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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 13, 2019 18:13:12 GMT -6
Nothing in Festus and the Blue radar is over us! No biggie! More to come! I’m in festus been snowing for an hour. Dusting on cars |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2019 18:30:34 GMT -6
Still snowing lightly in Wentzville , dusting on our cars. It has basically snowed for almost 54 hours . It started Friday at noon, we had a period of drizzle and flurries otherwise periods of snow at various rates . This winter has been incredible, I am almost at 24” of snow on the year, I had nearly 12” prior to this storm and we received about 12” over the last two days. Absolutely incredible. Now we have several storms and plenty of cold showing up on the models. This should be a great stretch of weather.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 13, 2019 18:36:34 GMT -6
Light snow and freezing drizzle past couple hours. Starting to cause havoc on bridges and overpasses, several accidents being reported
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2019 19:06:57 GMT -6
FeezIng drizzle glazing everything in st.peters. it's a skating rink out. Be careful
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 19:25:24 GMT -6
Just looking at the pattern. 12z GFS vs 18z GFS... the orientation of the northern jet will dictate the orientation of the southern jet. 12z is flatter on the northern jet... 18z is stronger and builds back more (like the euro)- helps push the southern stream south.   |
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Post by amstilost on Jan 13, 2019 19:27:51 GMT -6
I have light snow. Cars are dusted pretty good. Temp 30*.
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Post by REB on Jan 13, 2019 19:28:09 GMT -6
School closings are happening.
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Jan 13, 2019 19:35:13 GMT -6
We are off in Wentzville tomorrow.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 13, 2019 19:42:56 GMT -6
12Z EPS and 18Z GEFS are both showing cohesive/closed 850mb lows. A blend of the two track the low along and maybe even slightly north of I-70. We want that to come south a little for an ideal GYB track.
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Post by TK on Jan 13, 2019 19:57:40 GMT -6
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 13, 2019 20:17:57 GMT -6
The fact that the ensemble Guidance is tracking the mid level centers that far North screams ice storm to me. It implies that even with the cold air plowing South it will have a greater influence on the surface low and not as much on the mid level circulation which is a perfect recipe for a major ice storm event. But, at 5 days out it makes no sense to gravitate in one direction or the other. It always makes me uncomfortable when the hype begins to build for a storm 5 days out... Those are the ones that usually fall apart it seems. No matter what happens, it will be followed by some brutally cold air. It will be an interesting Watching the AFC championship game in Kansas City next weekend lol.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 20:25:20 GMT -6
I'm betting it will trend south.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2019 20:26:28 GMT -6
The fact that the ensemble Guidance is tracking the mid level centers that far North screams ice storm to me. It implies that even with the cold air plowing South it will have a greater influence on the surface low and not as much on the mid level circulation which is a perfect recipe for a major ice storm event. But, at 5 days out it makes no sense to gravitate in one direction or the other. It always makes me uncomfortable when the hype begins to build for a storm 5 days out... Those are the ones that usually fall apart it seems. No matter what happens, it will be followed by some brutally cold air. It will be an interesting Watching the AFC championship game in Kansas City next weekend lol. Completely agree...looks like a ripe setup for ice for sure. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2019 20:29:39 GMT -6
This matches the latest EURO weeklies well which look very cold and active into February with a -EPO/-NAO/-AO combo. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2019 20:30:18 GMT -6
I'm betting it will trend south. Seconded. Seems more times than not the models are to slow with the advancement of these big arctic airmasses at this range. That should help keep the system further south Maybe that’s just me wishcasting through. I love snow, hate ice |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 13, 2019 20:30:54 GMT -6
I'm betting it will trend south. I completely agree. People are already asking if it's going to be worse than this weekend storm and it's hard to compare them because they're 2 entirely different beasts. But if we were to get freezing rain changing to heavy snow followed by strong winds and bitterly cold temperatures it would be an argument worth making that the weekend storm that's coming up could be worse in its over all impact... Because of the multi faceted threats that appear to be developing . |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 20:31:33 GMT -6
I'm betting it will trend south. Seconded. Seems more times than not the models are to slow with the advancement of these big arctic airmasses at this range. That should help keep the system further south Maybe that’s just me wishcasting through. I love snow, hate ice I just think the jet set up favors a more southern path. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 13, 2019 20:33:49 GMT -6
Really, the impact from this weekend's storm was limited to just the snow. Temperatures were not...and still are not...all that cold and ice/freezing rain was not a big factor.
The next system has the potential to bring everything including the kitchen sink… and will be followed by dangerous cold.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 20:37:55 GMT -6
Really, the impact from this weekend's storm was limited to just the snow. Temperatures were not...and still are not...all that cold and ice/freezing rain was not a big factor. The next system has the potential to bring everything including the kitchen sink… and will be followed by dangerous cold. Timing didn't help |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2019 20:44:10 GMT -6
I thought the same thing. The set up reminds me a little like the storm in early January 2014 when we had heavy snow, high winds (heavy drifting) then bitter cold sub zero temps for several days. That was the storm that started the whole polar vortex craze. One thing for sure depending on how much melting we have this week and how much snow we could get there is the possibility of massive snow piles. There are giant piles around St. Louis. If you were to get a storm with heavy snow, you start to run out of places to put the snow from a Removal standpoint
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 20:45:49 GMT -6
In 82- they dumped into the Mississippi
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Post by stlweatherguy - Hillsboro, MO on Jan 13, 2019 20:47:30 GMT -6
Sounds like another opportunity for MODOT to shine...
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Post by ams3389 on Jan 13, 2019 20:55:29 GMT -6
So many forecast maps all over Facebook for this upcoming weekend... they will bash the Mets if it doesn’t verify sadly as many already are mentioning to be cautious. I do wonder if it will verify.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2019 21:00:51 GMT -6
Francis Howell just called off. It is very icy in st.charles county
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Post by landscaper on Jan 13, 2019 21:01:25 GMT -6
I think the road crews around my area did very well, Wentzville , lake St. Louis and MODOT had all the roads partially plowed through out the event and had things in pretty good shape by this morning early. I know there problems during the rush hour Friday but you basically had 1” per hour snow rates during the peak rush hour and it started earlier than anticipated. That is always a big challenge to deal with. Over the years MODOT continues to buy bigger better trucks with wing plows and they now own a bunch of 30’ tow plows that do the work of three trucks.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 13, 2019 21:02:50 GMT -6
I made a post on facebook just mentioning uncertainty for next weekend and it blew up... apparently when forecasters get it right, people are much more obliged to give you a pat on the back.
Who'dathunkit??
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 13, 2019 21:03:10 GMT -6
Chris was right on with this storm! Let’s wait and
See what he says and how it goes!
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 21:04:47 GMT -6
I think the road crews around my area did very well, Wentzville , lake St. Louis and MODOT had all the roads partially plowed through out the event and had things in pretty good shape by this morning early. I know there problems during the rush hour Friday but you basically had 1” per hour snow rates during the peak rush hour and it started earlier than anticipated. That is always a big challenge to deal with. Over the years MODOT continues to buy bigger better trucks with wing plows and they now own a bunch of 30’ tow plows that do the work of three trucks. MODOT was a pain to forecast for |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 13, 2019 21:10:27 GMT -6
NAM looks a bit icy here Thursday AM
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 13, 2019 21:14:52 GMT -6
Did you guys hear 16" of snow fell in Florida? Florida, MO...
Some crazy totals with this storm! This ranks with 2006 and the Groundhog Day storm...both 15"+ in spots...and of course the Palm Sunday storm.
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