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Post by bear1 on Jul 29, 2018 16:21:47 GMT -6
Just shy of 1.50" total for today... I'll take it 
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Post by jeepers on Jul 29, 2018 16:35:07 GMT -6
Half an inch today and a whopping 67 amazing degrees right now. I'll take both!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jul 29, 2018 16:35:39 GMT -6
Two follow up pictures of plowing I-25 from the Cheyenne NWS after Chris's aforementioned hail storm   I'm guessing elevation plays a huge role in that. Assuming atmospheric slope from surface friction storms there are likely inherently higher up into a cold pool. Which is always stronger being further North. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 29, 2018 17:03:51 GMT -6
While fishing on Lake Erie today a friend took a picture of a water spout  |
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jul 29, 2018 17:37:02 GMT -6
.75” today
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Post by birddog on Jul 29, 2018 17:59:24 GMT -6
1.59" of much needed rain!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 29, 2018 18:09:21 GMT -6
Not quite a rock. But if we got a ¼“ I'd be surprised
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Post by REB on Jul 29, 2018 19:45:47 GMT -6
A little over half an inch here.
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 30, 2018 8:54:31 GMT -6
GOES-17 still isn't working right. Depending on the time of year only 10-13 of the 16 channels will function 24 hours a day. The other 3-6 channels at least still function most of the day so the satellite isn't a total dud. This may delay the launch of the remaining GOES-R satellites though as the various teams investigate what went wrong.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jul 30, 2018 9:04:49 GMT -6
Looks like rainfall will be limited the next two days...with clouds and cool temperatures more the rule vs. wet and cool. The shortwaves tracking through/around the upper trough/briefly closed low....will focus most of the meaningful rain on the edges of the circulation...especially to the east and southeast. That leads to more of a spot shower pattern with unseasonably cool temperatures.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jul 30, 2018 9:28:32 GMT -6
Was the record low max set yesterday? I know its gloomy out but sure beats 90-100 like we usually have at the end of July.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jul 30, 2018 10:37:14 GMT -6
Pretty wicked jet streak screaming through central missouri-- very evident on satellite this morning. i.imgur.com/x5kk48V.jpg |
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jul 30, 2018 11:51:11 GMT -6
Was the record low max set yesterday? I know its gloomy out but sure beats 90-100 like we usually have at the end of July. ...RECORD DAILY HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT ST. LOUIS ON SUNDAY JULY 29... A RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 74 DEGREES WAS TIED AT ST. LOUIS ON SUNDAY JULY 29. THIS TIED THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 74 SET IN 1928. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 30, 2018 13:15:56 GMT -6
This is amazing video of a firenado in Redding, CA 3 days ago. The description:
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 30, 2018 14:44:41 GMT -6
The CPC now has 70% odds of an El Nino for the winter months (DJF).
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jul 30, 2018 14:51:39 GMT -6
The CPC now has 70% odds of an El Nino for the winter months (DJF). I forget, does that mean a more active pattern across the country? I know we can't nail down specifics at this range much less a week to a couple of days. |
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Post by mosue56 on Jul 30, 2018 14:55:20 GMT -6
The sun has appeared in the Festus sky!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jul 30, 2018 15:57:21 GMT -6
The sun has appeared in the Festus sky! The St. Peters sky, as well. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jul 30, 2018 15:57:26 GMT -6
The CPC now has 70% odds of an El Nino for the winter months (DJF). I forget, does that mean a more active pattern across the country? I know we can nail down specifics at this range much less a week to a couple of days. El Niño winters usually mean warmer and drier conditions. But not all El Niño’s are made the same |
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Post by bdgwx on Jul 30, 2018 16:34:31 GMT -6
The CPC now has 70% odds of an El Nino for the winter months (DJF). I forget, does that mean a more active pattern across the country? I know we can nail down specifics at this range much less a week to a couple of days. Some of the other posters can chime in, but I believe ENSO neutral is the phase that leads to the best odds of a "good" winter for us. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 30, 2018 17:41:51 GMT -6
Signals of a modokai el nino I have read. That's the best kind of el nino for us.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 30, 2018 21:33:25 GMT -6
cpc seasonal outlook for dec thru feb is very typical for el nino conditions. i think, though, those kind of teleconnections are easy to overcome with other things like nao and pdo. if you look at the time period just b4 1980 (we arent supposed to compare to those 3 years) i believe that first year was el nino. So theres wide variation here in the lower midwest with el nino. i would submit that we cant just look at current year but rather preceding years to have an analog. last 2 years were weak la ninas....so i wld wld want to find another period where we went from a 2 year weak la nina year to a moderate el nino. i tentatively identified a few years for that. next is to watch current patterns through early meteorological fall (september and october). i really feel like there is a pretty consistent pattern with how winter plays out here in the lou. snowman, and others, may be able to differentiate types of el nino to offer another perspective. i do think, this upcoming winter will be more snowy than the last two....but we may be another year from an above avg snow winter because i think our most severe winters tend to occur immediately after a,solar minimum....when the cycle has bottomed out and is recovering on the upswing.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jul 31, 2018 2:17:06 GMT -6
If the GFS and Euro are correct, it will get very hot next week. The euro isn't quite as hot and it comes in later. GFS is stupid for the Plains and midwest.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jul 31, 2018 5:58:07 GMT -6
If the GFS and Euro are correct, it will get very hot next week. The euro isn't quite as hot and it comes in later. GFS is stupid for the Plains and midwest. We've had it pretty good. You know its going to hit us at least one more time. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 31, 2018 6:49:31 GMT -6
ha just in time for school, wouldnt you know it?
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jul 31, 2018 6:53:17 GMT -6
The idiocy of starting school in August. I'll never figure that out.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 31, 2018 7:18:13 GMT -6
with most schools air conditioned, im ok with starting in aug but not aug 8 as is the case with my granddaughter. when i was in school, colleges always started in early aug but now it seems colleges and public schools have switched places. with the seasonal lag it does seem like school districts would be morer likely to save $$if they started in sept and went until june. the pool water is still cold in may. also noticed walmart in my hood is starting to transition from back to school to halloween. wow.
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Post by Tilawn on Jul 31, 2018 7:26:44 GMT -6
They should have the winters off in school instead of summer due to the fact that basically all schools are now air conditioned. No more snow days......oh never mind we don’t have those anyhow lol
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jul 31, 2018 7:35:26 GMT -6
my boss in minneapolis says kids rarely get snow days. he has had to take them to school with several inches of snow falling. i dont know maybe its because the snow isnt as wet up there but he talks abt needing to get pushed, etc....so im not sure why MO schools pull the trigger and not MN schools....and i dont buy the "they are used to it" line, especially if he needs to be pushed. maybe they use snow tires and chains up there. if so then surely buses here can.
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Post by ams3389 on Jul 31, 2018 8:41:47 GMT -6
First, what ever happened to school being Labor Day to Memorial Day. That’s what it was for me. Why even tweak unless it’s just for sports due to weather conditions in the fall.
Second, with channel 5 and news 4 changing news/weather graphics... when will fox 2/news 11 do the same?
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