |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Apr 6, 2018 16:31:23 GMT -6
Impressive.
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Post by mchafin on Apr 6, 2018 16:42:03 GMT -6
Why is 55/270 pre-treated? Did the forecast change?!?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 6, 2018 17:09:57 GMT -6
Why is 55/270 pre-treated? Did the forecast change?!? Sunday has snow potential. |
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Post by mchafin on Apr 6, 2018 17:24:44 GMT -6
Why is 55/270 pre-treated? Did the forecast change?!? Sunday has snow potential. So did today. Ha. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 6, 2018 17:58:18 GMT -6
FWIW, the RPM looks pretty beefy with snow potential Sunday late in the afternoon/evening...
And I have a solid eye on the system next Friday. Synoptically, it looks good for severe weather...although the finer details need to be figured out.
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Post by mosue56 on Apr 6, 2018 18:12:23 GMT -6
Radar looks pretty fwiw!
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Post by cozpregon on Apr 6, 2018 20:21:22 GMT -6
How far off the models were 48 hours ago is ridiculous
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Post by mosue56 on Apr 6, 2018 20:44:55 GMT -6
Radar dries up in all that dry it’s hitting!
Still pretty though! 48% humidity! Oh well!
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Apr 6, 2018 20:52:02 GMT -6
So I'm heading back down to the gulf coast (Biloxi mississippi) for another shrimp run been selling them at my store and its s huge hit!🦐🦐🦐its neat to see spring working it's way north. Jackson ms and south is full fledged spring grass being cut leafs in full foliage green all over Memphis-jackson in the transition and north of memphis looks rather wintery with few trees blooming and grass just greening in sunny spots m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2119595968057612&id=363103317040228For shrimp info^^^ Facebook.com/thefruitstand |
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