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Post by Snowman99 on May 3, 2019 8:57:43 GMT -6
Maybe shoot the NWS an email as well for suggestions. Congrats snowmanJoe. Sounds fun
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Post by REB on May 3, 2019 9:12:21 GMT -6
I just got some very exciting news! For those of you who don't know, I am the Program Lead/Teacher for a Middle School Intervention Program in the Wentzville School District. We work with Middle School kids who are having trouble connecting to school for a variety of reasons. In the program we do a lot of project based learning. This morning, I was awarded a $500 grant for a project I proposed. We are going to launch a weather balloon! I would love to pick the forum's brains over the next few months for any ideas/suggestions. I have already done a bit of research on how to launch and hold the payload, but would love any ideas you have about cameras, instrumentation, places to buy equipment, etc. Josh Strausbaugh at Belle Valley School District #119 in Belleville has been involved in at least two launches. I’m sure if you contacted him he would be full of information to help you. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 3, 2019 9:19:33 GMT -6
I’m alittle concerned about a few MCS’s and training thunderstorms next week as the frontal zone sets up across the area. Just what we need more heavy rain
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Post by Snowman99 on May 3, 2019 10:03:15 GMT -6
This is from twitter. I did not realize the term "Tornado Emergency" started with the Moore Tornado.
Damon Lane
Today marks 20 years since the phrase, "Tornado Emergency", was born. A large tornado was moving into SW OKC/Moore & the NWS needed to get the message out that this was no ordinary tornado warning. In a hurry, "Emergency" was added. It's amazing how 1 word can change everything
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 3, 2019 10:25:33 GMT -6
Looking at gfs, thinking half inch of rain tonight into saturday along and s of 70. quarter to half inch monday....for next week including monday, abt 3 inches. Adjusted a little for recent overperformance and of course if we get sun cld be some evaporation enhancement, but for now, thats my thinking. Thoughts?
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 3, 2019 10:26:46 GMT -6
Seems like gfs is trending wetter for tonight and next week as well.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 3, 2019 10:36:04 GMT -6
Looks like the GFS has the old 'snow split' over the area, with heavier stuff to the south and north. but that never happens with rain around here, lol. I expect wet until further notice. We are heading into the wettest time of the year. Next year at this time we'll probably be praying for rain.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 3, 2019 12:20:30 GMT -6
I just got some very exciting news! For those of you who don't know, I am the Program Lead/Teacher for a Middle School Intervention Program in the Wentzville School District. We work with Middle School kids who are having trouble connecting to school for a variety of reasons. In the program we do a lot of project based learning. This morning, I was awarded a $500 grant for a project I proposed. We are going to launch a weather balloon! I would love to pick the forum's brains over the next few months for any ideas/suggestions. I have already done a bit of research on how to launch and hold the payload, but would love any ideas you have about cameras, instrumentation, places to buy equipment, etc. if you do shoot video from the balloon and if it wouldn't violate any rules it would be fun to see the video. Not necessarily post it here but at least give us a link to it |
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 3, 2019 12:36:21 GMT -6
Looks like the GFS has the old 'snow split' over the area, with heavier stuff to the south and north. but that never happens with rain around here, lol. I expect wet until further notice. We are heading into the wettest time of the year. Next year at this time we'll probably be praying for rain.My prediction is that once we hit mid to late June, we will dry to a crisp. Just like 2017. Nature will balance this out, and it usually does so with extremes. |
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Post by RyanD on May 3, 2019 13:05:25 GMT -6
Tornado touched down near Caruthersville this afternoon. I've got no information on damage or injuries. From the video! Saw it appeared to be a rural area. Wow, you got 2.2k subs now! That's not easy to do. I just reached 4k subs and that took nearly 3 years of hard work to reach. |
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Post by Snowman99 on May 3, 2019 19:21:31 GMT -6
Hey ya'll, it's raining. So exciting!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 3, 2019 19:58:43 GMT -6
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 425 AM CDT Fri May 3 2019
While we all know history has a tendency to repeat itself and
records are meant to be broken, we have a long way to go before we
can compare this flood to the Great Flood of 1993. The current river
forecast along the Mississippi River in our Hydrologic Service Area
(HSA) is several feet below the Great Flood of 1993. That being
said, the similarities of this spring and what occurred during the
summer of 1993 are concerning, but not alarming, yet.
