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Post by pbc12871 on Dec 16, 2018 10:11:41 GMT -6
Yep. Two more weeks. Split flow/s*** flow. Outside of one freak mid November snow (and a couple of air snow events), this winter is starting to glom into the groundhog's day that has been the last four winters.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 16, 2018 10:13:23 GMT -6
It’d be different if the blues, Illini or rams were still in town and good but with the sports state where it is here I need my snow. You'll feel better when Bryce Harper is introduced as a Cardinal. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2018 10:14:47 GMT -6
It’d be different if the blues, Illini or rams were still in town and good but with the sports state where it is here I need my snow. You'll feel better when Bryce Harper is introduced as a Cardinal. That's not even a remote possibility. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 16, 2018 10:18:21 GMT -6
You'll feel better when Bryce Harper is introduced as a Cardinal. That's not even a remote possibility. The $50 million in annual cap space and a 26 year old left handed outfielder says otherwise. |
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Post by mchafin on Dec 16, 2018 10:24:31 GMT -6
That's not even a remote possibility. The $50 million in annual cap space and a 26 year old left handed outfielder says otherwise. I concur. The fact that our outfield is Fowler/Bader/Ozuna makes me not think the Cardinals are serious about winning. I like Fowler. He's a good guy, but he needs to go. Pay him his contracted amount and let him continue to make Instagram stories from his home in Ladue. Fork out the money, dipping into the treasure trove of cash sitting around, and get an every-day outfielder who can add some spark. We have the money. The Cardinals can't continue to cry poor when they have fountains of cash. Remember the whole point of building a new stadium? Increased revenue from luxury boxes? Yah. They have the money. Spend it, instead of counting it. We've been mediocre for too long. Like this current run of weather. |
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Post by weatherj on Dec 16, 2018 10:30:14 GMT -6
Yikes teleconnections flipped on us big time. EPO wanting to stay strongly positive now for the foreseeable future. Not great. How in and why in the hell would it flip so big time? Obviously I know because it can, but is it that unreliable normally? Wouldn't surprise me if it flips again if that's the case. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 16, 2018 10:42:00 GMT -6
That's not even a remote possibility. The $50 million in annual cap space and a 26 year old left handed outfielder says otherwise. A 26 year old superstar with a flare for the big city and all the celebrity status he could ask for in LA, NYC, and even Philly says even more. No matter how many selfies Nelly takes with him. |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 16, 2018 11:52:38 GMT -6
I have to admit, with all the positive weather things everyone was talking about around Christmas and beyond, it sure does not seem like the models are showing it. Joe B said yesterday in his video that winter should return around January 15th through February. This is based off his analogs and the MJO. Until then , mostly mild periods with a few brief cold shots.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2018 12:08:44 GMT -6
GEFS is actually favoring the western counties for the highest accumulating snow odds with the Thursday/Friday system. Heres the snow maps for each GEFS member. Quite a few big boys, but also alot of spread in the solutions  |
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 16, 2018 12:42:02 GMT -6
GEFS is actually favoring the western counties for the highest accumulating snow odds with the Thursday/Friday system. Heres the snow maps for each GEFS member. Quite a few big boys, but also alot of spread in the solutions I’m banking on number 6 or number 10 |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 16, 2018 13:00:45 GMT -6
GEFS is actually favoring the western counties for the highest accumulating snow odds with the Thursday/Friday system. Heres the snow maps for each GEFS member. Quite a few big boys, but also alot of spread in the solutions No euro support... |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 16, 2018 13:01:41 GMT -6
GEFS is actually favoring the western counties for the highest accumulating snow odds with the Thursday/Friday system. Heres the snow maps for each GEFS member. Quite a few big boys, but also alot of spread in the solutions I’m banking on number 6 or number 10 I WANT NUMBER 7 |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2018 13:06:24 GMT -6
GEFS is actually favoring the western counties for the highest accumulating snow odds with the Thursday/Friday system. Heres the snow maps for each GEFS member. Quite a few big boys, but also alot of spread in the solutions No euro support... Its ensembles last night didn't have much support either |
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Post by landscaper on Dec 16, 2018 13:26:25 GMT -6
One thing I did notice the EURO did not do well with the rain storm Friday. It was the last model to come north . The GFS and GEM had the furthest north solution from the beginning. The GFS V3 and EURO had the Deep South solution for several days only to trend north east over time. It seems to have slight southern bias this year.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 16, 2018 15:13:38 GMT -6
Any effects from ssw usually take at least a couple weeks to happen. It's not really even supposed to occur until Christmas or so. Mid january seems reasonable. Though we keep pushing it back. We're used to that though.
