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Post by ajd446 on Mar 6, 2019 10:26:30 GMT -6
RAP Is trying to bring .5 to 1 inch as far south as 70 tonight.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 6, 2019 10:39:58 GMT -6
This cold snap has been much more impressive than that 5 minute one we had with the pv. It's lasted much longer, and we actually had snow on the ground. Not as much wind though. It also wasn't 10 below with no snow cover. The duration doesn't take away from the intensity. But this is definitely one impressive arctic outbreak for March. It would be moderately impressive even in December and January.
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Post by unclesam6 on Mar 6, 2019 10:45:39 GMT -6
sfc parcels are going to be zoomin' on Saturday across central mo
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2019 11:33:01 GMT -6
sfc parcels are going to be zoomin' on Saturday across central mo Definitely looks like another good candidate for a backlash windstorm.
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Post by msnotos on Mar 6, 2019 11:43:33 GMT -6
I follow one of the SLC TV stations on Facebook. They have had some incredible amounts of snow the last 6 weeks or so. The flip side is they've had some avalanches, too They got 6 feet in Alta/Snowbird during the week I was there at the end of January. Never saw anything like it in my life, and probably never will again. Ah, of course when we decide to push our SLC ski trip to next year :/
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395
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Post by twocat on Mar 6, 2019 12:33:29 GMT -6
sfc parcels are going to be zoomin' on Saturday across central mo What is an sfc parcel? In layman's terms please......
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nrs2420
Wishcaster
Pacific, MO
Posts: 227
Snowfall Events: It has snowed several times.
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Post by nrs2420 on Mar 6, 2019 13:54:01 GMT -6
An invisible box of air at the surface
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 6, 2019 13:57:07 GMT -6
An invisible box of air at the surface It is a bubhle of air that is assumed to Have the same temperature humidity and pressure Throughout
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 6, 2019 14:05:24 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 6, 2019 14:23:14 GMT -6
YAY!! We're finally above freezing again!! At the airport, anyway
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2019 14:35:01 GMT -6
YAY!! We're finally above freezing again!! At the airport, anyway Amazing stretch for sure...one I won't forget!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 6, 2019 14:38:21 GMT -6
That was an awesome stretch of pure winter weather for March
But I am happy to see the temps warming and snow melting. I’m ready for spring lol
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 6, 2019 15:31:35 GMT -6
😂
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 6, 2019 15:34:43 GMT -6
Hows the severe threat look Sat afternoon here?
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 6, 2019 15:37:15 GMT -6
The shear is extreme if I am reading it right near 75knts. But uncertain on instability as well as rain shield. But I would definitely say some lowtopped supercells embedded in rain shield may happen. But that's just my uneducated thoughts
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 6, 2019 16:26:09 GMT -6
The Euro gives us like 2" of snow tomorrow/night.
I think it's unlikely given the surface heating.
But the idea of the convective showery look seems plausible.
There is still a very cold mid level airmass.
Tonight around 12-3.
A band of light snow night break through over the metro but it probably won't along to anything.
But there is decent convergence
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 6, 2019 16:38:16 GMT -6
The NAM has really strong mid-level frontegenisis tommorow directly through the metro for quite a long time.
And good Ascent bisecting that like along and NE of Wentzville to Waterloo.
But it has any precip NE of here.
Interesting indeed.
tonight the rap,nam, and hires nam really try breaking out light snow after midnight.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 6, 2019 16:47:39 GMT -6
Tomorrow afternoon. And the 3 hours before that it was actually SW of us
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2019 17:04:54 GMT -6
The NAM has really strong mid-level frontegenisis tommorow directly through the metro for quite a long time. And good Ascent bisecting that like along and NE of Wentzville to Waterloo. But it has any precip NE of here. Interesting indeed. tonight the rap,nam, and hires nam really try breaking out light snow after midnight. The EURO is about the only model that was consistently printing out QPF where you would expect it to given the mid-level features...but it was very stingy. The GFS just looked ridiculous with a darn near warning-level event for N/central IL. I think a band of snow will develop pretty much along or a bit N of the MO river tonight and linger into tomorrow. I'm not real sure about ptypes tomorrow...thinking it may change to plain rain at some point with diurnal swing.
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 6, 2019 17:29:47 GMT -6
Sub 700 is so dry over the metro though... will be difficult to get anything with the initial band down to the MO river.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2019 17:37:49 GMT -6
Sub 700 is so dry over the metro though... will be difficult to get anything with the initial band down to the MO river. Yep...sometimes these Fgen bands are efficient though...we'll see.
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 6, 2019 17:40:53 GMT -6
Sub 700 is so dry over the metro though... will be difficult to get anything with the initial band down to the MO river. Yep...sometimes these Fgen bands are efficient though...we'll see. Pretty good looking Fgen with the 45kt wind running up against virtually calm wind.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 6, 2019 18:20:08 GMT -6
Yep...sometimes these Fgen bands are efficient though...we'll see. Pretty good looking Fgen with the 45kt wind running up against virtually calm wind. Sure is.
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Post by unclesam6 on Mar 6, 2019 18:40:18 GMT -6
finally back to walking. another 6 weeks of the boot and then I should be back to normal.
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 6, 2019 20:45:22 GMT -6
On this date 3/26 in 2017 there were 79 tornado reports making this one the most prolific tornado outbreaks that almost no one knows about. Only about 1/3 of these tornado reports came with in the first 24 hours. The rest trickled in over many days.
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Post by unclesam6 on Mar 6, 2019 21:44:51 GMT -6
On this date 3/26 in 2017 there were 79 tornado reports making this one the most prolific tornado outbreaks that almost no one knows about. Only about 1/3 of these tornado reports came with in the first 24 hours. The rest trickled in over many days. someone posted this image in the RadarScope Facebook group must be nightmarish to cover something like this wall-to-wall. i.imgur.com/Fc5QycI.jpg
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 6, 2019 22:07:04 GMT -6
Why the heck don't I remember that? Guess the one a week before kinda takes up my memory for that timeframe. I much more vividly remember the March 12-13 2006 outbreaks. That was insanity. Two EF-3' tornadoes crossing I-55 separated by a few minutes and 30 miles. Will never forget going down to st. Mary with my buddies a couple days later and seeing real life tornado damage for the first time in my life.
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 6, 2019 22:15:49 GMT -6
Soundings Saturday night are not showing as much mixing as a couple days ago- also shows an inversion just above the surface about 1000ft or so.... would think this will keep the strong winds from mixing all the way down.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 7, 2019 0:22:30 GMT -6
Euro has a little period of ice here early Fri. morning. Wouldn't be much if it even happens.
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Post by mchafin on Mar 7, 2019 1:00:43 GMT -6
FYI.Snowing nicely here. In Park City, UT.
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