The table has been set, with elevated river levels and saturated
soil across the Midwest thanks to a banner winter snow season and
heavy precipitation this spring. However, lets be honest, we have
seen spring flooding of this magnitude in several years prior to and
after 1993. In fact, the Mississippi River at St. Louis has rose
above 40 feet, major flood stage, three times in the last decade
(2013, 2016, 2017). What made 1993 so special and ultimately set it
apart from all other floods, was the repeated heavy rain events that
occurred during the summer of 1993. Did you know that at least one
inch of rainfall was observed in the Mississippi River Basin 75% of
the days (69) between June 1 and August 31 of 1993? There were
FIFTEEN rainfall events in June and July of 1993 that produced over
six inches of rain in the Midwest and some locations in Iowa saw
over 40 inches of rain that summer! The result was unprecedented and
widespread flooding, with 20 million acres of land and 75 towns
inundated, with thousands of homes, businesses and lives altered
forever.
The latest official one month (May) and three month outlooks (May-
June-July) from the Climate Prediction Center favor above normal
precipitation to continue into the summer across a large portion of
the Midwest. While prolonged flooding is anticipated to occur this
month and into the summer, the probability of seeing a flood on the
scale and magnitude of 1993 across our HSA remains low.
Those with interests along the Mississippi River and its tributaries
are urged to continue to monitor the latest river stages and
forecasts from the National Weather Service at water.weather.gov.
CVKING(Fish)
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Post by nascarfan999 on May 3, 2019 22:17:17 GMT -6
.HYDROLOGY... Issued at 425 AM CDT Fri May 3 2019 While we all know history has a tendency to repeat itself and records are meant to be broken, we have a long way to go before we can compare this flood to the Great Flood of 1993. The current river forecast along the Mississippi River in our Hydrologic Service Area (HSA) is several feet below the Great Flood of 1993. That being said, the similarities of this spring and what occurred during the summer of 1993 are concerning, but not alarming, yet. The table has been set, with elevated river levels and saturated soil across the Midwest thanks to a banner winter snow season and heavy precipitation this spring. However, lets be honest, we have seen spring flooding of this magnitude in several years prior to and after 1993. In fact, the Mississippi River at St. Louis has rose above 40 feet, major flood stage, three times in the last decade (2013, 2016, 2017). What made 1993 so special and ultimately set it apart from all other floods, was the repeated heavy rain events that occurred during the summer of 1993. Did you know that at least one inch of rainfall was observed in the Mississippi River Basin 75% of the days (69) between June 1 and August 31 of 1993? There were FIFTEEN rainfall events in June and July of 1993 that produced over six inches of rain in the Midwest and some locations in Iowa saw over 40 inches of rain that summer! The result was unprecedented and widespread flooding, with 20 million acres of land and 75 towns inundated, with thousands of homes, businesses and lives altered forever. The latest official one month (May) and three month outlooks (May- June-July) from the Climate Prediction Center favor above normal precipitation to continue into the summer across a large portion of the Midwest. While prolonged flooding is anticipated to occur this month and into the summer, the probability of seeing a flood on the scale and magnitude of 1993 across our HSA remains low. Those with interests along the Mississippi River and its tributaries are urged to continue to monitor the latest river stages and forecasts from the National Weather Service at water.weather.gov. CVKING(Fish) I may be in the minority, but I felt the local NWS was a little dismissive to the current threat. Maybe less so in this discussion as it does pay some respect to the situation, but I was not a fan of the graphic they posted this morning. Yes, the current situation is not as bad as the worst flood in recorded history, but it has started out just as bad, if not worse. Add in human stupidity that has exaggerated the flooding (new levees) plus a medium and long term forecast for continued wet weather, and there is a very reasonable scenario where this could compare to 1993 before all is said and done.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2019 0:02:47 GMT -6
Absolute downpour out there right now. Good thing we can really use the rain
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2019 0:30:16 GMT -6
Monday evening may need to be watched for severe potential. NAM has a QLCS dropping down across the area with some favorable low level shear  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 4, 2019 0:31:52 GMT -6
Looks like the heaviest of the rain is falling south of the city. Might cause a few more problems for the Meremac valley (although it's not looking like anything all that heavy). But, thankfully, won't be adding any water to the Mississippi valley north of the city.
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Post by cozpregon on May 4, 2019 1:04:37 GMT -6
Monday evening may need to be watched for severe potential. NAM has a QLCS dropping down across the area with some favorable low level shear It has my interest |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 4, 2019 1:04:40 GMT -6
Didn’t get much at home but at work in festus it was an absolute gulley washer.
