|
|
Post by John G -west belleville on Oct 10, 2018 11:41:58 GMT -6
155mph at landfall according to latest nhc update.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 11:43:11 GMT -6
919mb at landfall
|
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Oct 10, 2018 11:43:14 GMT -6
155mph at landfall according to latest nhc update. Yep, matches flight level winds and SFMR well. |
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 11:46:47 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 10, 2018 11:50:28 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Oct 10, 2018 12:02:18 GMT -6
Will be an interesting case study. But it looked like Michael really took off when the shear finally subsided (from a storm relative frame) and with the aid of a dual outflow channel configuration from the approaching US trough and the upper level PV anomaly in the Carribean. There was also a lot of CAPE in the Gulf too. <iframe width="27.200000000000045" height="15.379999999999995" style="position: absolute; width: 27.2px; height: 15.38px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 5px; top: 75px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_5715446" scrolling="no"></iframe> <iframe width="27.200000000000045" height="15.379999999999995" style="position: absolute; width: 27.2px; height: 15.38px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 1287px; top: 75px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_77946888" scrolling="no"></iframe> <iframe width="27.200000000000045" height="15.379999999999995" style="position: absolute; width: 27.2px; height: 15.38px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 5px; top: 778px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_75874280" scrolling="no"></iframe> <iframe width="27.200000000000045" height="15.379999999999995" style="position: absolute; width: 27.2px; height: 15.38px; z-index: -9999; border-style: none; left: 1287px; top: 778px;" id="MoatPxIOPT0_66846398" scrolling="no"></iframe>  |
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Oct 10, 2018 12:11:35 GMT -6
That was a 46mb pressure drop in the last 24 hours.
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 10, 2018 12:18:15 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 12:26:16 GMT -6
Switching gears for a second, the NAM is close to some sloppy wet flakes in the metro Friday evening  |
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Oct 10, 2018 12:34:46 GMT -6
The final vortex message from recon just prior to landfall lists SFMR of 138kts. Not sure that's reliable, certainly not official, but that would technically be Cat 5.
And I'm seeing pics on social media of a view up in the eye from Basehunter Chasing on Twitter...cool.
|
|
|
|
Post by yypc on Oct 10, 2018 12:41:20 GMT -6
Has it weakened at all? Looks the exact same fully over land
|
|
|
|
Post by jmg378s on Oct 10, 2018 12:43:34 GMT -6
Radar velocities have come down a bit, but I'm still seeing bins close to 150kts. And yes, IR imagery still looks impressive!
|
|
|
|
Post by cozpregon on Oct 10, 2018 12:48:21 GMT -6
Did hurricane forecasting for Florida Power & Light and TECO... and where it made landfall in the Big Bend area was a best case scenario for them.
|
|
|
|
Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 10, 2018 12:54:23 GMT -6
Check out @basehunters’s Tweet:
|
|
|
|
Post by dschreib on Oct 10, 2018 13:41:22 GMT -6
This thing is 40+ miles inland and still looks incredibly organized.
|
|
|
|
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 10, 2018 13:44:20 GMT -6
Front is through St. Peters. Temperature has dropped 5 degrees in the last 1/2 hours
|
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Oct 10, 2018 13:51:26 GMT -6
What is the forward speed of this thing...it's already 40mi inland. 15mph doesn't seem correct.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 14:00:19 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by yypc on Oct 10, 2018 14:04:03 GMT -6
Eye finally shrunk and the cloud tops are warming somewhat
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Oct 10, 2018 14:24:17 GMT -6
I see Michael took his butcher knife and slaughtered FL. Wow.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 14:40:29 GMT -6
I see Michael took his butcher knife and slaughtered FL. Wow. One of the funnier things I saw on social media earlier was that Hurricane Micheal was "created" by the government to promote the upcoming Halloween movie lol |
|
|
|
Post by mchafin on Oct 10, 2018 14:45:33 GMT -6
Not that I'm excited about death and destruction, and maybe it's because things are slow to move to network/cable news/websites, but I'm not seeing the kind of damage I'd expect to see from a high-end Cat4 storm? And maybe that's because improvements have been made in building code, etc. Thoughts?
|
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Oct 10, 2018 14:48:41 GMT -6
Not that I'm excited about death and destruction, and maybe it's because things are slow to move to network/cable news/websites, but I'm not seeing the kind of damage I'd expect to see from a high-end Cat4 storm? And maybe that's because improvements have been made in building code, etc. Thoughts? It's too early, give the media a chance. By the end of the day we will see complete destruction in some areas, it's leaking out slowly on the web. |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 10, 2018 14:50:26 GMT -6
Not that I'm excited about death and destruction, and maybe it's because things are slow to move to network/cable news/websites, but I'm not seeing the kind of damage I'd expect to see from a high-end Cat4 storm? And maybe that's because improvements have been made in building code, etc. Thoughts? I would say nobody has gotten into the zone where the catestrophic damage is yet. Keep in mind, that is a very small area. |
|
|
|
Post by guyfromhecker on Oct 10, 2018 14:53:57 GMT -6
The category of this storm is yet to be determined. I do not believe Andrew was called a 5 right off the bat. I believe everybody thought he was a 4 until forensics were done. That will have to be done here.
I may be wrong about that, but we'll see. I know Andrew's pressure stayed above what is classically considered a category 5. Michael's pressure made it to Category 5. We'll see
|
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Oct 10, 2018 14:56:32 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by guyfromhecker on Oct 10, 2018 14:57:53 GMT -6
I see Michael took his butcher knife and slaughtered FL. Wow. One of the funnier things I saw on social media earlier was that Hurricane Micheal was "created" by the government to promote the upcoming Halloween movie lol One of the sicker things I saw on the web with some idiot preacher saying Democrats created it to punish Trump for Kavanaugh. |
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Oct 10, 2018 14:58:21 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 10, 2018 15:06:02 GMT -6
That’s definitely high end cat 4, if not cat 5 damage. Sad stuff |
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Oct 10, 2018 15:07:06 GMT -6
|
|
