|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 6, 2018 9:12:52 GMT -6
ALL snow and grauple here in New Haven where I got drunk and ended up last night. Y’all are Gunna like what ya got coming your way. It’s looks like heavy rainy but hits like foam balls everywhere!!
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 6, 2018 9:13:59 GMT -6
The beginning of one of the best winters in my lifetime....  May be the best we ever see, or at least for a really long time. I had 38 inches seasonal total at the farm in STG (lived there at the time). Measured just over a foot in several areas from the 12/05-06 system. I remember expecting a lot more sleet contamination throughout but it switched over to snow quickly and never looked back. Feels like the "good old days" when I think about it now. |
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Dec 6, 2018 9:17:46 GMT -6
NAM looks really good for this morning. for what? Our last snow of the winter per some. |
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 6, 2018 9:25:33 GMT -6
ALL snow and grauple here in New Haven where I got drunk and ended up last night. Y’all are Gunna like what ya got coming your way. It’s looks like heavy rainy but hits like foam balls everywhere!! That's awesome. Keep up the good work. |
|
|
|
Post by mchafin on Dec 6, 2018 9:25:48 GMT -6
So folks, I'm thinking our mission to will the weekend storm north is falling on deaf ears. It wants to go to New Orleans to get some beignets then onto Port St. Joe to see the hurricane damage.
Interesting thing: Isn't it forecast to leave the country at roughly the same latitude that it entered the country? Isn't that what that whack-job met from PA said: Storms want to enter and leave the country at roughly the same latitude? Food for thought....
|
|
|
|
Post by birddog on Dec 6, 2018 9:27:00 GMT -6
Just changed to rain snow mix, mostly wet snow temp back down to 35.3°
|
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 6, 2018 9:34:20 GMT -6
Just changed to rain snow mix, mostly wet snow temp back down to 35.3° Party's on fellas |
|
|
|
Post by rb1108 on Dec 6, 2018 9:34:49 GMT -6
It's out of reliability range, but the gfs does seem to indicate a system around the 22nd and there is cold air around...
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 6, 2018 9:40:41 GMT -6
It's out of reliability range, but the gfs does seem to indicate a system around the 22nd and there is cold air around... You think 16 days might be pushing the gfs? Let's get the system late next week out of the way first. Models show it rapidly deepening. Just need it to do so before the east coast. |
|
|
|
Post by maddogchief on Dec 6, 2018 9:48:00 GMT -6
It's out of reliability range, but the gfs does seem to indicate a system around the 22nd and there is cold air around... You think 16 days might be pushing the gfs? Let's get the system late next week out of the way first. Models show it rapidly deepening. Just need it to do so before the east coast. C’mon. It’s only the first half of December. Of course we need to start looking at the end of the GFS for hope |
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Dec 6, 2018 9:48:25 GMT -6
lol@ the 22nd
|
|
|
|
Post by birddog on Dec 6, 2018 9:49:36 GMT -6
Down to 34.1 and all snow. I would call it a moderate snow fall. No hamsters.
|
|
|
|
Post by Snowman99 on Dec 6, 2018 9:53:38 GMT -6
Very light grauple falling here.
|
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 6, 2018 9:53:47 GMT -6
Holy ! POOPY !! It is really coming down folks!!
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 6, 2018 9:55:42 GMT -6
I should have taken the advice of WSC and others in regards to the EURO. I said it myself the other day...it has been BY FAR the most consistent performer early on in this season. In fact I think it was nailing the hurricane forecasts this past summer as well. It had the one blip of hope and that's only because it was phasing in the clipper. Other than that it has been rock solid. I formally concede.
|
|
|
|
Post by maddogchief on Dec 6, 2018 9:56:37 GMT -6
Also, looking at temp trends moving forward, I see normal temps for the season with maybe a few blips upward and downward. I would venture a guess that when this “warmup” is averaged out, we will see well, average temps. Upper air looks zonal and instead of a fire hose of warmth coming out of the SW, I see a nice, natural wavy zonal airflow.
IMO, that makes the next 2-3 weeks super exciting for several reasons.
1. It will allow room for storms to mature.
2. Cold air won’t be upon us, but near us so it should keep suppression at a minimum.
The things tempering this excitement
1. There is nothing to force a storm to mature.
2. The cold air won’t be close enough potentially.
Let’s see how this plays out.
|
|
|
|
Post by cardsnweather on Dec 6, 2018 10:03:45 GMT -6
Holy ! POOPY !! It is really coming down folks!! I want whatever he had last night. |
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 6, 2018 10:11:55 GMT -6
I should have taken the advice of WSC and others in regards to the EURO. I said it myself the other day...it has been BY FAR the most consistent performer early on in this season. In fact I think it was nailing the hurricane forecasts this past summer as well. It had the one blip of hope and that's only because it was phasing in the clipper. Other than that it has been rock solid. I formally concede. It's a lot easier when you have no emotional investment in if the storm happens or not. As far as the euro, inside of 5 days it has been phenomenal. Even the 7-10 day range has produced a good generalization of if a potential storm is coming (hint: late next week). It's only true bias appears to be rapid intensification. It overdoes it sometimes and then comes back to earth. |
|
|
|
Post by rb1108 on Dec 6, 2018 10:14:15 GMT -6
You think 16 days might be pushing the gfs? Let's get the system late next week out of the way first. Models show it rapidly deepening. Just need it to do so before the east coast. C’mon. It’s only the first half of December. Of course we need to start looking at the end of the GFS for hope The only reason I am even looking that far with the gfs is because Xmas is nearing at that point, and I am rooting for that white Xmas prediction... |
|
|
|
Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 6, 2018 10:19:24 GMT -6
The radar looks fantastic.
Hopefully another over performer.
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 6, 2018 10:23:27 GMT -6
The radar looks fantastic. Hopefully another over performer. Snowing like the dickens up there but not really sticking, which is what I suspect will be the case for all of us as well. |
|
|
|
Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 6, 2018 10:25:23 GMT -6
Rain.
|
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 6, 2018 10:26:03 GMT -6
All rain in Alton...thinking this may end up being an elevation snowfall.
|
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Dec 6, 2018 10:30:47 GMT -6
Liquid drizzle in Osage Beach
|
|
|
|
Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 6, 2018 10:30:55 GMT -6
Not to be a wet blanket but 100 bucks says the big storm next week ends up being a cutter.
|
|
|
|
Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Dec 6, 2018 10:31:49 GMT -6
ALL snow and grauple here in New Haven where I got drunk and ended up last night.
Post of the day.
|
|
|
|
Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 6, 2018 10:34:19 GMT -6
Not to be a wet blanket but 100 bucks says the big storm next week ends up being a cutter. It definitely will. Just depends where. Gfs is west and euro is east. Average them and you get something amazing. There is even a lead wave to get the cold air close enough. It looks way better than the weekend system. |
|
|
|
Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 6, 2018 10:37:41 GMT -6
Hopefully dynamic cooling will be enough to overwhelm the shallow warm layer and switch it over. But accums. are going to be tough to come by outside of a quick dusting in heavier bursts.
|
|
|
|
Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Dec 6, 2018 10:41:51 GMT -6
Rain with snow just starting to mix in in Wentzville.
|
|
|
|
Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 6, 2018 10:42:20 GMT -6
already out of Kansas City
|
|
