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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2019 22:28:59 GMT -6
Wsc I think Sunday night-Monday is your storm.
You're the only reason I want Chicago getting a good show haha. Really I do hope you cash in...you suffered for years here along with the rest of us and it felt really good to break the curse. Hope you can get in on it.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2019 22:31:39 GMT -6
Gfs has you at -30 next week wsc...
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 22, 2019 22:32:19 GMT -6
Wsc I think Sunday night-Monday is your storm. You're the only reason I want Chicago getting a good show haha. Really I do hope you cash in...you suffered for years here along with the rest of us and it felt really good to break the curse. Hope you can get in on it. Thanks, I tend to think it will trend north over the next several days, but could see our Central Illinois friend really cashing in. I would be surprised if we all dont see snow in the next 7 days. It will just be a forecasting headache.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 22, 2019 22:35:12 GMT -6
Gfs has you at -30 next week wsc... Yeah, but only -12 in the afternoon lol. This six week stretch (started with the January 10th storm) has historic potential. In some ways it already has been.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 22, 2019 22:36:30 GMT -6
Climatology says Chicago region will get way more snow than we will anytime in winter.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 22, 2019 22:39:21 GMT -6
Climatology says Chicago region will get way more snow than we will anytime in winter. The STL region has Boston beat by 20-25 inches. Variance is fun.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 22, 2019 23:00:29 GMT -6
As more support for a continued cold pattern through February, the gfs has been hinting and even showing the PV splitting again once it congeals from the recent break.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 22, 2019 23:00:42 GMT -6
The 00z gefs has 2-3" of snow tomorrow am between Columbia and STL.
Some of the Individual members have 2-4" from like Rolla to Union/Hillsboro.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 22, 2019 23:03:02 GMT -6
Wouldn’t be surprised if members of this forum pick up a half inch real quick tomorrow morning.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 22, 2019 23:03:47 GMT -6
Friv beat me to it. I’m saying half inch because I’m skeptical
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2019 23:08:19 GMT -6
The 00z gefs has 2-3" of snow tomorrow am between Columbia and STL. Some of the Individual members have 2-4" from like Rolla to Union/Hillsboro. HRRR and RAP aren’t picking up on it so I’m skeptical. I might dig into their soundings and see how close it is on the back edge of the precep
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 22, 2019 23:32:25 GMT -6
GFS has things warming up a good bit after the cold next week. As does the EPS . Usually happens that way, gets real cold, then mild.Might put a delay at least to our "fun" February.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2019 0:58:56 GMT -6
That run of the euro is just stupid cold. Like holy smokes. It has temps approaching -50F in central Iowa!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2019 1:01:35 GMT -6
STL is kind of riding the line between Hoth levels of cold and just stupid cold. If we get any snow cover from all these clippers floating around we might start breaking records
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 1:05:59 GMT -6
Eh..barely gets below 0 for 1 morning next week in St Louis, while it;s so cold in Iowa you couldn't see straight. Also has very little snow here while IA and IL get like 20 inches. We better get a few inches or this is going to be a huge waste of time and energy (literally) with no snow cover.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 23, 2019 1:10:43 GMT -6
Snowcover is the key for sure if you want record breaking cold. I’d be pretty shocked if we don’t get some with all those impulses rotating around the PV
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 23, 2019 1:12:27 GMT -6
The 00z gefs has 2-3" of snow tomorrow am between Columbia and STL. Some of the Individual members have 2-4" from like Rolla to Union/Hillsboro. Soundings from GFS do not support snow. It is only saturated up to about -2c....then dry up until about 12c. Unless there is some serious seeder-feeder process going on... I can't see much making it through the depth of the dry layer. I think the more like possibility is we get a period of maybe some sleet in there before a quich change to token flurries as the precip moves east.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 1:13:00 GMT -6
You would think there would be impulses the models aren't going to see until like the day before as well. Anything with enough oomph should produce an inch or 2 of arctic fluff. Like 30-1 type stuff.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 23, 2019 1:19:01 GMT -6
The 00z gefs has 2-3" of snow tomorrow am between Columbia and STL. Some of the Individual members have 2-4" from like Rolla to Union/Hillsboro. Soundings from GFS do not support snow. It is only saturated up to about -2c....then dry up until about 12c. Unless there is some serious seeder-feeder process going on... I can't see much making it through the depth of the dry layer. I think the more like possibility is we get a period of maybe some sleet in there before a quich change to token flurries as the precip moves east. That makes a lot of sense.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 23, 2019 1:21:23 GMT -6
You would think there would be impulses the models aren't going to see until like the day before as well. Anything with enough oomph should produce an inch or 2 of arctic fluff. Like 30-1 type stuff. Even systems that can be resolved to actually exists will change with huge variance even up close to the event..
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 1:26:23 GMT -6
What a muddy, miserable wet crappy night. Yuck. The yard is a swamp again. Thankfully it'll freeze over tomorrow night again. Hopefully this is the last real rain we see for a while. We don't need it. Hopefully it's just cold and snow.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 23, 2019 4:03:31 GMT -6
Quite the temperature contrast over the area at the moment. 47 here but snow reported in Rolla.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 23, 2019 4:21:19 GMT -6
Quite windy out this morning......hopefully that will aid in the rapid drying of the pavement surfaces as the temp crashes to the freezing point or just below to lessen the threat of ice formation during rush hour.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 4:21:23 GMT -6
well over an inch of this crap tonight. If it was January we would have had a nice big snowstorm.
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Jan 23, 2019 4:46:02 GMT -6
Lightning to the South.
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Post by bear1 on Jan 23, 2019 5:01:33 GMT -6
30° & snow here
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scorpiofml
Weather Weenie
South Side Wright City, Mo
Posts: 19
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Post by scorpiofml on Jan 23, 2019 5:56:13 GMT -6
31 and snow in Wright City! And very windy!
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 5:59:44 GMT -6
The end of both the GFS and euro ensembles..like day 11 on is just almost a complete reversal. Cold air gets wiped out of the whole country. Even Canada. So..hopefully that's wrong.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 23, 2019 6:01:49 GMT -6
Steady snow and 32 in Wentzville, the grass is white already. I did not expect that
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 23, 2019 6:02:48 GMT -6
Couple of stray flakes here. Windy. A lot colder. I HATE the Schmocker rule.
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