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Post by jmg378s on Jun 19, 2019 15:42:57 GMT -6
This is the first time I remember 141 being closed due to lake flooding. Fox2 has a decent article explaining the situation with Creve Coeur Lake and notes that the lake is the drainage basin for roughly 44 square miles. Wasn't completely clear to me, but I think the river levies help trap the water too. The city says the long term fix is a pumping system that pumps water over the levy into the river.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 19, 2019 16:40:08 GMT -6
Looks like Maryland Heights is taking a variation of your suggestion to get the water off 141, Chris.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 19, 2019 18:14:06 GMT -6
Attachment DeletedKelvin-Helmhotz clouds - taken by Tim Buckley in Smith Mountain Lake, VA. neato
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 19, 2019 18:54:18 GMT -6
Storm over N Lincoln Co. showing a couplet with weak rotation.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 19, 2019 18:56:41 GMT -6
Storm over N Lincoln Co. showing a couplet with weak rotation. Its warned. |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jun 19, 2019 19:13:05 GMT -6
the disco yesterday seemed to hint at a transition into a true drier/hotter summer pattern by a week or so from now. Thoughts? Or just another transient stage? There are hints of that. It has to happen eventually...just hope it doesn't go full drought. I'm ready for full drought! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 19, 2019 20:27:20 GMT -6
Mini supercell over St. Chuck was showing a cyclical inflow notch on terminal radar...we're lucky there wasn't more instability today or this could have been a nasty little outbreak.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jun 20, 2019 4:11:21 GMT -6
DP's are gunna be nasty Fri/Sat
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399 
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Post by lunchladyd on Jun 20, 2019 4:30:24 GMT -6
Storm over N Lincoln Co. showing a couplet with weak rotation. I saw it. I was standing at the door talking to my daughter (Mad). And I told her it looks suspicious. Then just like that it disapated. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 20, 2019 4:39:42 GMT -6
Some credible...and good... video of weak tornado near Salem IL yesterday. Im trying to get permission to show on air... no luck yet.
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Post by Tilawn on Jun 20, 2019 5:17:23 GMT -6
Will Saturday be our first heat advisory for the season?
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Post by unclesam6 on Jun 20, 2019 5:21:41 GMT -6
Will Saturday be our first heat advisory for the season? Considering it will be our first big time punch of heat this year... it's the weekend... Not out of the question. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 20, 2019 6:05:47 GMT -6
Slight risk for the area tomorrow for severe
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Post by weatherj on Jun 20, 2019 6:58:09 GMT -6
Some credible...and good... video of weak tornado near Salem IL yesterday. Im trying to get permission to show on air... no luck yet. I was half asleep during the event, but as far as I am aware there were no warnings or sirens at the time. I have my phone on alert for warnings at all times and always hear the sirens as one is in close proximity. If there is any way I can help you to get in contact with someone that can give permission Chris, let me know. Also, good call on your facebook page yesterday stating that we may see a few weak spin ups with the storms that formed yesterday evening. |
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Jun 20, 2019 7:02:46 GMT -6
I am happy to say that ground was broken on my house yesterday and I will be a neighbor of Ryan D!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jun 20, 2019 7:12:13 GMT -6
Storm over N Lincoln Co. showing a couplet with weak rotation. Ya i tried to get a few pics of the low clouds but didnt have much luck. It looked very ominous though. |
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jun 20, 2019 8:42:48 GMT -6
Well surprisingly enough the fruit and veggie farmers I deal with across the state are all very pleased with their crops thus far. lots of good peaches 🍑 coming in and the Missouri tomatoes 🍅 we been getting are incredible already soon enough we will be getting our local melons 🍉 and I'll know how the pumpkins 🎃 are looking in 6 weeks or so (they are just planting those) all in all not as ban as I thought it would be with all the rain and flooding good news for me and my customers!