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Post by Tilawn on May 4, 2019 6:37:54 GMT -6
Heavy drizzle/mist here now. I’m ready to sell out the business and just go back to work for someone else.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on May 4, 2019 8:09:28 GMT -6
.HYDROLOGY... Issued at 425 AM CDT Fri May 3 2019 While we all know history has a tendency to repeat itself and records are meant to be broken, we have a long way to go before we can compare this flood to the Great Flood of 1993. The current river forecast along the Mississippi River in our Hydrologic Service Area (HSA) is several feet below the Great Flood of 1993. That being said, the similarities of this spring and what occurred during the summer of 1993 are concerning, but not alarming, yet. The table has been set, with elevated river levels and saturated soil across the Midwest thanks to a banner winter snow season and heavy precipitation this spring. However, lets be honest, we have seen spring flooding of this magnitude in several years prior to and after 1993. In fact, the Mississippi River at St. Louis has rose above 40 feet, major flood stage, three times in the last decade (2013, 2016, 2017). What made 1993 so special and ultimately set it apart from all other floods, was the repeated heavy rain events that occurred during the summer of 1993. Did you know that at least one inch of rainfall was observed in the Mississippi River Basin 75% of the days (69) between June 1 and August 31 of 1993? There were FIFTEEN rainfall events in June and July of 1993 that produced over six inches of rain in the Midwest and some locations in Iowa saw over 40 inches of rain that summer! The result was unprecedented and widespread flooding, with 20 million acres of land and 75 towns inundated, with thousands of homes, businesses and lives altered forever. The latest official one month (May) and three month outlooks (May- June-July) from the Climate Prediction Center favor above normal precipitation to continue into the summer across a large portion of the Midwest. While prolonged flooding is anticipated to occur this month and into the summer, the probability of seeing a flood on the scale and magnitude of 1993 across our HSA remains low. Those with interests along the Mississippi River and its tributaries are urged to continue to monitor the latest river stages and forecasts from the National Weather Service at water.weather.gov. CVKING(Fish) I may be in the minority, but I felt the local NWS was a little dismissive to the current threat. Maybe less so in this discussion as it does pay some respect to the situation, but I was not a fan of the graphic they posted this morning. Yes, the current situation is not as bad as the worst flood in recorded history, but it has started out just as bad, if not worse. Add in human stupidity that has exaggerated the flooding (new levees) plus a medium and long term forecast for continued wet weather, and there is a very reasonable scenario where this could compare to 1993 before all is said and done. That graphic must’ve been a dynamic link? It’s updated. This is the scap I took of post this morning  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 4, 2019 8:48:10 GMT -6
Also...their rainfall total color scheme sucks, lol.
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Post by jmg378s on May 4, 2019 15:45:09 GMT -6
Just a heads up for anybody that uses GRLevel3 with the AllisonHouse feed. Both now support high resolution base reflectivity and velocity. It appears this includes high resolution storm relative velocity as well. You have to download the GRL3 2.90a version and have an AllisonHouse subscription.
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Post by unclesam6 on May 4, 2019 15:52:47 GMT -6
about time...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 5, 2019 1:51:13 GMT -6
SPC has the western half of the area in a 15% risk day 4 and almost the entire area in 15% day 5 risk
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 5, 2019 12:26:28 GMT -6
When do we get to see a new thread?
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Post by Tilawn on May 5, 2019 12:39:43 GMT -6
When do we get to see a new thread? Maybe that will change the wet weather pattern we are in........ |
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Post by unclesam6 on May 5, 2019 17:02:00 GMT -6
that's a big boy up near Lincoln, NE
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 5, 2019 19:00:56 GMT -6
that's a big boy up near Lincoln, NE Friend posted pictures from Lincoln. Had that ugly green sky and hail. He and a bunch of other people were parked under a gas station canopy. |
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Post by red12 Hillsboro,mo on May 5, 2019 19:43:31 GMT -6
KSET Smart airport in St Charles 😪  |
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csafozzie
Wishcaster
Wildwood, MO. Jefferson, Franklin and St Louis County borders
Posts: 139
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Post by csafozzie on May 5, 2019 19:48:48 GMT -6
that's a big boy up near Lincoln, NE No, The Big Boy is in Wyoming getting ready for its trip to Promontory Point for the anniversary of the completion of the Transcontinental Railroad. (Sorry, could not resists.  ) I know it is not weather related but never thought I would ever live to see the day this giant ran the rails again, many of you chase storms on here, and I love to chase trains. Can't wait to see this one live. |
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) I know it is not weather related but never thought I would ever live to see the day this giant ran the rails again, many of you chase storms on here, and I love to chase trains. Can't wait to see this one live.