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Post by bear1 on May 27, 2019 11:18:16 GMT -6
Just got a good 10 minute downpour here IMBY!! temp dropped to 69°
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 27, 2019 11:37:04 GMT -6
CU field building across the S 2/3rds of the area now...might be a few storms firing ahead of the remnant disturbance crossing MO but capping will make it tough for anything more than isolated coverage.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 27, 2019 11:42:03 GMT -6
Today's new MS River forecast is...wow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2019 11:49:31 GMT -6
Tiny pop up storm just hit here with a good downpour and some gusty winds
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 27, 2019 11:52:03 GMT -6
So how bad will storms be tomorrow eve? Any chance the enhanced risk moves further east into our area??
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Post by jmg378s on May 27, 2019 12:02:31 GMT -6
Today's new MS River forecast is...wow. Yeah, current gauge height at St. Louis is now 4th highest and forecast, should that pan out, would be 2nd highest. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 27, 2019 12:02:48 GMT -6
It’s looking like it’s northern Illinois’ turn to get rocked...
Environment looks primed for some violent tornadoes.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 27, 2019 12:39:46 GMT -6
Looks like a hook is forming on that cell west of Joliet.
Great chase day considering the terrain and discrete cells...
Seems like things got cluttered quickly lol
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Post by yypc on May 27, 2019 12:43:46 GMT -6
Yup big cell headed right for downtown Chi it looks like
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 27, 2019 12:46:50 GMT -6
Damn, I kinda want to chase that thing but tennis ball sized hail and being in the city seems like a no.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2019 12:47:41 GMT -6
Ya radar is estimating a max hail size of 3.25” with that cell
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Post by yypc on May 27, 2019 13:08:33 GMT -6
Now tornado warned for that hook
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2019 13:09:50 GMT -6
TVS signature forming right on top of the Chicago radar
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2019 13:12:27 GMT -6
The terminal radars out of O’hare and Midway show a strong couplet on top of the KLOT site
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on May 27, 2019 13:12:36 GMT -6
Dumped the car in a garage, that thing looks mean as hell
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Post by yypc on May 27, 2019 13:16:01 GMT -6
Dumped the car in a garage, that thing looks mean as hell Smart man. Not sure where the hail is gunna end up but this is going to be a costly storm no doubt. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 27, 2019 14:38:50 GMT -6
Today's new MS River forecast is...wow. Yeah, current gauge height at St. Louis is now 4th highest and forecast, should that pan out, would be 2nd highest. And it's not going to fall off quickly like it's done the previous crests this year. There's a little drop off by next weekend. But basically it's crests and then plains out at that level |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 27, 2019 16:33:53 GMT -6
Yeah, current gauge height at St. Louis is now 4th highest and forecast, should that pan out, would be 2nd highest. And it's not going to fall off quickly like it's done the previous crests this year. There's a little drop off by next weekend. But basically it's crests and then plains out at that level Correcting myself. It's not going to crest until a week from today, and then stay near crest for the rest of the prediction period. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 27, 2019 16:39:08 GMT -6
And it's not going to fall off quickly like it's done the previous crests this year. There's a little drop off by next weekend. But basically it's crests and then plains out at that level Correcting myself. It's not going to crest until a week from today, and then stay near crest for the rest of the prediction period. That's the part that made me say "wow." |
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Post by unclesam6 on May 27, 2019 16:57:53 GMT -6
shriveling up like a dead plum Thanks to the lack of/diminishing convergence... and building warm air aloft/capping inversion. But... I have to admit I was getting nervous as it tracked across the Lake of the Ozarks  That's what I woke up to this morning... after telling everyone "Oh yeah just a few spot showers and a rumble of thunder through the morning" on Sunday night TV... Blah. |
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Post by dschreib on May 27, 2019 17:11:12 GMT -6
And the rain is still pouring. One interesting thing I noticed was that the air on 29 smelled like river/worms/fish. Not going to be an easy job for the farmers to clean up That's one of the things I remember from the 93 flood. Drove through West Alton in October; more than a month after the water had receded. All the ground where there would ordinarily have been grass like one roadside ditches and people's yards was barren dirt and that smell of rancid, dead fish roasting in the sun that you describe was everywhere. Ditto here from Chester/Perryville area in 93. The stench was awful. I think some of it was from grain left in the silos. |
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Post by bdgwx on May 27, 2019 17:25:54 GMT -6
How close will 44' get to the steps of the Arch?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 27, 2019 17:41:13 GMT -6
How close will 44' get to the steps of the Arch? I think it may already be on to the lower tier of steps.
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Post by Tilawn on May 27, 2019 17:41:15 GMT -6
Is it me or do we continue to hold this wet pattern into June also?
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 27, 2019 19:21:18 GMT -6
How close will 44' get to the steps of the Arch? I think it may already be on to the lower tier of steps.
Flew over it yesterday, the water is up the steps. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 27, 2019 20:25:26 GMT -6
How bad does tomorrow eve look? Fading storms as they push into metro again...?
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Post by jmg378s on May 27, 2019 20:50:16 GMT -6
How bad does tomorrow eve look? Fading storms as they push into metro again...? I'm somewhat skeptical of storm coverage & severity tomorrow night in the immediate metro this far east of the dry line and this far south of the frontal zone. It appears by tomorrow evening the environment may be capped and not seeing a lot of indications that a potential MCS can work it's way into St. Louis with a more easterly direction favored along the IA/MO border. But I could be wrong too... |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 27, 2019 20:54:40 GMT -6
How bad does tomorrow eve look? Fading storms as they push into metro again...? I'm somewhat skeptical of storm coverage & severity tomorrow night in the immediate metro this far east of the dry line and this far south of the frontal zone. It appears by tomorrow evening the environment may be capped and not seeing a lot of indications that a potential MCS can work it's way into St. Louis with a more easterly direction favored along the IA/MO border. But I could be wrong too... Booo. 😉 Thanks for the update though. |
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Post by jmg378s on May 27, 2019 21:02:51 GMT -6
Is it me or do we continue to hold this wet pattern into June also? Ensembles (EPS, GEFS, GEPS) all look wet over the next 10 days throughout the river basins. But peaking ahead in the deterministic models (which is often misleading) seems to hint at a breakdown of the western tough and perhaps a bit of a relaxation of the heavy rain pattern. It's hard not to be at least a little pessimistic though. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 27, 2019 21:04:05 GMT -6
Tornado emergency for Dayton Ohio.....
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