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 16, 2018 16:11:45 GMT -6
Anyone going to try to see the comet tonight?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2018 16:17:56 GMT -6
Anyone going to try to see the comet tonight? What time is it visible again? |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 16, 2018 16:31:17 GMT -6
zzzz
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 16, 2018 16:45:07 GMT -6
Anyone going to try to see the comet tonight? What time is it visible again? Not sure |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 16, 2018 17:17:39 GMT -6
Any effects from ssw usually take at least a couple weeks to happen. It's not really even supposed to occur until Christmas or so. Mid january seems reasonable. Though we keep pushing it back. We're used to that though. Thats what i was thinking but also it doesnt always take ssw for us to get wintry wx. I am concerned abt the flip of epo ao and nao though. We just cannot get those teleconnections to play ball and i was expecting them to stay wintry. What we are seeing is very typical el nino. I had thought the el nino this year was more west based but the ams response seems to indicate a more typical el nino. Very difficult to break that pattern beyond the new year without el nino waning but we will see. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 16, 2018 17:36:27 GMT -6
Any effects from ssw usually take at least a couple weeks to happen. It's not really even supposed to occur until Christmas or so. Mid january seems reasonable. Though we keep pushing it back. We're used to that though. Thats what i was thinking but also it doesnt always take ssw for us to get wintry wx. I am concerned abt the flip of epo ao and nao though. We just cannot get those teleconnections to play ball and i was expecting them to stay wintry. What we are seeing is very typical el nino. I had thought the el nino this year was more west based but the ams response seems to indicate a more typical el nino. Very difficult to break that pattern beyond the new year without el nino waning but we will see. You are likely to see suppression city for a good chunk of January as the SSW unleashes the artic. Usually you get a big storm as the artic Express comes in and again on the backend. Maybe the clipper train visits in between. |
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Post by RyanD on Dec 16, 2018 17:53:02 GMT -6
What time is it visible again? Not sure What comet? I haven't seen everything about a visible comet. It must be very faint. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 16, 2018 18:07:37 GMT -6
What comet? I haven't seen everything about a visible comet. It must be very faint. No, it's actually one of the brightest in recent decades and makes it's closest approach tonight...Comet Wirtanen..."Christmas Comet". |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 16, 2018 18:37:20 GMT -6
Look on the southeast sky in an hour or 2
You might see it...you might not. A bright moon and spread out coma of the comet going to make it difficult.
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Post by RyanD on Dec 16, 2018 18:52:32 GMT -6
What comet? I haven't seen everything about a visible comet. It must be very faint. No, it's actually one of the brightest in recent decades and makes it's closest approach tonight...Comet Wirtanen..."Christmas Comet". Wow! Thanks! Where have I been? Guess that's what I get for depending on my Google newsfeed on my phone. I've been waiting for a good once since Hale Bopp in 1997 that was incredible. Not sure I'll see another one that bright. |
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Post by RyanD on Dec 16, 2018 18:53:19 GMT -6
Look on the southeast sky in an hour or 2 You might see it...you might not. A bright moon and spread out coma of the comet going to make it difficult. Thanks Snowman!! Damn moon! Maybe I can see it with my telescope. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 16, 2018 19:12:30 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 16, 2018 19:13:35 GMT -6
according to that site it will be best seen ~10:25p looking south... and of course turning your head up a bit.
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 16, 2018 20:22:18 GMT -6
I don't see Jack Squat.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 16, 2018 20:35:39 GMT -6
Nope. Not the faintest hint of anything. I might try closer to its apex in the sky but doubt it will make a difference |
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