And as far as the hot weather coming goes, bring it on!!! my store in the only inside farmers market around so it's 68* & sunny every day at my store! Facebook.com/thefruitstand
Went fishing 🎣 Tuesday in Wellsville Missouri and the amount of flys we encountered was nothing short of plague like thousands and thousands would land on anything and everything (my 1yo daughter spilled some Cheerios and there was a dozen or more flys on each Cheerio in seconds...) this possibly due to the wet year? Or maybe a pig/chicken farm near by?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 20, 2019 9:01:49 GMT -6
Not entirely sure how tomorrow is going to play out. All the mesoscale models seem to have different solutions on how the MCS(s) will evolve. Models usually don’t handle extreme cape well so tomorrow might be a nowcast situation
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 20, 2019 10:34:19 GMT -6
Well surprisingly enough the fruit and veggie farmers I deal with across the state are all very pleased with their crops thus far. lots of good peaches 🍑 coming in and the Missouri tomatoes 🍅 we been getting are incredible already soon enough we will be getting our local melons 🍉 and I'll know how the pumpkins 🎃 are looking in 6 weeks or so (they are just planting those) all in all not as ban as I thought it would be with all the rain and flooding good news for me and my customers! And as far as the hot weather coming goes, bring it on!!! my store in the only inside farmers market around so it's 68* & sunny every day at my store! Facebook.com/thefruitstand Went fishing 🎣 Tuesday in Wellsville Missouri and the amount of flys we encountered was nothing short of plague like thousands and thousands would land on anything and everything (my 1yo daughter spilled some Cheerios and there was a dozen or more flys on each Cheerio in seconds...) this possibly due to the wet year? Or maybe a pig/chicken farm near by? Any word on what the local corn-on-the-cob crop is going to be? If any, given the soggy fields. Have they even been able to plant? |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 20, 2019 10:35:37 GMT -6
Certainly turbulent skies today, even though rain chances are low. One minute bright sunshine. Next minute the clouds look like they might go severe.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 20, 2019 10:42:46 GMT -6
Well surprisingly enough the fruit and veggie farmers I deal with across the state are all very pleased with their crops thus far. lots of good peaches 🍑 coming in and the Missouri tomatoes 🍅 we been getting are incredible already soon enough we will be getting our local melons 🍉 and I'll know how the pumpkins 🎃 are looking in 6 weeks or so (they are just planting those) all in all not as ban as I thought it would be with all the rain and flooding good news for me and my customers! And as far as the hot weather coming goes, bring it on!!! my store in the only inside farmers market around so it's 68* & sunny every day at my store! Facebook.com/thefruitstand Went fishing 🎣 Tuesday in Wellsville Missouri and the amount of flys we encountered was nothing short of plague like thousands and thousands would land on anything and everything (my 1yo daughter spilled some Cheerios and there was a dozen or more flys on each Cheerio in seconds...) this possibly due to the wet year? Or maybe a pig/chicken farm near by? Is it too late to sow watermelon seeds? A friend gifted me a couple Ali Baba melons last year and they are absolutely amazing. I kept the seeds but forgot about them until now! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 20, 2019 10:54:58 GMT -6
Slight risk for the area tomorrow for severe More questions than answers at this point but they have a hatched area aimed down the river valley towards us for significant wind potential. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 20, 2019 11:26:55 GMT -6
Random question...I've noticed some snow still falling in the Rockies...isn't this a little late for that or normal?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 20, 2019 11:37:07 GMT -6
Random question...I've noticed some snow still falling in the Rockies...isn't this a little late for that or normal? Depends on elevation. I got caught in a snowstorm at 11k feet in the backcountry years ago. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 20, 2019 11:40:12 GMT -6
Slight risk for the area tomorrow for severe More questions than answers at this point but they have a hatched area aimed down the river valley towards us for significant wind potential. Mentioned this yesterday. Chance is still there for a Derecho or strong MCS to slide down the Missouri River Valley into the metro or just north of us. Also the models are pushing back the bigger longer heatwave and toning down a bit as I suspected. Looks like it'll be until around Independence Day that we'll see a solid shot of sustained heat and perhaps our first Excessive Heat Warning of the season. July will probably be our hottest month overall which is actually normal for once. |
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Post by RyanD on Jun 20, 2019 11:53:12 GMT -6
I am happy to say that ground was broken on my house yesterday and I will be a neighbor of Ryan D! Lol and I even recognized it was you! Welcome to the hood! Nice neighborhood overall though there is no shortage of drama and gossip as you'll see on the FB page! Here's to hoping your house is built well! |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 20, 2019 11:57:22 GMT -6
Clouds have been quite persistent today as well. Looks like it's gonna be tough for anything above upper 70s today. Latest SPC has extended the Slight risk farther southeast with us now in the heart. Half surprised they didn't go with an Enhanced, seems like the perfect set up for it as it could go either way, either weak like yesterday or getting insane quite quickly depending on timing and how things come together both during the late morning into lunchtime period and again Friday night.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 20, 2019 13:05:53 GMT -6
Random question...I've noticed some snow still falling in the Rockies...isn't this a little late for that or normal? Depends on elevation. I got caught in a snowstorm at 11k feet in the backcountry years ago. Seconded. When we visited Glacier NP in 1977 we had several inches of slushy snow fall on Logan Pass (elevation 6000 feet plus or minus) on July 10 or so |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 20, 2019 13:29:24 GMT -6
Wow... what a tough forecast for tomorrow. I almost feel like throwing out all the CAMs because they seem to overblow convection in response to CAPE...especially when you look at the toasty 700mb temps over KS, most of MO and point southwest...all under the building upper ridge. If, for a moment, you assume the CAMS are being too "CAMMIE" that leaves you more with global/lower res models...which have far more coherent CAPE and EML plumes surging more northeast with time. The first MCS tonight will hold the key to pretty much the entire weekend. A track closer to MS river...or more NE will lead (evetntually) to a hotter and more rain free setup for Saturday. Further west will take a huge chunk out of the heat and lead to effective boundary much further to the south. Making for potentially super bad news... extreme rainfall...and severe weather along the I-70 corridor.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 20, 2019 13:39:29 GMT -6
18z HRRR brings a strong squall line down I-70 late tomorrow morning
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