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Post by bear1 on Feb 10, 2019 0:20:01 GMT -6
Weeeellll, to my uneducated guess, it appears to be a mix of frz/sleet/snow??... Just my guess.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 0:30:48 GMT -6
Weeeellll, to my uneducated guess, it appears to be a mix of frz/sleet/snow??... Just my guess. In your backyard? |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 10, 2019 0:39:25 GMT -6
thats a dilly of a storm the euro has on Friday. Blizzard somewhere nearby...even several inches possible here..
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Post by bear1 on Feb 10, 2019 0:39:58 GMT -6
Weeeellll, to my uneducated guess, it appears to be a mix of frz/sleet/snow??... Just my guess. In your backyard? I forgot?!!! IMBY  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 0:44:18 GMT -6
Ya that's a good looking storm the euro has Friday
Certainly blizzard conditions possible when your on the backside of a 985 low
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 0:48:21 GMT -6
Latest hrrrrrr drops a quarter inch of freezing rain across the southern half of the area
That would not be ideal
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 10, 2019 0:56:26 GMT -6
euro nice snow storm in 8-9 days. GFS has it too, only it's ice on it.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 0:57:37 GMT -6
I forgot?!!! IMBY And where is that again? I really doesn't say on the mobile chat |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 1:09:37 GMT -6
Oh your saying that's the forecast not scars happening right now?
The modeled warm nose is very thin.
I think the immediate metro might just be sleet if not snow.
Maybe end with light freezing rain.
Further South some decent freezing rain is likely
Hopefully that warm nose is washed out and we get everything white.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 1:10:22 GMT -6
euro nice snow storm in 8-9 days. GFS has it too, only it's ice on it. This upcoming pattern looks ripe for some winter weather around here
Lots of cold air coming down from western and central canada while the southern jet stays active underneath
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 1:15:27 GMT -6
Looks like a good freezing rain setup going off the hrrr soundings  |
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Post by cozpregon on Feb 10, 2019 1:25:34 GMT -6
Looks more sleet to me- would even think flakes would make it thru too.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 1:26:40 GMT -6
Looks like a good freezing rain setup going off the hrrr soundings That's a pretty decent cold layer at the surface. Probably sleet. Probably starts as graupel then snow. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 1:27:01 GMT -6
Ya its close. I could see it going either way
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Post by cozpregon on Feb 10, 2019 1:41:29 GMT -6
That lift/omega thru the dgz.... I would have to think flakes make it thru even with the little warm layer.
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Post by bear1 on Feb 10, 2019 1:45:34 GMT -6
Friv, I'm out in Bourbon, Mo. right off I-44.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 1:47:06 GMT -6
That lift/omega thru the dgz.... I would have to think flakes make it thru even with the little warm layer. With lift like that there is definitely the chance the warm layer gets shunted/washed out until the precip let's up |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 10, 2019 1:48:20 GMT -6
That lift/omega thru the dgz.... I would have to think flakes make it thru even with the little warm layer. I did cherry pick that sounding under a heavy band of precep
I could see the heavier burst of precipitation being a sleet/snow mix with the lighter returns being freezing rain/sleet
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 10, 2019 2:36:29 GMT -6
First blob should be over me shortly. I’ll report what’s falling. Current temp is 26 in Dittmer MO.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 2:39:56 GMT -6
The 06Z name now has the deformation zone snow Tuesday with 2-3" along 44/64 through the metro.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 10, 2019 3:14:23 GMT -6
Looks like some light sleet mixed with a bit of ZR here. No flakes.
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 10, 2019 3:16:37 GMT -6
Looks like this first batch is holding south of I-44 so far. I assume it’ll build north as well shortly
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 3:18:56 GMT -6
Looks like some light sleet mixed with a bit of ZR here. No flakes. Bummer Radar indicates a lot of dry air effecting things. Let us know if snow mixes in. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 3:27:32 GMT -6
Looks like this first batch is holding south of I-44 so far. I assume it’ll build north as well shortly The models are pretty wet. Expecially the rap and hrrr. Quite a bit of freezing rain. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 3:36:14 GMT -6
Luckily we go above freezing by noon.  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 10, 2019 3:52:01 GMT -6
Just had a little burst of light sleet and flurries
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Post by bororug on Feb 10, 2019 4:08:28 GMT -6
I’ve got a moderate freezing rain shower. Temp up from 20 when I went to bed to now 26. All Freezing Rain..No sleet at all, just southwest of Desoto.
Driveway/Deck have a decent glaze on it already.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 10, 2019 4:34:37 GMT -6
Sadly nothing but freezing rain here also.... so dang sick of rain
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 10, 2019 5:14:15 GMT -6
Light ZR......glazing on everything
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Post by weatherj on Feb 10, 2019 5:19:02 GMT -6
Heavy sleet here..all sleet so far.
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