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Post by ElburnDave on Sept 1, 2018 6:36:17 GMT -6
Pheeew! Light a match, Brian.
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 1, 2018 8:35:38 GMT -6
Welcome to Meteorological Fall. Wont be long now before the first fall cool front and we can start freaking out about winter storms 240 hours out on the Canadian I'm looking forward to having a solid winter storm disintegrate before our eyes within the 72 hour windows. |
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 1, 2018 8:39:51 GMT -6
Anybody going to the Ed Sheeran concert this Thursday? I'm keeping a close eye on the weather for that event.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 1, 2018 13:39:03 GMT -6
Let's assume for the moment just for speculation that the ECMWF is correct and something tropical develops in the Gulf. (FYI, NHC gives only 40% odds). Is there any chance the strong eastern seaboard high could be the dominant synoptic player and steer the remnants of a tropical system into the middle of the country. In other words a GFS like scenario with a more robust tropical system? Or will the weak southwestern high and trailing upper low keep said tropical system confined to the Gulf coast as with the ECMWF?  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 1, 2018 18:56:31 GMT -6
I can see the top of the TOR warned storm in SE IA above the horizon...60kft...pretty impressive.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 1, 2018 20:01:47 GMT -6
Now I can see the lightning from those massive supercells and clusters up north...I think that's about the furthest I've ever witnessed lightning before. Impressive display for sure.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 1, 2018 20:17:28 GMT -6
At one point, a while ago, I saw radar echo tops up to 63kft and satellite IR temps down to -75C. I'm having trouble remembering the last time we had some tall nasty supercells in our area...
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 1, 2018 23:05:47 GMT -6
Man Iowa has been getting hit hard these past few weeks. Everytime I look at radarscope they have storms! Lucky!! Of course not so lucky with flooding. 😢
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 2, 2018 7:22:19 GMT -6
Man Iowa has been getting hit hard these past few weeks. Everytime I look at radarscope they have storms! Lucky!! Of course not so lucky with flooding. 😢 Yeah they have. And it looks like a busy week ahead too.  |
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Post by REB on Sept 2, 2018 8:04:01 GMT -6
Happy Birthday Woogie!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2018 11:35:22 GMT -6
Going to have to start thinking about possible river flooding if the heavy rains up north keep up into fall.
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Post by mosue56 on Sept 2, 2018 11:55:31 GMT -6
Anyone’s thoughts on temps the week of the 14th? Next week looks just lovely, hope it continues! Going to Branson!
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 2, 2018 12:02:43 GMT -6
It doesn't look like the hurricane models initialized with the invest in the Bahamas on the 12Z cycle. I'm guessing they'll start processing it on the 18Z cycle. Recon missions will start tomorrow. Both the op and parallel GFS runs bring tropical moisture into our area that phases with a front which should enhance precipitation odds a bit.
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Post by goosetalk - Troy, MO on Sept 2, 2018 12:03:55 GMT -6
Going to have to start thinking about possible river flooding if the heavy rains up north keep up into fall. We were all set to build our river blind this weekend but they dropped it 4ft in prep for on coming water. Maybe it was good we didn’t get the chance to build it yet |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 2, 2018 12:35:36 GMT -6
GFS says yes to the first fall cool front before too long.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 2, 2018 16:14:46 GMT -6
That area of low pressure near the Texas coast looks rather impressive structurally on satellite with low level clouds showing cyclonic trajectories and cirrus clouds showing anticyclonic trajectories. Had that stayed over water that probably would've developed into a depression or storm.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2018 18:41:20 GMT -6
That area of low pressure near the Texas coast looks rather impressive structurally on satellite with low level clouds showing cyclonic trajectories and cirrus clouds showing anticyclonic trajectories. Had that stayed over water that probably would've developed into a depression or storm. Yeah it really started to pinwheel as the sun was getting ready to set. The tropics seem primed for something to develop for sure. It always seems tough to predict the track when you are dealing with a splitting ridge setup though. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 2, 2018 18:49:20 GMT -6
Radar out of LA actually shows a core trying to develop.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 2, 2018 19:12:51 GMT -6
TD 7 has formed just south of the Bahamas. That system has some interest behind it as it's remnant moisture could find it's way here around mid to late week possibly more significant if it hits low-end Hurricane status before Landfall somewhere near Louisiana.
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 3, 2018 7:06:11 GMT -6
Hi Gordon!
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 3, 2018 7:32:02 GMT -6
We definitely need to keep an eye on Gordon. Most modeling has the remnants tracking close to or through Missouri now.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 3, 2018 7:37:01 GMT -6
We definitely need to keep an eye on Gordon. Most modeling has the remnants tracking close to or through Missouri now. Interacting with the front could mean a pretty rainy period Thurs-Sun. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Sept 3, 2018 7:44:57 GMT -6
We definitely need to keep an eye on Gordon. Most modeling has the remnants tracking close to or through Missouri now. Interacting with the front could mean a pretty rainy period Thurs-Sun. While it feels like Déjà vu all over again no need to fret, it hasn’t been 18 months |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 3, 2018 8:31:02 GMT -6
It won't be a very strong system seeing as it only has about 30 hours max over the gulf. It'll be flying across there which will also limit the amount of moisture it can collect.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 3, 2018 8:49:38 GMT -6
Let's hope the moisture doesn't get into Iowa and Wisonsin. They've been pummeled enough without a tropical system.  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 3, 2018 9:25:55 GMT -6
Let's hope the moisture doesn't get into Iowa and Wisonsin. They've been pummeled enough without a tropical system. This is all ours, front should be south of that area by then. Ozarks into southern Ohio looks to be the maxima for the heaviest rainfall with this as it's absorbed into the main front as a extra tropical low with a couple sub-tropic characteristics. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 3, 2018 9:26:37 GMT -6
If anyone is interested that channel that sounds like Hive has started the MDA Labor Day Telathon again. Who remembers that?
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Post by jeepers on Sept 3, 2018 10:41:26 GMT -6
If anyone is interested that channel that sounds like Hive has started the MDA Labor Day Telathon again. Who remembers that? That was THE programming for the Labor Day weekend for my entire childhood. |
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 3, 2018 11:35:28 GMT -6
Looking at Key West and Miami radars it appears Gordon has a very tight inner core.
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 3, 2018 12:04:22 GMT -6
If anyone is interested that channel that sounds like Hive has started the MDA Labor Day Telathon again. Who remembers that? That was THE programming for the Labor Day weekend for my entire childhood. It was only for a couple hours this morning. |
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