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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 12, 2019 13:16:49 GMT -6
And i didnt mean that as snarky as it reads.
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Post by scmhack on Feb 12, 2019 13:20:00 GMT -6
I mean I could look at old thunderstorm warnings and compare to old radar images if you want but honestly, I aint paid to do that and am only going off things I've seen.... From elevation of course  Well if your business process is dependent on headlines, good luck....maybe you will get an explanation...my hunch is it may not be the explanation youre looking for but maybe your business process shld take something else into account. Its honestly above my paygrade. I've tried figuring out more but sometimes its just whatever and actually just discussing the weather here gets more nuance across anyway. I just like defaulting to the NWS that way I can't claim "well this service is being paid off by xyz" and such |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 12, 2019 13:21:33 GMT -6
Euro looks awfully icy with the big storm early next week.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 12, 2019 13:28:05 GMT -6
Left the house at 1 PM to take care of some things. There were a few snow flakes when I first opened the garage door. Didn't see any more the rest of the time.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 12, 2019 13:28:55 GMT -6
Well if your business process is dependent on headlines, good luck....maybe you will get an explanation...my hunch is it may not be the explanation youre looking for but maybe your business process shld take something else into account. Its honestly above my paygrade. I've tried figuring out more but sometimes its just whatever and actually just discussing the weather here gets more nuance across anyway. I just like defaulting to the NWS that way I can't claim "well this service is being paid off by xyz" and such Yeah i get where you are coming from. It affects how you do business and its not a status thing. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 12, 2019 13:29:54 GMT -6
Euro looks awfully icy with the big storm early next week. I'm with Beaker. No ice! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 12, 2019 13:34:31 GMT -6
Southerners would be dealing with ice storm Friday on the euro This include Waterloo and Arnold or more Farmington and Perryville? Southern tier of counties So Farmington points south |
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Post by scmhack on Feb 12, 2019 13:38:02 GMT -6
Its honestly above my paygrade. I've tried figuring out more but sometimes its just whatever and actually just discussing the weather here gets more nuance across anyway. I just like defaulting to the NWS that way I can't claim "well this service is being paid off by xyz" and such Yeah i get where you are coming from. It affects how you do business and its not a status thing. Can i go back to 2006 and just having fun tracking the ice storm while in class instead of this adulting bs? please? |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 12, 2019 13:43:01 GMT -6
The Euro has about 9" for the entire metro area through 120 hours.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 12, 2019 13:56:15 GMT -6
Yeah i get where you are coming from. It affects how you do business and its not a status thing. Can i go back to 2006 and just having fun tracking the ice storm while in class instead of this adulting bs? please? If you figure out how to do that let me know. Don't keep it a secret. |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 12, 2019 14:41:25 GMT -6
Now this is whiteout, a ice out, or something.  |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 12, 2019 15:02:30 GMT -6
18z NAM coming in hot for Friday night... and not temp wise.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 12, 2019 15:04:38 GMT -6
18z Nam looks great. Very good sign to have it on board. It has caught on to some weakening trends even at the edge of its range this year.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 12, 2019 15:19:58 GMT -6
EURO is showing strong mid-level frontogenesis setting up along/S of 70 Friday...could be some bands of heavy snow if that verifies. But as Beaker said it's a fairly quick hit so I'd say a 2-4 or 3-6" event is possible at this juncture.
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 12, 2019 15:46:52 GMT -6
Is this Friday thingy gonna be Friday evening or Friday night?
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 12, 2019 15:53:01 GMT -6
Is this Friday thingy gonna be Friday evening or Friday night? Both |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 12, 2019 15:55:56 GMT -6
Is this Friday thingy gonna be Friday evening or Friday night? Timing always does change but right now Friday afternoon into the night hours is a good bet especially before 3am Saturday. Again that’s a rough timeline this far out. |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 12, 2019 15:57:40 GMT -6
Really liking the 3-6” range with this storm. Looking pretty darn solid at this point and finally within reach.
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 12, 2019 16:09:17 GMT -6
Nws says 1 to 2 friday right now. Then maybe an inch saturday. Better be more than than.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 12, 2019 16:19:12 GMT -6
I'm going 2-4" Jeffco points north and 1-3" south of that with sleet contamination at this early stage. Also wouldn't be surprised to see earlier onset by at least 6 hours than currently shown.
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 12, 2019 16:21:20 GMT -6
Come on Chris. Start a new thread with a nice snow map with a 6” band across the metro with a donut hole for union.
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Post by yypc on Feb 12, 2019 16:26:08 GMT -6
Is this Friday thingy gonna be Friday evening or Friday night? Euro has a start time of early afternoon on Friday with snow in stl and ice/mix to the south |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 12, 2019 16:32:21 GMT -6
I would go 2-4” right now
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 12, 2019 16:37:26 GMT -6
Thanks, we’ll keep an eye on it so we will know when to deliver a meal for a friend who had surgery! They live out on some of those lovely country roads that everyone just loves to drive on in weather that’s yucky!
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 12, 2019 16:46:39 GMT -6
Hmm...I'm going to be "measuring" lots of digital snow from the GFS on this run. So you might need a bigger digital box? Maybe. But I think my bigger problem right now is that I'm in a catch-22 situation. I'm not allowed to post model snowfall pictures past 120 hours, but because I'm close to Mount St. Peters I also feel like I need to justify my "measurement" with a picture. You know what they say...banned if you do, banned if you don't...or something like that.  |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 12, 2019 16:50:02 GMT -6
18Z FV3 puts the stripe along and maybe slightly south of I-70.  |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 12, 2019 16:52:35 GMT -6
18z GFS and FV3 just rolled in pretty hot with 2-5” for most.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 12, 2019 16:54:57 GMT -6
These have an awful tendency to trend North.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 12, 2019 16:55:24 GMT -6
Nws says 1 to 2 friday right now. Then maybe an inch saturday. Better be more than than. Being conservative is always the right approach to snow forecasting around here
Id be pretty confident in forecasting 2-4" for the metro right now
In reality im expecting widespread 3-6"+ amounts
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Post by cozpregon on Feb 12, 2019 16:55:49 GMT -6
18 FV3 by midnight Friday  |
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